ILLINOIS POLLUTION CONTROL BOARD
    July
    24,
    1980
    IN THE MATTER OF:
    PROPOSED AMENDMENT
    of
    RULES
    101,
    )
    R76—14
    205,
    206 and 209 of the NOISE
    )
    R76—19
    REGULATIONS
    )
    FINAL OPINION OF THE
    BOARD
    (by Mr.
    Goodman):
    The Forging Industry Association
    (FIA) and thirty indi-
    vidual
    forging companies on July 2,
    1976 petitioned the
    Board to adopt, by amending Rules 101 and 206 of the Board’s
    Noise Pollution Control Regulations
    (Noise Regulations),
    certain emission limitations and other requirements with
    respect to new and existing impact forging operations
    (Industry Proposal).
    Proponents alleged an inability to
    comply within three years of the effective date of Rule 206
    as allowed by Rule 209(h) of the Noise Regulations.
    The Illinois Environmental Protection Agency
    (Agency)
    on August
    23, 1976 also petitioned the Board to amend Rules
    101,
    206 and 209 with respect to
    new
    and existing impact
    forging operations and to delete Rule 205 regulating sound
    emissions to Class C land receivers.
    On October 14,
    1976
    the Board ordered the Agency proposal
    to be treated as
    a
    separate proposal, docketed R76-19, but consolidated with
    R76-14 for purposes of hearing and decision.
    The following
    public hearings were held:
    September 22,
    1976
    Chicago
    November 4,1976
    Springfield
    December 13,
    1976
    Chicago
    December
    14,
    1976
    Chicago
    February 15,
    1977
    Chicago
    February
    16,
    1977
    Rockford
    May
    2,
    1977,
    Chicago
    May
    3,
    1977,
    Chicago
    December 18,
    1978
    Rockford
    December 19,
    1978
    Rockford
    February 21,
    1979
    Chicago
    September 12,
    1979
    Chicago
    The BoardThc~knowledgesthe a~istanceof Carolyn
    S.
    Hesse,
    Technical Assistant,
    in the drafting of this Opinion, and the
    assistance of Roberta Levinson
    in serving
    as Hearing Officer.

    —2—
    The latter four hearings were economic impact hearings.
    Prior to those hearings, the Illinois Institute of Natural
    Resources filed economic impact studies regarding the
    proposed rule changes, Document No.
    78/03, The
    Economic Impact of Proposed Forging Noise Regulations
    (R76—14,--19),
    and Document No.
    78/36, Economic Impact
    of Removing Numerical Limits on Sound Emissions to
    Class C Land
    (R76-19).
    These studies were filed in
    accordance with Section 6 of the Environmental Protection
    Act.
    HISTORY OF THE REGULATIONS
    On July
    26,
    1973,
    the Board adopted Chapter
    8:
    Noise
    Regulations.
    Included in those regulations are Rule 205,
    Sound Emitted to Class C Land, and Rule
    206,
    Impulsive
    Sound, which are the subject of these proceedings.
    Both the
    Agency and Industry Proposals suggest changes to Rule 206
    which would allow higher sound levels
    to. be emitted to Class
    A (primarily residential use) and Class B (primarily certain
    types of business use) receiving lands.
    Regarding emission
    levels
    from existing forging operations to Class A
    land,
    industry seeks a 66-dB(A)
    limitation while the Agency seeks
    a 61—dB(A)
    limitation.
    Both Proposals agreed on emission
    levels to Class B land and on emission levels from new
    operations to Class
    A lands.
    The Agency proposed deleting
    Rule 205 entirely; at hearing, industry witnesses concurred
    with this deletion.
    The Proposed Order adopted on February
    7,
    1980 amends
    Rules
    101,
    205,
    206 and 209
    as follows.
    To the definitions
    in Rule
    101 have been added definitions for A—weighted sound
    level and fast dynamic characteristic.
    Definitions for
    dB(A)
    and sound level are deleted.
    These definition changes
    clarify those rule changes which were proposed for adoption.
    Rule 205
    is deleted.
    Rule 206,
    Impulsive Sound,
    (1) deletes
    the limitations on impulsive noise emitted to Class C land
    and
    (2) increases the allowable impulsive noise levels
    emitted from forging operations
    to Class A and Class B
    lands.
    Rule 209 specifies the dates by which sources are to
    comply with Rule 206.
