BEFORE THE ILLINOIS POLLUTION CONTROL BOARD
IN THE MATTER OF:
)
)
PROPOSED NEW CAIR SO
2
, CAIR NO
X
)
ANNUAL AND CAIR NO
X
OZONE SEASON
)
R06-26
TRADING PROGRAMS, 35 ILL. ADM.
)
(Rulemaking- Air)
CODE 225, CONTROL OF EMISSIONS
)
FROM LARGE COMBUSTION SOURCES,
)
SUBPARTS A, C, D and E
)
NOTICE
TO: Dorothy Gunn, Clerk
Illinois Pollution Control Board
James R. Thompson Center
100 West Randolph, Suite 11-500
Chicago, Illinois 60601-3218
SEE ATTACHED SERVICE LIST
PLEASE TAKE NOTICE that I have today filed with the Office of the Pollution Control
Board the TESTIMONY OF GARY E. BECKSTEAD, DAVID E. BLOOMBERG, ROSTON
COOPER, RORY DAVIS, ROBERT KALEEL, YOGINDER MAHAJAN, JAMES R. ROSS
AND JACQUELYN SIMS, of the Illinois Environmental Protection Agency a copy of which is
herewith served upon you.
ILLINOIS ENVIRONMENTAL
PROTECTION AGENCY
By: ______________________
Rachel L. Doctors
Assistant Counsel
Division of Legal Counsel
DATED: September 22, 2006
1021 North Grand Avenue East
P.O. Box 19276
Springfield, Illinois 62794-9276
THIS FILING IS SUBMITTED
217.782.5544
ON RECYCLED PAPER
217.782.9143 (TDD)
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
BEFORE THE ILLINOIS POLLUTION CONTROL BOARD
IN THE MATTER OF:
)
)
PROPOSED NEW CAIR SO
2
, CAIR NO
X
)
ANNUAL AND CAIR NO
X
OZONE SEASON
)
R06-26
TRADING PROGRAMS, 35 ILL. ADM.
)
(Rulemaking- Air)
CODE 225, CONTROL OF EMISSIONS
)
FROM LARGE COMBUSTION SOURCES,
)
SUBPARTS A, C, D and E
)
TESTIMONY OF GARY E. BECKSTEAD
Qualifications
My name is Gary Beckstead. I am here representing the Illinois Environmental Protection
Agency (“Illinois EPA”) where I am the Manager of the Regulatory Unit in the Air Quality
Planning Section of the Division of Air Pollution Control in the Bureau of Air.
My academic credentials include a Bachelor of Ceramic Engineering Degree from Georgia
Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia, and a Master of Science Degree in Applied Earth
Sciences from Stanford University, Stanford, California. I have been employed by Illinois EPA
since April 1991 and have worked my entire career with the Illinois EPA in the capacity of
writing and technically supporting regulations for the control of air pollution in Illinois.
My testimony today will address other regulatory programs and requirements that impact the
proposed CAIR rule before the Board today. I will be discussing Governor Blagojevich’s
Sustainable Energy Plan, the Acid Rain program, the NO
x
SIP Call, the Clean Air Visibility
Rule (CAVR) including BART, and a planned statewide NO
x
and SO
2
control strategy.
Background
As Mr. Ross has presented in his overview of this proposed Illinois rule, U.S. EPA is requiring
Illinois electric generating units (EGUs) to reduce NO
x
and SO
2
emissions consistent with the
federal CAIR that was promulgated on May 12, 2005. Illinois EGUs are major contributors of
these air pollutants, which are important precursors of PM
2.5
(both NO
x
and SO
2
) and ozone
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
(NO
x
only). The Illinois EPA has proposed a rule that will satisfy the federal CAIR
requirements and, through the allocation methodology chosen, encourage impacted sources to
utilize energy efficiency, renewable energy, and clean coal technology in Illinois so that the
increasing demand for electricity in future years can be met without increasing air pollution.
In July 1997, U.S. EPA established the 8-hour ozone and PM
2.5
National Ambient Air Quality
Standards (NAAQS). Therefore, Illinois EPA not only must meet the federal CAIR
requirements, but also must attain these NAAQS. As Mr. Kaleel has presented in his testimony,
modeling on both a regional scale and at the state level indicates that substantial reductions of
NO
x
and SO
2
will be necessary to attain the NAAQS in Illinois’ two designated nonattainment
areas of Chicago and Metro East St. Louis. The reductions of NO
x
and SO
2
resulting from the
proposed rule will assist Illinois in reaching attainment in these two-nonattainment areas and in
minimizing transport of air pollution to downwind states, but other control strategies and
regulations will also be necessary before Illinois will be in compliance with the NAAQS.
The potential reductions, co-benefits, and impacts that other regulations will have on the Illinois
proposed CAIR are discussed in the following paragraphs.
Governor Blagojevich’s Sustainable Energy Plan
The allocation methodology chosen by Illinois EPA in this proposed rule is designed to promote
renewable energy and energy efficient technologies. This supports and complements Governor
Blagojevich’s Sustainable Energy Plan of February 2005 that has the same goals. The
Governor’s Sustainable Energy Plan, which was adopted by the Illinois Commerce Commission
(ICC) in July 2005, includes both a Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) and an Energy
Efficiency Portfolio Standard (EPS).
Under the Renewable Portfolio Standard in the Governor’s plan, beginning January 1, 2007, the
State’s largest electric utilities will be supplying 2% of the electrical output to their Illinois
customers with electricity generated from renewable energy sources. Under the Governor’s plan,
the renewable energy quota increases 1% annually to 8% by 2013. This requirement will lead to
more than 3,000 megawatts of power generated from renewable sources by 2013. At least 75%
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
of this renewable energy – or more than 2,000 megawatts – would be generated by wind power.
The Governor’s plan also includes an Energy Efficiency Portfolio Standard that will lead to
greater investment by electric utilities in programs that save energy. By 2007, electric utilities
will meet 10% of growth in demand for electricity through energy efficiency, ramping up to 25%
by 2015. Under the plan, utilities will help their customers install more efficient heating and
cooling systems, lights, and equipment that will slow the growth in energy use and help lower
energy bills for homes and businesses.
The proposed rule to implement CAIR will work in conjunction with the Governor’s plan by
allocating NO
x
allowances to sources that generate electricity using renewable energy, as well as
for projects that demonstrate improved energy efficiency in generating electricity. These
allowances can also be used for compliance or can be traded. (The Governor’s August 2006
energy proposal to promote IGCC, a recognized clean coal technology, and the use of biofuels in
Illinois are also projects that appear to be supported by the proposed CAIR, but Illinois EPA has
not completed its review of the Governor’s newest proposal and withholds any comments on this
matter as of this writing.)
Acid Rain Program
The Acid Rain Program was established under Title IV of the 1990 CAA Amendments. The
program calls for major reductions of NO
x
and SO
2
, the pollutants that cause acid rain, from
electric generating units. The program sets a permanent cap on the total amount of SO
2
that may
be emitted by electric power plants nationwide at about one-half of the amount emitted in 1980,
and allows flexibility for individual power plants to select their own methods of compliance.
The program also sets NO
x
emission limitations (in lb/millionBtu) for certain EGUs
The Acid Rain Program featured SO
2
emissions allowances, which could be traded, where one
allowance was a limited authorization to emit one ton of SO
2
. Allowances may be bought, sold,
or banked by power plants, brokers, or anyone else interested in holding them. Existing EGUs
were allocated allowances for each future compliance year and all participants of the program are
obligated to surrender to U.S. EPA the number of allowances that correspond to their reported
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
actual annual SO
2
emissions. Any remaining SO
2
allowances may be sold or banked for use in
future years.
For SO
2
the federal CAIR is based on the Acid Rain Program administered by U.S. EPA. States
do not have flexibility of how to allocate SO
2
allowances. The proposed Illinois rule
incorporates by reference the provisions of the federal model rule for the CAIR SO
2
trading
program.
The NO
x
component of the Acid Rain Program established a maximum emission rate for various
types of coal-fired boilers. These limits reflected the use of low-NO
x
burner technology as
available in the mid-1990s. Flexibility was introduced to this command and control measure
through compliance options such as emissions averaging. This allows power plants to over-
control at units where it is technically easier or more economical to control emissions, thereby
achieving emissions reductions at a lower cost.
In order to comply with the NO
x
CAIR, the Illinois EPA is proposing to opt-in to U.S. EPA’s
CAIR annual and ozone season NOx trading programs. For the seasonal and annual NOx cap-
and-trade programs, Illinois EPA will allocate NO
x
allowances equivalent to USEPA’s Annual
and Seasonal NO
x
allowance budgets as set forth in the proposal and affected sources will be
required to have NO
x
allowances equivalent to their seasonal and annual emissions. In addition,
affected Acid Rain sources will still be required for the NO
x
portion of the Acid Rain program to
achieve an annual emission rate at or below mandated levels by the Acid Rain program.
NO
x
SIP Call
In October 1998, the U.S. EPA determined that sources in 22 states (including Illinois) in the
eastern U.S. and the District of Columbia (23 jurisdictions) emit NO
x
in amounts that
significantly contributed to nonattainment of the 1-hour ozone NAAQS in one or more
downwind states, and issued a call for revisions to States’ implementation plans. This action is
commonly referred to as the “NO
x
SIP Call.”
The NO
x
SIP Call required each of the named upwind jurisdictions to submit revisions to U.S.
EPA for their State Implementation Plans (SIPs) to reduce the contribution of sources in the
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
upwind states to ozone problems downwind. U.S. EPA then identified measures it determined to
be highly cost-effective: (1) for EGUs serving generators greater than 25 MWe; (2) from
industrial boilers and turbines greater than 250 mmBtu, referred to as non-EGUs; (3) from
cement kilns; and (4) from large stationary internal combustion engines. U.S. EPA established
emission budgets for each jurisdiction covering the source sectors therein based on certain
emission rates for each sector. U.S. EPA also gave the states flexibility for the EGU and Non-
EGU sectors when it established the NOx SIP call trading program for EGUS and Non-EGUs
that it would administer for states that chose to participate. In particular, the NO
x
SIP Call
capped emissions from all affected EGUs and Non-EGUs during the ozone season (May 1
through September 30).
To comply with NO
x
SIP Call requirements, Illinois adopted regulations to reduce NO
x
emissions from cement kilns, non-EGUs, and EGUs. These regulations can be found in Subparts
T, U, and W of 35 Ill. Adm. Code 217, respectively. Subpart W, the NO
x
Trading Program for
EGUs, was implemented in the 2004 ozone season. Illinois EPA will continue to operate the
NO
x
SIP Call trading program until implementation of the CAIR begins in 2009. U.S. EPA and
Illinois EPA will no longer operate the NO
x
SIP Call trading program after the 2008 ozone
season, as the CAIR NO
x
ozone season trading program will replace the NO
x
SIP Call trading
program for EGUs. Emissions of NO
x
and SO
2
from non-EGUs will be addressed in future
proposed rulemakings.
Illinois Statewide NO
x
and SO
2
Control Strategy
Illinois EPA is currently working on a statewide NO
x
and SO
2
control strategy that will require
that controls be operated year-round on those categories of sources where controls are highly
cost effective. The non-EGU emission source categories under consideration include
reciprocating internal combustion engines and turbines; industrial, commercial, and institutional
boilers; process heaters; cement and lime kilns; glass melting furnaces; iron and steel furnaces;
and aluminum melting furnaces. The NO
x
and SO
2
emission reductions from this control
strategy will further assist Illinois EPA’s efforts in the attainment of the 8-hour ozone and PM
2.5
NAAQS and satisfy the State’s requirements under the NO
x
SIP Call.
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
Clean Air Visibility Rule (CAVR)
Section 169A of the Clean Air Act sets a national goal for visibility, i.e., “the prevention of any
future, and the remedying of any existing, impairment of visibility in Class I areas which
impairment results from manmade air pollution”. Class I areas include national parks and
wilderness areas across the country.
In July 1997, U.S. EPA proposed amendments to the existing 1980 regulations to establish a
program to address regional haze visibility impairment. On July 1, 1999, U.S. EPA finalized
regional haze regulations to improve visibility in 156 federal Class I areas.
One of the requirements of the final regional haze regulation, which is now referred to as the
Clean Air Visibility Rule(CAVR), is the application of best available retrofit technology
(BART) to sources contributing to regional haze. BART requirements apply to facilities built
between 1962 and 1977 that have the potential to emit more than 250 tons a year of visibility-
impairing pollutants. The pollutants that cause visibility impairment include PM
2.5
, and
compounds that contribute to PM
2.5
formation, such as NO
x
, SO
2
and, under certain conditions,
volatile organic compounds and ammonia. Affected facilities are those that fall into 26
categories, including power plants and industrial boilers, and large industrial plants such as pulp
mills, refineries, and smelters. Many of such facilities have previously not been subject to
federal pollution control requirements for visibility impairing pollutants.
As noted in Mr. Rob Kaleel’s testimony, U.S. EPA’s modeling has demonstrated that existing
control programs, including CAIR and CAVR, will improve visibility, but will not be enough to
meet regional haze goals in the northern Class I areas. Based on this modeling, the Illinois EPA
has decided not to assume that CAIR is equivalent to BART.
This concludes my written testimony. I will be available for questions regarding my testimony
during the panel discussions.
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
BEFORE THE ILLINOIS POLLUTION CONTROL BOARD
IN THE MATTER OF:
)
)
PROPOSED NEW CAIR SO
2
, CAIR NO
X
)
ANNUAL AND CAIR NO
X
OZONE SEASON
)
R06-26
TRADING PROGRAMS, 35 ILL. ADM.