    ANALYSIS OF THE REVISED REGULATIONS
    Class C Receiving Lands
    (R76—19)
    Virtually none of the evidence produced at the merit
    hearings supported maintaining Rule 205.
    The primary reason
    for having a Class C sound limitation is to protect Class C
    property receivers from levels which interfere with
    conversations held at one— to three—foot distances or with
    using a telephone
    (R.420).
    The Board agrees that Class C

    —3—
    lands require less protection than either Class
    A or Class B
    lands require because the types of activity conducted on
    Class C lands are less noise sensitive
    (R.1083).
    Since
    Class C lands are typically used for manufacturing
    operations
    (R.1084), they usually contain sources which emit
    higher sound levels within their own property than they
    receive from other property
    (R.1082).
    Class C land
    operations emit within their property lines sound
    levels far
    in excess of the limitations permitted in Rule 205
    (R.1082).
    Unoccupied farm land is
    also classified as Class C
    land.
    However, over the years the Agency has received very
    few complaints from Class
    C farm
    land receivers.
    Only
    up to
    3
    of Class C receivers are bothered to any degree by noise
    from any source.
    It is clear from the economic impact study
    concerning these rule changes and from the evidence in the
    record that removing limitations affecting Class C receivers
    would not regulate the major sources of disturbance to these
    receivers, which are nonstationary sources.
    The Board’s
    current Rule 102 is adequate to enforce noise pollution
    violations in these situations
    (R.1085—1086).
    The Agency comments that under Rule 201(d),
    certain
    Class A lands when adjacent to Class B or C
    lands may be
    reclassified as B or C land by municipalities having zoning
    jurisdiction over those
    lands.
    Thus, declares the Agency,
    the effect of the Board’s deregulation of Class C lands as
    receiving lands
    (deleting Rule 205) creates the possibility
    that municipalities can reclassify Class A lands as Class C
    lands, thus leaving these
    lands without protection from
    noise pollution.
    This
    is
    a misreading of Rule 201(d), which allows
    reclassifications only of lands
    “used as specified by
    SLUCM Code~s
    81,
    83,
    91, or 922
    ...“
    These SLUCM Codes
    generally categorize agricultural, forestry,
    undeveloped,
    and nonreserve forestry
    (all non—Class A)
    lands;
    they are
    not the Class A SLUCM Codes 110—190
    (residential), 6513
    (hospitals),
    6516
    (rest homes),
    or 681—683
    (schools) with
    which the Agency is concerned.
    Rule 201(d), does not permit
    a municipality to reclassify these
    lands with which the
    Agency is concerned as these are Class
    A lands not used
    as specified by SLUCM Codes 81,
    83,
    91 or 922.
    Sound Levels Emitted From Forge Plants
    (R76—14)
    During hearing,
    there was much testimony from
    representatives of the forging industry that meeting
    original Rule 206, adopted in 1973,
    is not technologically
    feasible.
    Noncompliance
    is primarily due
    to the absence of
    known methods of controlling the impact, or impulsive,
    sound
    emission levels from forge hammers
    at their sources.

    —4—
    The Noise Control Task Force
    (NCTF) through the Forging
    Industry Education and Research Foundation
    (FIERF) performed
    an extensive, three-volume study of existing forge plants to
    determine the sources of sound emissions and ways of
    controlling them (Exhibits
    16,
    17 and 18).
    Based on this
    study, it appears that the noise
    is being caused by two
    effects.
    The first and primary contributor
    •to the peak
    sound
    level
    is the sound generated when the ram, driven
    downward, hits the metal work piece
    (billet) and the die on
    the anvil.
    The second source of sound
    is caused by the
    vibration of the
    ram and the columns which guide it downward
    due to the sideways movement of the ram between the columns
    after it hits the die.
    Since peak sound pressure levels are generally
    proportional
    to blow strengths,
    reducing the blow strength
    would reduce the peak sound
    level; however,
    it would also
    derate the hammer
    (R.310).
    There may be some operations in
    which the hammer blow
    is stronger than necessary and could
    be derated
    (R.319), but in the majority of forge shops derating
    may not be feasible.
    In the FIERF
    study,
    shrouding the hammer was studied, but
    this may cause several problems:
    1.
    If blow strength is reduced, the hammer would not
    be able to produce the part.
    2.
    Since the columns maintain the die alignment,
    to
    reduce the columns’ vibrations by isolating them
    from the ram before the ram strikes the work piece
    may cause malalignment
    (R.322).
    3.
    The openings in retrofitting any shroud or enclosure
    will need to be minimized in order to reduce the
    amount of noise radiating past the treatment
    (R.323).
    Openings are necessary for access
    to the work piece.
    4.
    Dynamic stresses in the shroud would have to be
    minimized for safety
    (R.323).
    5.
    In some cases
    a ram shroud could never he used due
    to the given relationship between the ram and the
    columns.
    The buildings in which forge shops are operated are gen-
    erally open structures which were not designed to reduce the
    amount of sound radiating to the neighborhood.
    A forge plant
    must have adequate ventilation because of the amount of heat
    generated inside the plant.
    Consequently, the structures were
    designed with roof and side openings to provide natural ventila-
    tion to dissipate the heat
    (R.103).
    All of the forge plants
    discussed
    in the record are hot forge plants.
    The work material,
    typically steel,
    is heated to around 2200°F so that the materia
    is plastic enough to forge,
    since it cannot be forged while coL

    —5—
    (R.105—106).
    After forging,
    the hot material
    is put onto skids,
    and when the skid is filled,
    it is usually moved outside to cool
    (R.1043).
    In
    addition to the skids loaded with hot material
    (R.1044),
    the furnaces used to heat the material are major
    sources of heat inside the plant
    (R.106).
    The level
    of sound emissions radiated from some forge shops
    can be reduced by 15 dB(A) by closing the open windows and doors
    or by covering them with silencers
    (R.517).
    Additional noise
    reductions can be obtained by making structural
    changes in the
    building,
    such as replacing a plain metal roof deck with one
    made with asbestos—containing material, replacing sheet metal
    walls with brick or concrete blocks, and replacing plain glass
    windows with double glass windows.
    However, in a typical, existing, unimproved forge
    shop,
    only about 4
    of the acoustical
    energy which radiates to the
    outside does
    so through the structure
    itself; the remaining 96
    radiates through the openings
    (R.523).
    Hence,
    it appears that
    covering the open doors with silencers or other material would
    be an effective way of reducing the energy radiating from the
    shop
    (R.523).
    As the openings are reduced,
    or covered, however,
    the need for mechanical ventilation increases as the natural
    ventilation is reduced or eliminated.
    In addition,
    there is
    a
    need for openings so that vehicular and other traffic
    is not
    prevented
    (R. 502—503).
    An additional method of reducing the amount of noise
    radiated to the neighborhood would be to use barriers
    such as
    walls or berms.
    Barriers placed 10-15 feet outside the peri-
    meter of
    a building can achieve
    a 10— to 15-dB(A) reduction in
    sound emission levels
    (R.499—501).
    Barriers must reach higher
    than the openings in the plant wall
    to be effective
    (R.1119).
    Barriers, however, can interfere with necessary vehicular and
    other traffic
    (R.499—501),
    may reduce ventilation
    (R.1064—1066),
    and may be prohibited by nonownership of the requisite property
    (R.499—501).
    There was evidence that technological improvements in
    controlling sound emissions are
    “moving”
    (R.1054—1055).
    The
    Danville Wyman-Gordon plant, which owns and operates the
    largest forge and hammer shop in the country
    (R.1028—1030),
    operates an endrely different technological approach to the
    manufacture of crank shaft forgings and alleges
    it experiences
    no noise problems
    (R.1037).
    There was also evidence that a
    6,000-pound hammer equipped with a hydraulic Lasco head was
    quieter than other 6,000-pound hammers
    (R.972—976).
    Determination of Allowable Sound Emission Levels
    Impulsive noise affects people who hear it by interfering
    with speech and hearing and with degree of relaxation; when
    it
    exists at night
    it can interfere with sleep.
    One witness testi—

    —6—
    fied that impulsive noise interferes more with the ability to
    relax than does steady state, or background,
    noise,
    but that
    steady state noise interferes more with speech than does impul-
    sive noise
    (R.1219).
    There is no evidence in the record of the
    relative importance to human health or welfare of relaxation,
    speech, hearing,
    sleeping,
    or other activities.
    Existing impulsive sound emission levels of drop forge
    hammers are estimated to range as high as 121 d13(A)
    for a 1000—
    2,000 pound hammer (R.240—241).
    The typical hammer operates at
    500-20,000 blows per shift
    (R.245).
    The average time between
    hammer strikes
    is one to three seconds
    (R,439).