)
(Rulemaking- Air)
CODE 225, CONTROL OF EMISSIONS
)
FROM LARGE COMBUSTION SOURCES,
)
SUBPARTS A, C, D and E
)
TESTIMONY OF DAVID E. BLOOMBERG
Good afternoon. My name is David E. Bloomberg. I am employed by the Illinois Environmental
Protection Agency as the Compliance Unit Manager in the Compliance and Enforcement Section
within the Division of Air Pollution Control. I have been at the Agency in this capacity for over
two years and four months, and was previously an Environmental Protection Engineer in the Air
Quality Planning Section for twelve and a half years. My academic credentials include a
Bachelor of Science degree in ceramic engineering from the University of Illinois at Champaign-
Urbana.
Among my other duties, I supervise Illinois’ portion of the current NOx trading program run
under the NOx SIP Call. This has involved determining or approving the determination of which
sources are eligible to receive certain types of allowances, such as early reduction credits and
new source set-asides; determining or approving the determination of apportionment of
allowances given to such sources or to other sources eligible to receive allowances; collecting or
overseeing the collection of monies for sales of certain NOx allowances; informing U.S. EPA
how to distribute NOx allowances to Illinois sources; answering questions concerning the Illinois
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
NOx rules; and related tasks.
In addition, as manager of the Compliance Unit, I approve Agency reviews of emissions and
monitor testing conducted for sources subject to NOx regulations, participate in decisions
regarding enforcement of the Board’s air pollution regulations, and oversee the process of
sending out Violation Notices and related activities.
I am here today to provide testimony and to answer questions that might arise regarding the
compliance, monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting aspects of the NOx portion of this
rulemaking.
The proposed Sections 225.410 and 225.510 contain the compliance requirements for the CAIR
NOx annual and ozone season trading program, respectively. Among these requirements is that
each designated representative must hold CAIR NOx allowances for each of their subject units in
an amount of at least one allowance per ton of NOx emitted from that unit during the control
period, rounded to the nearest whole ton. This requirement is the same as in the existing seasonal
NOx trading program.
Other requirements include that the source conduct the proper emissions monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting. The monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting requirements
incorporate those of the federal CAIR program in 40 CFR 96, subpart HH. That subpart includes
requirements for CAIR NOx sources to install and certify continuous emissions monitors;
directions on how sources should handle monitoring systems that fail to meet quality-assurance,
2
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
quality-control, or data validation requirements; and provisions on recordkeeping and reporting
of emissions and other related data. Other recordkeeping and reporting requirements also
incorporate those of the federal CAIR program.
One type of monitoring in addition to the federal CAIR program is the monitoring of gross
electrical output and useful thermal energy, found in Sections 225.450 and 225.550 of the
proposed Illinois rule. Under the proposed rule, which uses gross electrical output and useful
thermal energy as the means by which allowances are calculated and allocated – which are being
discussed in more detail by Rory Davis and Jackie Sims – sources must measure and record the
gross electrical output in megawatt-hours on a continuous basis. Cogeneration units must also
monitor and record indicators of useful thermal energy that is produced on a continuous basis.
Under the proposed regulation, this information must be submitted to the Agency on a quarterly
basis. As noted in the TSD, electric generating units are currently required to report gross
electrical output data to U.S. EPA.
There may be additional monitoring, recordkeeping, or reporting required for any project sponsor
of a Clean Air Set-Aside request. However, those requirements will be specific to the project in
question and thus are not described in detail within the proposed regulations. Examples of such
possible additional requirements could include monitoring of air pollution control equipment
upgrades as described in Sections 225.460(c) and 225.560(c), or documentation of new
residential construction projects that qualify for Energy Efficient Tax Incentives as described in
Sections 225.460(a)(2) and 225.560(a)(2). Information necessary to support requests under the
Clean Air Set-Aside can be found in proposed Sections 225.470 and 225.570 of the proposed
3
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
rule. Clean Air Set-Asides are being discussed in more detail by Ross Cooper.
In summary, the monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting requirements of this proposed
rulemaking incorporate the requirements of the federal CAIR program. In addition, there are
several further requirements that reflect the Illinois-specific aspects of this regulation, such as
Clean Air Set-Asides and allocations based on gross electrical output.
4
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
BEFORE THE ILLINOIS POLLUTION CONTROL BOARD
IN THE MATTER OF:
)
)
PROPOSED NEW CAIR SO
2
, CAIR NO
X
)
ANNUAL AND CAIR NO
X
OZONE SEASON
)
R06-26
TRADING PROGRAMS, 35 ILL. ADM.
)
(Rulemaking- Air)
CODE 225, CONTROL OF EMISSIONS
)
FROM LARGE COMBUSTION SOURCES,
)
SUBPARTS A, C, D and E
)
TESTIMONY OF ROSTON COOPER
Qualifications
My name is Roston (Ross) Cooper. I am here today for the Illinois Environmental Protection
Agency (Illinois EPA or Agency). I have a Bachelor of Science degree in electrical engineering
from Northern Illinois University, and a Masters of Business Administration degree from the
University of Illinois at Springfield. I have also completed the required training course and
examination, successfully passed, toward being a Certified Energy Manager registered with the
Association of Energy Engineers.
I joined the Agency in August 2001, as an Environmental Protection Engineer I in the
State/FESOP Permit Section for the Bureau of Air. I am currently an Environmental Protection
Engineer III in the Title 5 unit of the Permit Section. In addition to my duties related to
permitting, I have assisted in developing a number of regulatory programs for stationary sources,
including the proposed Illinois CAIR rule.
The purpose of my testimony of is to provide additional explanation of the Clean Air Set-Asides
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
(CASA) provisions of the proposed rule.
Clean Air Set-Asides Overview
The Illinois EPA CAIR proposal uses the flexibility of the CAIR NO
x
trading program to include
the use of set-asides to further the priorities of the State. Consistent with the goals of the State’s
sustainable energy plan as well as a cleaner environment, the Illinois EPA crafted the CASA to
be used as incentives for various energy efficiency and renewable energy projects, pollution
control upgrades at existing power plants, the construction of new highly efficient or clean coal
technology power plants, and those projects that commence before a certain date. The set-aside
of CAIR NO
x
allowances is not a reduction of the overall NO
x
budget as it is not a retirement of
allowances. Instead the CASA are intended to be allocated to eligible applicants who in turn are
expected to trade those allowances to the utilities for their compliance needs.
CAIR NO
x
allowances will be allocated to sponsors of approved projects in proportion to the
quantity of electrical generation that is produced by the project, the amount of electrical
generation that can be displaced by the project, or the demonstrable amount of NO
x,
SO2
,
or
particular matter emissions that can be abated by the project. Projects that reduce SO
2
and
particulate matter emissions are also eligible for CASA credit under the NOx annual program
because these pollutants also contribute to nonattainment in Illinois. Importantly, almost one
half of the set-aside is intended for allocation exclusively to projects sponsored by the existing
power plants and the power sector.