    According to the record, present daytime sound emission
    levels result
    in the situation that roughly 60
    of the 45
    forge plants are not complying with present Rule 206
    (R.486).
    The present daytime limitation of
    56 dB(A)
    is
    exceeded by 62
    of all plants~the limitation of 61 d13(A) by
    53
    of all plants; the limitation of
    66 dB(A) by 44
    of all
    plants,
    the limitation of 72—76 dB(A)
    by
    9
    of all plants,
    and the limitation of
    82 dB(A)
    and higher by
    9
    of all
    plants
    (R.1000).
    There was also testimony that 58
    of
    the plants could meet a limitation of
    66 dB(A), and 48
    could meet 61 dB(A),
    at the present time
    (R.579—580,
    583).
    There was evidence that 95
    of all plants could meet a
    limitation of
    66 dB(A)
    with an emission improvement of
    between
    5 and 20 dB(A),
    and 1
    of the plants would have to
    improve their emission levels by
    35 dB(A)
    to reach this
    limit
    (R.542—544),
    The Agency presented data of sound emission levels from
    all
    45 forge plants in Illinois
    (Ex.56).
    At one of the
    shops it tape recorded the sound
    level of
    a 2,000—pound drop
    hammer
    (R.1013).
    This tape was played back through a sound
    level meter into a strip chart recorder to determine which
    measurement mode would be the most appropriate for measuring
    the impulsive noise
    (R.1013—1014),
    It concluded that the A
    fast measurement mode was the most nearly accurate
    (R.1021),
    both because the A—weighted network most closely
    approximates the way the human ear perceives sound and
    because the A fast measurement mode was able to detect from
    140 hammer impulses all impulses, whereas the A slow
    measurement mode detected only 76 of them (R.1015).
    There was considerable testimony which tried to relate
    maximum A—weighted fast response sound levels to the energy
    equivalent sound
    level, or L
    level,
    a time—weighted
    average which can be express~in d3(A)’s.
    Sound levels
    expressed in terms of
    L
    are useful in estimating effects
    on
    the health and welfar~of persons exposed to them.
    However,
    for purposes of enforcing
    a regulation limiting
    impulsive sound emissions,
    the Board finds that the most
    appropriate method is the use of A—weighted
    sound levels,
    measured with the fast dynamic characteristic.

    —7—
    Rule 206(d)
    as proposed by the Board on February 7,
    1980 provided that for purposes of enforcing Rule 206 only
    certain land use classifications
    in effect shall be the
    applicable land use classifications unless subsequent
    changes
    would
    result
    in
    applicability
    of
    less
    restrictive
    limitations
    on
    the
    impact
    forging
    operation.
    This
    rule
    had
    been included so that forge plants will not be penalized if
    new use classifications would require reductions
    in sound
    emission
    levels.
    The
    Industry Proposal specified
    a distance
    of one mile from the property line.
    The Agency comments that uses of lands
    located within
    1,000
    feet of these
    impact forging operations should not be,
    for
    purposes
    of
    enforcement,
    subject
    to
    later
    reclassification.
    These comments are well taken.
    The effect of this provision
    is
    indirect zoning or zoning “freezes”
    of lands within 1,000 feet
    of impact forging operations because it inhibits specific uses
    of
    lands within this proximity to the forge plants.
    For example,
    municipalities which desired
    to reclassify
    a Class B land
    (say,
    a bakery or
    a direct selling organization) to a Class
    A land
    (say,
    a dental laboratory or a driving school) might
    feel inhibited from doing so.
    For this reason,
    Rule 206(d)
    has been deleted from the Proposed Order of February
    7,
    1980.
    ECONOMIC
    EVIDENCE
    R76—19
    (Illinois
    Institute
    of
    Natural
    Resources’
    economic
    impact
    study
    (Study—19),
    Doc.
    No.
    78/36,
    June,
    1979.)
    Study—19
    concludes
    that
    the
    benefits
    of
    removing
    the
    limitations are approximately three tLmes as much as the
    costs which would be entailed.
    Benefits are comprised
    primarily of industry’s avoided costs of sound abatement and
    of the state’s avoided costs
    of enforcement of the
    limitations.
    Specific costs and benefits of control
    technologies are the same as those set forth in its study
    concerning
    R76—14
    (Study—14)
    to
    the
    extent
    they
    concern
    forge plants.
    Since 14 forge plants were out
    of compliance
    with only the regulation regarding emissions to Class
    C
    receiving
    land,
    repealing that regulation would save those
    sources compliance costs
    (R.162).
    No
    evidence
    was
    produced
    at
    hearing
    of
    the
    costs
    to
    owners
    or
    operators
    of
    farm
    land
    to
    control
    their
    sound
    emissions
    to
    other
    Class
    C
    lands.
    R76—14
    (Illinois Institute of Natural Resources’
    economic
    impact study
    (Study—14), Doc.
    No.
    78/03, October,
    1978.)
    The author of
    Study-14 chose three measures of cost.
    One
    measure
    was “base case” estimates of cost to the entire

    —8—
    forging industry.
    These costs, however,
    could be twice as
    high as true costs would be.
    The second measure was
    estimates of cost
    to all plants of reducing emissions by
    6
    dB(A).
    These figures are similarly subject to error.
    The
    third measure was estimates of cost to 10 particular plants,
    both individually and in the aggregate
    (Ex.70, p.iv.).
    The author relied on data derived by Bolt, Beranek and
    Newman,
    Inc.
    (BBN)
    to develop adjusted statewide cost
    estimates and, from these estimates,
    the base case
    estimates.
    Although there is considerable diversity among
    plants, BBN statistics were not derived on a pla~t—by—plant
    basis but rather from a model
    (Ex,70, pp.11—i3).
    Benefits of sound emission reduction were calculated by
    analyzing the distribution of homes around plants and studies
    regarding the contribution of sound emission levels to differen-
    tial property values
    (Ex.70, pp.iv—v).
    Although benefits can
    be measured by monetarizing physical effects of sound on human
    life and human activities,
    and have been covered extensively—
    in literature,
    the author did not include these physical effects
    in his assessment of benefits.
    He instead measured benefits in
    terms
    of damage
    to transactions engaged in “in which,
    implicitly,
    we place a value on
    reduced
    noise”;
    buying
    a house was singled
    out as one of these transactions.
    (Ex,70, p.58).
    The author then provides discussion of various mathematical
    equations expressing the relationship among characteristics
    determining the value of
    a house
    to the desirability
    of these
    characteristics——that
    is,
    that the value of
    a house is
    a function
    of these characteristics.
    One of these equations was utilized
    by John P. Nelson and derived from data of
    the Washington,
    D.
    C.
    SMSA;
    another was utilized by Roger
    J. Vaughn and Larry Huckins
    and derived from Chicago area traffic noise data
    (Ex.70,
    pp.58—60).
    Although these authors used different values
    for the noise
    index
    variable
    in the equation,
    the regression coefficient derived by
    both,
    used in conjunction with the variable’s contribution
    to the
    equation, was the same
    (Ex.70, pp.6l—64).
    However,
    the Study—14
    author used a second BBN report to adjust the equation to account
    for the frequency of forge hammer strikes in the noise
    index as
    represented by the relationship Le
    =
    A-weighted fast
    5 dB(A).
    This may have contributed to an un~erestimationof benefits
    (Ex.70, p.64—65).
    The author gathered data for the benefits equation by
    studying data developed by ETA Engineering,
    Inc. on 10 plants
    1 Six architecturally representative plants,
    including complying
    plants and multiple shop plants, were used to identify fourteen
    distinct elevations which were examined as representative of
    all shop elevations.
    From this examination a reference struc—

    —9—
    and developing a statewide model.
    From noise contour zones
    drawn according to the emission levels of these
    10 plants,
    extrapolation to the 26 noncomplying
    (at 56 d13(A)) plants was
    made,
    e.g.,
    the number of houses within each contour was
    increased
    by
    26/10.
    This new number of houses within each
    contour was divided by the number of plants emitting at levels
    equal
    to or greater than the levels given for each contour.
    For
    each
    plant
    was
    then
    derived
    how
    many
    houses
    were
    affected
    by
    that plant.
    The objective was to measure how much sound reduc-
    tion would accrue to the houses for given noise reductions by
    the plants
    (Ex.70, pp.66—67).
    Finally,
    the author weighed the cost—benefit ratio achieved
    (1) by designing a variant case where costs were assumed to be
    50
    lower
    than
    was
    calculated
    and
    benefits
    to
    be
    70
    higher than
    was
    calculated;
    and
    (2)
    by
    comparing
    data
    applicable
    to
    the
    10
    plants
    used
    to
    derive
    cost
    estimates.
    In
    both
    analyses the author
    found costs generally to exceed benefits
    (Ex.70, p.v).