While NO
x
allowances from the CASA may be later sold by sponsors of energy efficiency and
2
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
renewable energy (EE/RE) projects, the environmental benefit of such a set-aside in a trading
program is two-fold. First, the monetary value of CAIR NO
x
allowances is an economic
incentive to businesses and individuals who may be interested in participating in energy
efficiency projects, or investing in renewable energy projects in Illinois. Second, initially
allocating allowances to EE/RE projects that conserve energy or cleanly produce electricity
makes each NO
x
allowance from the set-aside effectively represent a greater amount of available
electricity being produced from the same quantity of NO
x
being emitted to the atmosphere.
CASA Category Descriptions
The CASA is divided up into three major categories: Energy Efficiency and Conservation
Projects/Renewable Energy Projects, Clean Coal Technology Projects, and Air Pollution
Control Equipment Upgrades at existing power plants. A small portion of the CASA is also
dedicated to projects that are undertaken before a certain date and are considered to be Early
Adopters.
Energy Efficiency and Conservation Projects include demand-side management projects, energy
efficient new construction, supply-side energy efficiency projects, and highly efficient electrical
generation. Renewable Energy Projects include zero emission generation units, (wind, hydro,
and solar power) and landfill gas and biomass electrical generation units. The Clean Coal
Technology category includes Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle (IGCC) generation,
electric generation from Circulating Fluidized Bed (CFB) boilers, and other future technologies
for electric generation from coal combustion that can achieve emissions comparable to those
associated with IGCC or CFB boilers. The Air Pollution Control Equipment Upgrade category
3
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
includes specific pollution control equipment, i.e. SCR, SNCR, FGD, or fabric filters, installed at
existing affected units that reduces PM, NO
x
, or SO
2
emissions.
A sponsor of an Energy Efficiency and Conservation project may reapply for allowances from
the CASA for an approved project each year for eight control periods. A sponsor of an Air
Pollution Control Equipment Upgrade project may reapply for allowances from the CASA for an
approved project each year for 15 control periods. A sponsor of a project that qualifies as an
Early Adopter may receive allowances from that portion of the CASA for ten control periods.
Sponsors of projects that involve the generation of electricity may apply for allowances from the
CASA based upon gross electrical output for as long as the units are in operation.
The Illinois EPA proposal also details the time frames in which project construction must
commence in order to be eligible for CAIR NO
x
allowances from the CASA. Demand side
management, energy efficient new construction, and supply side energy efficiency and
conservation projects must have commenced construction on or after January 1, 2003, to be
eligible for CASA allowances. Fluidized bed coal combustion projects, efficient generation
projects, or renewable energy emission units must have commenced construction on or after
January 1, 2001, to be eligible for CASA allowances. All other projects must have commenced
construction on or after July 1, 2006, to be eligible for CASA allowances.
CASA Project Specifications
The Energy Conservation Projects and Renewable Energy Generation portion of the CASA is
equal to 12% of the total CAIR NO
x
budget, and when compared with the United States EPA
4
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
(USEPA) suggested range of 5-15%, it is an acceptable portion of a NO
x
trading budget for
energy efficiency and renewable energy set-aside.
The number of allowances allocated to highly efficient generation projects will be determined by
the quantity of electricity generated and the emission rates of those generators. Consideration is
given towards the useful thermal energy associated with combined heat and power (CHP)
projects.
Renewable Energy Generation is electricity generated using energy from the sun water, and
wind or from another renewable source. Eligible hydroelectric plants are restricted to new
generators, that are not replacements of existing generators, that commence operation on or after
January 1, 2006, and do not involve the significant expansion of an existing dam or the
construction of a new dam. The conversion factor used to calculate the number of allowances
allocated for generation of electricity by zero emission generating units is greater than the factor
used in calculations for allowances in the other categories of CASA, and is intended to
encourage further development and investment in zero emission electrical generation in Illinois.
Other sources of renewable energy are also available in Illinois for electric generation, these
could include generation from the combustion of ethanol, biodiesel, landfill gas, or biomass.
Eligible renewable energy units are restricted to those units that generate electricity using more
than 50 percent of the heat input on an annual basis from the renewable fuel. Renewable energy
projects specifically do not include those projects who derive their energy from incineration by
burning or heating of waste wood, tires, garbage, general household, institutional lunchroom or
5
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
office waste, landscape waste, or construction or demolition debris. Qualified sponsors of
projects using renewable energy sources for electrical generation will receive CAIR NO
x
allowances proportional to the unit’s electrical generation for the life of the project. The
conversion factor used to calculate the number of allowances allocated for generation of
electricity by a renewable energy unit that produces some emissions will use a conversion factor
that is significantly less than the factor used to calculate allocations for the other categories of
CASA. This reflects a desire to promote electricity generated from renewable energy sourcesand
the consideration that these renewable energy sources may produce appreciable amounts of NO
x
when compared to zero emission generating units.
The Air Pollution Control Equipment Upgrade category of the CASA is intended for allocation
to existing coal-fired units that voluntarily (i.e., not required by a court order, consent decree or a
Supplemental Environmental Project (SEP)) have new pollution control devices installed
beginning July 1, 2006. This category is equal to 5% of the total CAIR NO
x
budget. Projects
that qualify for allowances from this portion of the CASA will receive allowances proportionate
to the difference in the average emission rate of a unit before the installation of pollution control
equipment and the average emission rate after installation of specific pollution control equipment
for a period of up to 15 years. For air pollution control equipment upgrades that are not NO
x
specific, such as baghouses or FGD, the CAIR NO
x
allowances are available only for the annual
trading program. In the seasonal trading program, allocations made for air pollution control
equipment upgrades will be allocated for NO
x
specific controls only.
Allowances allocated from this portion of the CASA are intended to encourage utilities to install
6
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
pollution control equipment, and more specifically to install the equipment earlier than may have
been required by CAIR.
The structure of the CASA is such that an undersubscribed category will be allowed to
accumulate up to double its value, with the excess then used to supplement other categories as
necessary. The proposed rule’s intention is to make the installation of pollution control
equipment in Illinois more cost effective.
The air pollution control equipment upgrade projects that qualify for this category of the CASA
include selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR), selective catalytic reductions (SCR),
baghouses (or fabric filters), and flue gas desulfurization (FGD). Both SCR and SNCR have
been shown to be cost-effective in reducing NO
x
emissions from utility boilers. This proposal
includes baghouses and FGD in the Air Pollution Control Equipment Upgrade category of the
CASA for the NO
x
annual trading program because they are effective methods for the reduction
of PM
2.5
and SO
2
emissions from power plants.