    In determining the percentage of noncomplying shops,
    all
    shops of a given plant were treated as
    if they emitted the same
    level of sound
    (Ex.70, p.8).
    Thus estimates of how many
    Illinois shops are not presently complying with the limitation,
    as well
    as how many could not comply with various proposed
    limitations,
    may be inaccurate.
    An accurate evaluation of the economic reasonableness of any
    proposed
    reduction
    from
    the
    present
    56
    dB(A)
    level
    is
    difficult
    based on Study—14 and the entire hearing record.
    Essentially,
    the author states that costs exceed benefits at any level
    (including
    the present one)
    (R.1319—1320), and the Agency states
    that
    benefits
    exceed
    costs
    at
    any
    level
    (R.1619).
    Even
    though
    cost—benefit comparisons are factors in determining
    the
    reason-
    ableness
    of an economic impact, they are not the only factors
    which should be considered.
    The disparity between the author’s
    and the Agency’s conclusions, supported in part by witnesses
    Croke and DeGraff,
    is illustrated below.
    Costs.
    The Agency states that the author’s costs should
    he revised downward because
    (1) the least—complying plant
    in
    ture
    (typical
    shop) was developed and control costs derived
    from
    those
    control
    methodologies
    judged
    to
    be
    applicable
    at
    each
    5—dB
    increase.
    Costs
    of
    the
    applicable
    methodologies
    were
    “estimated
    with
    the
    aid
    of
    ...
    data supplied by
    ...
    Holabird
    and Root.
    The
    frequency of applicability of each method
    was
    determined
    by
    reference
    to
    the
    actual
    characteristics
    of—
    the
    14 distinct elevations.”
    Finally BBN costs were esti-
    mated based on the incidence and degree
    of noncompliance
    among shops as determined by an incomplete ETA, Inc.—Michigan
    Technological University survey although the author utilized the
    completed data when it became available
    (Ex.70, pp.13—14).

    —10—
    a group was used as the compliance cost model for each plant
    within the group (groupings were made according to actual emis-
    sions)
    (R.1678)
    (see ~
    (2)
    lighting costs are 75
    lower
    than the costs used by the author
    (R.1569);
    (3)
    the method of
    amortization of control costs,
    the estimate of the number of new
    or modified pieces of ventilation equipment needed, and the esti-
    mate of fuel consumed to maintain inplant temperatures all over-
    estimate operating costs
    (R,1572—1575);
    (4) silencers coupled
    with natural ventilation systems were not considered (R.i562—1565,
    1682,
    1697);
    (5) reduction in ventilation sizings will reduce
    mechanical
    ventilation system costs
    (R.1565); and
    (6) costs of
    barriers are two times
    too high (R,1560—1562,
    1644),
    The Agency,
    however, does state that the author properly considered
    engineer-
    ing and consultant fees
    (R,1686—1689).
    Conversely,
    the author states that the Agency’s costs should
    be revised upward because
    (1)
    costs of nighttime operations are
    excluded;
    (2)
    the increased closing of ventilation openings will
    raise inplant noise and necessitate additional
    costs; and
    (3)
    costs of stopping production to effectuate control technology
    are excluded
    (R,1769-1770).
    The author,
    however,
    does say that
    the Agency’s costs should be revised downward because of
    the
    data used
    in
    arriving
    at
    natural
    and
    mechanical ventilation
    equipment and lighting
    (R,1763—1767),
    Benefits.
    The Agency states
    •that the author’s benefits
    should be revised upward because
    (1) property values were
    underestimated by a factor of 2,63
    (R,1613,
    1635);
    (2) home
    buyers are unaware of sound emission effects in the
    environment until they have lived
    in the home for a period
    of time (R,1580—1584);
    (3) airport noise studies raise
    questions as to effects on fetuses
    (R.1715);
    (4)
    the traffic
    noise
    index used underestimated damages
    (R,1587—1592);
    (5)
    the Vaughn and Tiuckins study and model produced
    statistically nonsignificant results,
    including an under-
    estimation of benefits by one—half of what other models have
    yielded (R,1594—1598); and
    (6)
    personal health effects
    benefits are not considered
    (R.1788).
    Conversely,
    the author states that the agency’s
    benefits should be revised downward because
    (1)
    homes which
    are mobile should not reap full benefits and
    (2)
    if
    plants
    could not meet
    a 50—dB(A)
    level, benefits would be illusory
    (R.1771).