The Clean Coal Technology category allowances will be allocated to Integrated Gasified
Combined Cycle (IGCC) generators and Circulating Fluidized Bed (CFB) combustion boilers,
and any other future technologies that achieve comparable emission rates while generating
electricity from coal combustion. This category of the CASA is equal to 6% of the total CAIR
NO
x
budget. Projects that qualify for allowances from this category receive allowances based
upon the difference in the emission rate of the clean coal technology and an emission rate of 1.0
lb. of NO
x
per MWh of electricity generated for the life of the project. Illinois currently has one
7
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
operational CFB boiler that is generating electricity, and is currently reviewing permit
applications for the construction of a number of IGCC projects.
The timing-based Early Adopters portion of the CASA is equal to 2% of the total CAIR NO
x
budget. Projects that qualify for allowances from this portion of the CASA must have
commenced construction before December 31, 2012, and will receive allowances up to one plus
one tenth of the number of allowances received from other categories of the CASA for a period
of up to ten years.
Economic Impacts
In addition to the CASA provisions of the proposed Illinois rule encouraging and promoting
energy efficiency, renewable energy, conservation, and clean coal technology, use of these set-
asides should also create a number of secondary economic benefits. In 1999, U.S. EPA
estimated the economic benefits that can accrue from a 5% energy efficiency and renewable
energy set-aside in the NO
x
Budget Trading Program across the SIP Call region, including an
estimated reduction in electric demand of over 90 billion kWh in 2003 in the NO
x
SIP Call
region, approximately $5 billion in energy bill savings to consumers in 2003, about $150 million
in compliance cost savings for 2003, and about 20,000 new jobs throughout the region.
8
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
BEFORE THE ILLINOIS POLLUTION CONTROL BOARD
IN THE MATTER OF:
)
)
PROPOSED NEW CAIR SO
2
, CAIR NO
X
)
ANNUAL AND CAIR NO
X
OZONE SEASON
)
R06-26
TRADING PROGRAMS, 35 ILL. ADM.
)
(Rulemaking- Air)
CODE 225, CONTROL OF EMISSIONS
)
FROM LARGE COMBUSTION SOURCES,
)
SUBPARTS A, C, D and E
)
TESTIMONY OF RORY DAVIS
My name is Rory Davis. I am an Environmental Protection Engineer in the Air Quality
Planning Unit, Air Pollution Control Section of the Illinois EPA’s Bureau of Air. I have been
employed by the Agency in the Air Quality Planning Unit for one year. Prior to that, I worked at
the Illinois Department of Transportation for four years as an Engineering Technician. I have a
Bachelor of Science degree in Computational Physics as well as a Bachelor of Science degree in
Mathematics from Illinois State University. I also have a Masters degree in Engineering from
the University of Illinois at Chicago. My graduate studies consisted of an interdisciplinary
program involving coursework from the Chemical Engineering and Mechanical Engineering
fields with a concentration on Environmental Engineering.
In my current position with the Agency my duties include providing technical support for
regulatory proposals. I will be providing testimony regarding the output-based allocation
methodology that the Agency has included in its CAIR proposal.
Output-based Allocation Methodology
In an emissions trading program such as CAIR, an allocation methodology is a system for
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
determining the number of emission allowances that each emission unit will receive. In
regulating electrical generating units an output-based allocation methodology is one based upon
the electrical output attributed to a given unit. Illinois EPA has proposed an output-based
allocation methodology for CAIR because it encourages greater efficiency from sources by
allocating based on output rather than use of fuel, adds a degree of flexibility in compliance
strategies for sources, as is true for most trading programs, and is consistent with the allocation
methodology used for the Clean Air Set-Aside. The proposed output-based allocation is based
on fuel type, and then the number of CAIR NOx allowances is adjusted proportional to a unit’s
fraction of the total calculated gross electrical output of all Illinois CAIR units for that period to
determine a unit’s final allocation.
Many of the categories of the CASA eligible for allowances for environmentally
beneficial practices do not include a measure of heat input, and measuring heat input for other
eligible categories would be inconsistent with the goals of the CASA . These include zero
emission electrical generation, energy efficiency projects, clean coal technology projects, and
pollution control technology upgrades. Further, it would not promote the goals of the CASA to
allocate a greater number of CASA allowances for a greater measure of heat input. In addition,
employing an output-based allocation methodology creates a level playing field where the
production or conservation of electricity by the specified means in the CASA is encouraged in
the same manner that allowances are allocated to affected CAIR sources.
Gross Electrical Generation
Illinois EPA has proposed to determine allocations based on gross electrical output rather
than net output. Net output or net generation is a measure of electrical generation from a source
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
that is produced and available for sale or use. This excludes power used by the plant itself and
other various losses in transformers before the electricity “leaves the plant.” Gross electrical
output is a measure of the electricity produced by a generator before any of these losses occur.
The proposal is based on gross electrical output because gross output is simpler to measure. In a
net generation measurement it is often unclear what a source is allowed to measure as net
generation due to various configurations and interpretations of net generation. A gross output
methodology makes use of measurements of how much electricity is produced by a generator.
Second, gross output is measured before losses in the plant take place. This encourages
efficiency in the generation process. Finally, gross electrical output is a measure that is currently
reported by sources to the USEPA Clean Air Markets Division (CAMD), and is readily available
for the calculation of allocations.
Gross Electrical Output Metering
As mentioned above, because CAIR sources are already reporting gross electrical output
data to CAMD via the U.S. Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration (EIA),
the equipment required for metering gross electrical output should already be in use at all
affected CAIR sources. Illinois EPA has been in contact with the USEPA and the EIA regarding
the quality control of gross output data. Illinois EPA is aware that other states subject to CAIR
have also be in contact with USEPA.
The model CAIR does provide the states flexibility in allocation methodology, using an
output-based allocation methodology is was one of the suggested options. A number of states
currently use output-based regulations in regulating electric generating units including
California, Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, and Ohio.
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
Other states are considering or expecting to use output-based regulations in their CAIR and
CAMR implementation plans.
Flexibility in Illinois Proposal
Illinois EPA’s proposal has included a transition to an output-based regulation for electric
generating units in Illinois by allowing an owner/operator of an electric generating unit to report
heat input rather than gross electrical output for the first round of CAIR NOx allocations. This is
further discussed in Jacquelyn Sims’ testimony.
Fuel Weighting in Allocation Methodology
Illinois EPA is proposing that a system of fuel weighting be used, as proposed in the
model CAIR. In calculating the gross electrical output for a unit the type of fuel that is used for
electrical production is also factored in. To calculate a unit’s converted gross output, the total
gross electrical output of a unit must be multiplied by 1.0 for units burning coal, by 0.6 for units
burning oil, and by 0.4 for units burning natural gas. This accounts for the different emission
rates of the various fuels for comparable heat values.