    The author,
    however,
    states that in some areas
    the Agency’s benefits would exceed costs by
    a factor of
    2
    (R. 1786),
    In trying to summarize the disparity between the cost
    and benefit estimates made by
    the
    author and the Agency, the
    Board looks
    to testimony of these participants
    themselves
    regarding the merits of their own studies,
    First, the
    Agency
    nowhere
    in the
    record
    states
    that
    its benefit figures
    are overstated.
    The Agency admits its cost figures are
    understated to the extent that data supplied to
    it

    —11—
    specifying
    the
    percentage
    of
    wall
    surface
    areas
    which
    openings
    comprise
    were
    based
    on
    a plant’s having one wall
    with
    openings
    and
    not
    two,
    three,
    or
    four
    walls
    with
    openings
    (R.1700,
    1827—1828).
    However,
    this
    does
    not
    mean
    that
    the
    figures
    are inaccurate by some factor of
    2,
    3,
    or
    4,
    but
    rather
    that
    the
    per
    wall
    percentage
    of
    openings
    figure
    used
    may
    not
    be
    as
    representative
    as
    if
    a
    percentage
    had
    been
    derived
    from
    measurements taken from all four
    walls.
    This
    does
    not
    appear
    to
    be
    a significant error
    statistically when the Agency’s study is taken as a whole.
    In addition, however,
    the Agency’s cost figures for barriers
    may not have included costs of
    labor
    (R.1648);
    this error
    would make the barrier cost estimates too
    low but not
    statistically
    unreliable
    except
    in
    isolated
    cases.
    The second point the Board notes from the record is
    that the author’s cost figures may be overstated for
    additional reasons:
    (1) payroll and sales
    figures are too
    high because if figures for complying plants had been
    included,
    per
    plant
    figures
    would
    be
    about
    40
    less
    (R.1359—1361);
    (2)
    costs of automobiles manufactured by
    companies not using only Illinois forgings would be
    lower
    (R.1404—1405);
    (3)
    the
    increased
    price
    of
    forgings
    was
    based
    on
    the
    assumption
    that
    competition
    among
    forge
    plants
    would
    not prevent any increases from being passed on to the consumer
    (R.1533,
    1548—1549);
    (4) the average area of an elevation is too
    large by at least 35
    (R.1314); and
    (5) the use
    of silencers will
    produce lower costs than stated
    (R.1314).
    It should be noted
    that the author himself states that the cost figures should be
    used for “benchmark purposes”
    (R.1313).
    These reasons, however,
    are much less significant than
    the
    further
    reason,
    pointed
    out
    by
    both
    the
    Agency
    and
    the
    author,
    that the measure used to derive costs of sound emission
    reductions was not the actual decibel
    decrease necessary but
    the approximate decrease.
    The decibel decrease upon which costs
    were
    then calculated was overestimated in this manner:
    plants
    were grouped into ranges of their actual emission levels, e.g.,
    87—91 dB(A),
    and costs calculated for all plants
    in those ranges
    based upon the given that all plants actually emitted at the
    upper level, or
    91, rather than at the lower
    level,
    or 87, or at
    any intermediate level
    (R.1314,
    1371—1375,
    1678).
    This error
    overestimates costs
    for all plants
    in the lower range of each
    grouping.
    Further,
    the choice of actual emission levels influences
    both
    the
    degree
    of
    emission
    reduction
    necessary
    and
    the
    type
    of
    con-
    trol
    technology
    which
    would
    be
    feasible
    and,
    therefore,
    the
    extent
    of
    costs
    to
    be
    incurred.
    Lastly,
    the Board
    finds in the record several questionable
    assumptions which appear to have been made,
    and some not
    to have
    been made.
    The author assumed
    (1) buyers and occupiers of homes
    differ in their valuation of benefits of sound reduction,
    e.g.,
    a buyer or occupier of a $50,000 house values sound reduction
    twice as much as
    a buyer
    o.r occupier of
    a $25,000 house

    —12—
    (R.1415—1423);
    (2) annoyance occurs primarily from single,
    defined emissions rather than multiple or repetitious emissions
    (R.1425—1432, 1557);
    (3) hearing loss is not a significant enough
    factor to be taken into account
    (R.1479);
    (4) outside research of
    the effects of noise pollution other than those in the hearing
    record would not have uncovered additional effects
    (R.1481-1482).
    Finally,
    the
    author’s
    benefit
    figures
    excluded
    benefits
    which
    could
    accrue
    to
    hospitals
    and
    physically
    immobile
    persons
    (R.1555-
    1559),
    to employment in the noise control abatement industry
    (R.1534-
    1536),
    and
    to
    citizens
    due
    to
    the
    technology-forcing
    policy
    of
    the
    Illinois Environmental Protection Act
    (Section 2)
    (R,1485—1488).
    It is clear to the Board from the testimony and documents
    in the record that cost and benefit figures cannot be relied
    upon with any reasonable accuracy.
    Therefore,
    it may not
    be true,
    as the author asserts, that costs will be greater
    than benefits
    in every instance.
    Neither does the Board find,
    as the Agency asserts, that benefits will be greater than costs
    in every instance.
    This means that the true costs of meeting a 56 dB(A) sound
    emission limitation are probably
    less than $38.1 million
    (or
    $1.1 million per 34 noncomplying shops)
    (R11313), but more than
    whatever costs the Agency would calculate;
    the true costs of
    meeting a 61—dB(A)
    limitation are probably less than $28 million
    (or $0.9 million per 30 noncomplying shops)
    (R.1313) but more
    than $10.3 million
    (or $0.3 million per 30 noncomplying shops);
    and the true costs
    of meeting
    a 66—dB(A)
    limitation are probably
    less than $20.9 million
    (or $0.8 million per
    26 noncomplying shops)
    (R,1313) but more than $7.4 million (or $0.3 million per
    26 non-
    complying shops).
    From these wide ranges,
    it can be estimated
    that the cost of compliance with limitations of either 56,
    61 or
    66 dB(A)
    could range from $300,000—$1,100,000 per shop.
    As to
    the benefits of compliance with a 56—, 61-, or 66—dB(A)
    limitation,
    the Board estimates from Exhibits 70 and 74 that the total
    range
    of benefits
    is between $2.8 million and $9.3 million.
    CONCLUSION
    Although
    the
    economic
    information
    offered
    by
    the
    Agency
    and
    the FIA is conflicting and disparate,
    there
    is sufficient data
    to support some change in the Board’s current 56—dB(A) daytime
    limitation.
    Both the Agency and
    the
    FIA agree that a lessening
    of the limitation to at
    least 61 dB(A)
    is needed.
    The Agency
    will, not concede that a less restrictive standard is either
    necessary or wise and the FIA has not convincingly proven that
    industry compliance with a less restrictive standard is economic-
    ally infeasible.
    The Board is unwilling to allow higher than a
    66-dB(A) standard when the economic data in support of this
    limitation is
    at best only marginally reliable.
    1 Table
    5 of Exhibit 74 gives costs for 61 and 66 dB(A)
    but not for
    56 dB(A).

    —13—
    The Board,
    in light of the foregoing Opinion,
    accepts
    industry’s proposal for a 66—dB(A) Class A daytime noise emission
    limitation
    rather
    than
    the
    Agency’s
    proposal
    for
    61
    dB(A);
    however,
    the 56—dB(A)
    limitation shall remain in effect during the nighttime.
    The Board is ever conscious of its responsibility to assure a
    healthy environment for the citizens of Illinois and to consider
    the
    economic
    impact
    of
    Board
    regulations.
    At
    present,
    about
    half
    of the forge plants within the State of Illinois emit sound levels
    greater
    than
    66
    dB(A)
    to
    Class
    A
    property;
    therefore,
    the
    66-dB(A)
    limitation
    stands
    as
    an
    achievable
    goal.
    Adopting
    the
    66—dB(A)
    level
    will
    not
    seriously
    compromise
    a
    healthy
    sound
    environment
    in
    the
    name
    of
    reduced
    industrial
    costs
    nor
    will
    it
    dictate
    that
    industry
    spend
    money
    in
    the
    vain
    pursuit
    of
    yet
    unachievable
    goals.
    This
    Opinion
    supports
    the
    Order
    of
    July
    24,
    1980.
    Mr.
    Werner
    dissents.
    I, Christan L. Moffett, Clerk of the Illinois Pollution
    Control
    Board,
    hereby
    certify
    that
    the
    above
    Opinion
    was
    adopted
    on
    the
    ~s-J~
    day of
    ________________,
    1980
    by
    a
    vote
    of
    4”_f
    CJ~tan L. ~iof~t~~k
    Illinois
    Pollution
    ontrol
    Board

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