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
BEFORE THE ILLINOIS POLLUTION CONTROL BOARD
IN THE MATTER OF:
)
)
PROPOSED NEW CAIR SO
2
, CAIR NO
X
)
ANNUAL AND CAIR NO
X
OZONE SEASON
)
R06-26
TRADING PROGRAMS, 35 ILL. ADM.
)
(Rulemaking- Air)
CODE 225, CONTROL OF EMISSIONS
)
FROM LARGE COMBUSTION SOURCES,
)
SUBPARTS A, C, D and E
)
TESTIMONY OF ROBERT KALEEL
My name is Robert Kaleel. I am the Manager of the Air Quality Planning Section, Division of
Air Pollution Control, Bureau of Air at the Illinois Environmental Protection Agency (“Illinois
EPA”), Springfield, Illinois. I have a Bachelor of Science degree in meteorology from Northern
Illinois University. I have worked at the Illinois EPA for more than twenty-five years, and have
been in my present position since March 2004. Prior to that, I was the Manager of the Air
Quality Modeling Unit in the Air Quality Planning Section, a position that I held for more than
fifteen years. I have also worked as a private consultant as a specialist in air quality modeling.
As Manager of the Air Quality Planning Section, my responsibilities include oversight of staff
that provides technical support for regulatory initiatives needed to address air quality issues in
Illinois, including the regulatory proposal before the Board at this hearing. I have also been
closely involved with the development of Illinois’ State Implementation Plans to address the
PM
2.5
and ozone nonattainment areas in Illinois.
The purpose of my testimony is to summarize the air quality benefits expected from
implementation of this proposal, as well as the corresponding health and welfare benefits
resulting from improved air quality. My testimony is based on the information provided to the
Board by the Illinois EPA in the “Technical Support Document” (“TSD”) which accompanied
the regulatory proposal.
In Illinois, electric generating units (“EGUs”) are the largest sources of sulfur dioxide (“SO
2
”)
emissions to the atmosphere, and one of the largest sources of nitrogen oxides (“NO
x
”). These
1
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
pollutants are precursors to fine particulate matter, or PM
2.5
, and NO
x
is also a precursor to
ozone. According to the United States Environmental Protection Agency (“U.S. EPA”), the
power sector accounted for 67% of total nationwide SO
2
emissions and 22% of total nationwide
NO
x
emissions in 2003. Control of the emissions of these air pollutants from electric generating
units is necessary for the State of Illinois to comply with the July 1997 revised National Ambient
Air Quality Standards (“NAAQS”) for 8-hour ozone and for PM
2.5
.
Section 110 of the Clean Air Act (“CAA”), as amended in 1990, mandates that the State of
Illinois adopt a State Implementation Plan (“SIP”) with adequate provisions to assure attainment
of the primary and secondary NAAQS not only within its state boundaries. Section 110 also
prohibits any stationary sources in one state from emitting air pollutants that prevent any other
state from attaining the NAAQS. The U.S. EPA published a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on
January 30, 2004, a Supplemental Proposal on June 10, 2004, and a final CAIR Rulemaking on
May 12, 2005. In these proposed and final rulemakings, U.S. EPA published findings based on
air quality modeling and ambient air quality data analyses that 28 states and the District of
Columbia “contribute significantly” to nonattainment of either or both of the PM
2.5
or 8-hour
ozone NAAQS in downwind areas. Based on these findings, the final CAIR rule requires these
upwind states to revise their SIPs to either include control measures or to opt into the regional
emission trading program, which establishes emissions cap-and-trade program for participating
sources to reduce emissions of SO
2
and/or NO
x
to facilitate downwind states in attaining the
PM
2.5
and/or 8-hour ozone NAAQS. Illinois is one of the 28 states that must revise its SIP as a
result of CAIR and U.S. EPA’s findings.
Two metropolitan areas in Illinois have been designated by U.S. EPA as nonattainment areas for
PM
2.5
: the Chicago area, which includes Cook, DuPage, Kane, Lake, McHenry, Will counties
and portions of Kendall and Grundy counties; and the Metro-East St. Louis area, which consists
of Madison, Monroe, and St. Clair counties and a portion of Randolph County. I have attached
to my testimony Figure 2-1 from the TSD showing the PM
2.5
nonattainment areas for the all the
states in U.S. EPA Region 5. These areas were designated nonattainment by U.S. EPA on
January 5, 2005.
2
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
For 8-hour ozone, the geographic areas designated as nonattainment by U.S. EPA are
approximately the same areas that were designated as nonattainment for PM
2.5.
The only
difference in the geographic extent of the nonattainment areas for the two pollutants is in the
Metro-East St. Louis area, where the 8-hour ozone nonattainment area includes Jersey County
and does not include Randolph Township in Randolph County. Figure 2-2 in the TSD shows the
8-hour ozone nonattainment areas for the states in Region 5. This figure is attached to my
testimony. These areas were designated nonattainment by U.S. EPA on April 30, 2004.
Fine particles and ozone are associated with thousands of premature deaths and illnesses each
year in the United States. In revising the NAAQS for particulate matter to establish the ambient
standards for PM
2.5
in July 1997, U.S. EPA found that fine particles aggravate respiratory, lung,
and cardiovascular diseases, decrease lung function, and increase asthma attacks, heart attacks,
and cardiac arrhythmia. As a consequence of over-exposure in breathing fine particles, hospital
admissions and emergency room visits increase as does absenteeism from school and work.
Older adults, people with heart and lung disease, and children are the segments of society that are
particularly sensitive to fine particle exposure. Attainment of the PM
2.5
standard will prolong
thousands of lives in the State of Illinois and in downwind states. Additional information on the
health effects of fine particles can be found on U.S. EPA’s website at:
(http://www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/standards/pm/s_pm_index.html).
U.S. EPA also revised the NAAQS for ozone in July 1997, stating that “the new primary
standard will provide increased protection to the public, especially children and other at-risk
populations, against a wide range of ozone-induced health effects.” In setting the new 8-hour
ozone standard, U.S. EPA found that exposures to ozone of one to three hours in length has been
found to irritate the respiratory system, causing coughing, throat irritation, and chest pain.
Ozone exposure can limit lung function and breathing capacity resulting in rapid and shallow
breathing thereby lowering or curtailing a person’s normal activity level. As with PM
2.5
exposure, ozone exposure increases asthma attacks for people with respiratory disorders.
Longer-term ozone exposure may result in damage to the lung tissue and lining from
inflammation, which can produce permanent and irreversible changes in lung function. Children
and adults who are active outdoors are particularly susceptible to ozone, as well as people with
3
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
asthma and respiratory diseases. Ozone also affects sensitive ecosystems and vegetation,
resulting in reduced crop yields, reduced growth and lowered pest resistance, and a lowered
ability for plants and trees to survive. Information on the health effects to humans and
vegetation from exposure to ozone can be found on U.S. EPA’s website at:
(http://www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/standards/ozone/s_o3 _index.html).
To the extent that this proposal will help to attain the NAAQS in Illinois and downwind states,
the reduction of NO
x
and SO
2
emissions will provide significant monetary and non-monetary
health and welfare benefits. U.S. EPA estimates that nationwide, CAIR will yield health benefits
in 2015 of between $86 and $101 billion. These estimates include the value of avoiding
approximately 17,000 premature deaths, 22,000 non-fatal heart attacks, 12,300 hospitalizations
for respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, 1.7 million lost work days, 500,000 school absences,
and 10.6 million days when adults restrict normal activities because of respiratory symptoms
exacerbated by PM
2.5
and ozone pollution. U.S. EPA also estimates substantial additional health
improvements for children from reductions in upper and lower respiratory illnesses, acute
bronchitis, and asthma attacks. Estimated annual reductions in incidences of health effects are
shown in Table 3-1 of the TSD, which I have attached to my testimony. Estimated annual
monetary value of reductions in incidences of health and welfare effects are presented in Table
3-2 of the TSD, which is also attached to my testimony.
In assisting the downwind nonattainment areas in achieving the PM
2.5
and 8-hour ozone
NAAQS, CAIR will also provide the welfare benefits, including both environmental and other
societal benefits, of reducing pollution. Welfare benefits include reductions in damage to
ecosystems, improved visibility and improvements in recreational and commercial fishing,
agricultural yields, and forest productivity. U.S. EPA estimated that CAIR will yield welfare
benefits of $1.8 billion in 2015 for visibility improvements in Class I areas and reduced regional
haze in scenic areas, which are the goals of the federal Regional Haze Rule promulgated in 1999.
In estimating the net benefits of the regulation, the appropriate cost measure is social costs,
which represent the costs (e.g., increases in the price of electricity to consumers) of the rule to
society. The social costs of CAIR across all affected states are estimated to be between $1.9 and
4
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
$2.1 billion in 2010, and between $2.6 and $3.1 billion in 2015. The net effect is that CAIR
would be highly beneficial to society, with annual net benefits (benefits less costs) of
approximately $60 to $71 billion in 2010, and $83 to $98 billion in 2015.
U.S. EPA was unable to monetize important benefits beyond the human health and welfare
benefits that are expected to occur from CAIR. These other benefits occur both directly from
NO
x
and SO
2
emissions reductions, and from reductions in co-pollutants such as mercury.
Additionally, reductions in NO
x
and SO
2
emissions required by CAIR will reduce acid
deposition, in the case of NO
x
, eutrophication of water bodies. Reduced nitrate contamination of
drinking water is another possible benefit of the rule.
According to U.S. EPA, the proposed regulations to implement the CAIR program will provide
substantial NOx and SO
2
emission reductions in Illinois, yielding significant air quality benefits.
Table 9.1 in the TSD summarized the expected emission reductions in Illinois based on U.S.
EPA’s estimates. I have attached Table 9.1 to my testimony. Beginning in 2009,
implementation of CAIR will reduce NOx emissions by 70,018 tons annually, relative to the
projected 2009 base scenario. By 2015, CAIR will reduce NOx emissions by 97,776 tons
annually, relative to the projected 2015 base scenario. CAIR will also reduce SO
2
emissions
significantly in Illinois, by 192,670 tons per year, relative to Illinois’ annual Title IV (Acid Rain)
allocation, and by 250,472 tons annually by 2015.
To evaluate the air quality benefits of CAIR emission reductions, U.S. EPA performed extensive
air quality modeling, as documented in its “Technical Support Document for the Final Clean Air
Interstate Rule – Air Quality Modeling” (March 2005). The base year (2001) emissions
inventory for electric generating units was based on 2001 Continuous Emissions Monitoring
(CEM) data, while output from the Integrated Planning Model was used to develop future year
emissions for 2010 and 2015 from electric generating units for the CAIR cap-and-trade
programs. The Integrated Planning Model (“IPM”) is an electricity capacity planning and
dispatch model that simulates the operation of the electrical power system based on engineering
and economic factors.
5
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
U.S. EPA’s model results for ozone demonstrate that CAIR NO
x
emission controls provide few
air quality benefits in 2010 beyond those provided by the NO
x
SIP Call. The Chicago area and
other nonattainment areas around Lake Michigan will continue to exceed the 8-hour ozone
standard in 2010. In fact, U.S. EPA’s modeling shows that the Chicago area will not attain the 8-
hour ozone standard even with full implementation of CAIR in 2015, and significant additional
emission reductions will be necessary. States shown by U.S. EPA to contribute significantly to
nonattainment in Chicago are Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, and Iowa. U.S. EPA’s modeling also
shows that Illinois has a significant impact on other nonattainment counties in states downwind:
Geauga County, Ohio; Macomb County, Michigan; and Ozaukee and Sheboygan Counties,
Wisconsin.
For PM
2.5
, U.S. EPA’s modeling shows that CAIR SO
2
and NO
x
emission reductions provide
some air quality benefits in 2010. For Illinois, however, the modeling shows that
implementation of CAIR will not provide sufficient emission reductions for the St. Louis and
Chicago areas to attain the PM
2.5
annual standard, even by 2015. Clearly, Illinois and other
states will need to pursue additional emission reductions beyond CAIR to achieve compliance
with the NAAQS. Significant contributors to the Metro-East St. Louis and the Chicago
nonattainment counties (based on the 2010 simulation) are given in Table 3-3, which is attached
to my testimony. Illinois has also been shown to contribute significantly to PM
2.5
nonattainment
in 2010 in a number of counties downwind of Illinois. These counties and associated
contributions from Illinois are listed in Table 3-4, which is also attached.
The Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium (“LADCO”) has confirmed U.S. EPA’s modeling
analysis of the air quality benefits of CAIR. LADCO used the CAMx model, the same model
used by U.S. EPA, and an updated emissions inventory for their analysis of CAIR. The LADCO
base emissions for electric generating units are derived from U.S. EPA’s Consolidated Emissions
Reporting Rule (“CERR”) inventory for 2002. Output from the IPM was used to develop
projected 2009 emissions for electric generating units. A cap-and-trade program for all states
subject to CAIR is assumed, with no restrictions on trading.
Similar to U.S. EPA’s findings, the LADCO modeling shows that “existing control programs
6
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
including CAIR… will not be enough to provide for attainment.” (Attainment Strategy Options,
DRAFT, 10/28/05). Nonattainment is shown in the Chicago area for 8-hour ozone and PM
2.5
,
and in the Metro-East St. Louis area for PM
2.5
, even with full implementation of CAIR by 2015.
In regard to regional haze, “the modeling also shows that existing control programs, including
CAIR and BART, will improve visibility, but will not be enough to meet regional haze goals in
the northern Class I areas.”
LADCO performed additional modeling to estimate the amounts of additional emission
reductions beyond CAIR that are necessary to show attainment for PM
2.5
and ozone in Illinois
and other nonattainment areas in the Midwest. LADCO evaluated the effectiveness of varying
levels of precursor emission reductions assumed locally (i.e., within the nonattainment areas) and
regionally (within the five-state LADCO region, which includes Illinois, Indiana, Ohio,
Michigan, and Wisconsin). The full results are contained in Table 3-5 of the TSD. A copy of
that table is attached to my testimony.
LADCO’s results indicate that for ozone, VOC emission reductions in excess of 75% within the
Chicago NAA may be needed to achieve the ozone NAAQS, assuming no additional, regional
reductions of NO
x
are implemented. Similarly, regional NO
x
reductions of about 40% beyond
CAIR are needed, unless local VOC reductions are assumed. Reduction targets of 35% local
VOC, and 35% regional NO
x
(beyond CAIR) have also been shown to achieve the 8-hour ozone
standard in LADCO’s analysis.
For PM
2.5
, local emission reductions of organic carbon of at least 40% are needed to attain the
NAAQS, if no regional emission reductions beyond CAIR are assumed. The local VOC organic
carbon reduction target is 25% - 30%, if regional NO
x
and SO
2
reductions of 25% - 30% beyond
CAIR are assumed. Without local emission reductions, regional reductions of SO
2
and NO
x
of at
least 50% beyond CAIR must be assumed to demonstrate attainment. Thus, LADCO’s modeling
shows that, for ozone and PM
2.5
, regional SO
2
and NO
x
emission reductions greater than those
provided by CAIR, in combination with further emission reductions within the nonattainment
areas, must be achieved before nonattainment areas in Illinois can attain the NAAQS.
7
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
As noted in the testimony of Jim Ross, the Illinois EPA’s proposal uses the flexibility provided
by CAIR. Notable areas where Illinois has utilized this flexibility includes allowance allocations
based on an electrical output basis, rather than a heat input basis, retirement of the NOx
compliance supplement pool, a set-aside of 5% of the allowances for new units in both phases of
CAIR, a set-aside of 25% of the allowance budget, both seasonally and annually, to encourage
and promote energy efficiency, renewable energy, conservation, and clean coal technology. The
Illinois EPA retained ICF Consulting to evaluate the expected change in NOx emissions in
Illinois resulting from this proposal. As described in the TSD, ICF used the IPM model to
compute projected changes in emissions, as well as electric generation, and costs. ICF
conservatively assumed that 30% of Illinois’ CAIR allowances would be retired. In fact, Illinois
EPA’s proposal retires only the compliance supplement pool, which represents only about 15%
of the annual allocation for one control period. ICF’s modeling shows that NOx emissions from
electric generating units in Illinois will not change significantly, relative to CAIR, even if a full
30% of the allowance allocation is retired. Since NOx emissions are not expected to change
relative to CAIR, Illinois EPA does not expect that the air quality impacts from existing electric
generating units will be significantly different under this proposal versus CAIR. Thus, the air
quality modeling of the federal CAIR rule performed by U.S. EPA and LADCO, as described
above, are representative of the air quality benefits of this proposal.
It should be noted that LADCO’s modeling results are not final, and that the Illinois EPA in
cooperation with the States of Wisconsin, Michigan, Indiana, and Ohio, are continuing to
develop and refine the modeling system. Thus, the results cited above may change as further
refinements of the modeling are developed. Even though the emission reduction targets listed in
Table 3-5 may be revised in the final attainment demonstration, it is unlikely that the region will
attain the 8-hour ozone and PM
2.5
NAAQS without greater emission reductions from electric
generating units than are provided by CAIR.
8
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
Figure 2-1: PM
2.5
Nonattainment Areas
9
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
Figure 2-2: 8-Hour Ozone Designations
10
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
Table 3-1
Estimated Annual Reductions in Incidence of Health Effects in U.S.
3
Health Effects
2010 Annual
Incidence
Reduction
2015 Annual
Incidence
Reduction
PM – Related Endpoints
Premature Mortality
Adult, age 30 and over
13,000
17,000
Infant, age < 1 year
29
36
Chronic Bronchitis (adult, age 26 and over)
6,900
8,700
Non-fatal myocardial infarction (adult, age
18 and over)
17,000
22,000
Hospital Admissions – Respiratory (All
ages)
4,300
5,500
Hospital Admissions – Cardiovascular
(adults, age > 18)
3,800
5,000
Emergency Room Visits for Asthma (age
18 years and younger)
10,000
13,000
Acute Bronchitis, (children, age 8-12)
16,000
19,000
Lower Respiratory Symptoms (children,
age 7-14)
190,000
230,000
Upper Respiratory Symptoms (Asthmatic
Children, age 9-18)
150,000
180,000
Asthma Exacerbation (asthmatic children,
age 6-18)
240,000
290,000
Work Loss Days
1,400,000
1,700,000
Minor Restricted Activity Days (adults age
18-65)
8,100,000
9,900,000
Ozone – Related Endpoints
Hospital Admissions – Respiratory Causes
(adult, 65 and older)
610
1,700
Hospital Admissions – Respiratory Causes
(children, under 2)
380
1,100
Emergency Room Visit for Asthma (all
ages)
100
280
Minor Restricted Activity Days (adults, age
18-65)
280,000
690,000
School Absence Days
180,000
510,000
11
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
Table 3-2
Estimated Annual Monetary Values of Reductions
in Incidence of Health and Welfare Effects in the U.S.
3
(Millions of 1999$)
Health Effect
Pollutant
2010 Estimated
Value of
Reductions
2015 Estimated
Value of
Reductions
Premature mortality
Adult > 30 years
3% discount rate
PM
2.5
$67,300
$92,800
7% discount rate
PM
2.5
56,600
78,100
Child < 1 year
PM
2.5
168
222
Chronic Bronchitis (adults 26 and
over)
PM
2.5
2,520
3,340
Non-fatal Acute Myocardial
Infarctions
PM
2.5
1,420
1,850
3% discount rate
PM
2.5
1,420
1,850
7% discount rate
PM
2.5
1,370
1,790
Hospital Admissions for
Respiratory Causes
PM
2.5
, O3
45.2
78.9
Hospital Admissions for
Cardiovascular Causes
PM
2.5
80.7
105
Emergency Room Visits for
Asthma
PM
2.5
, O3
2.84
3.56
Acute Bronchitis (Children, age 8-
12)
PM
2.5
5.63
7.06
Lower Respiratory Symptoms
(children, age 7-14)
PM
2.5
2.98
3.74
Upper Respiratory Symptoms
(asthma, age 9-11)
PM
2.5
3.80
4.77
Asthma Exacerbations
PM
2.5
10.3
12.7
Work Loss Days
PM
2.5
180
219
Minor Restricted Activity Days
(MRADs)
PM
2.5
, O3
422
543
School Absence Days
O3
12.9
36.4
Worker Productivity (outdoor
workers, age 18-65)
O3
7.66
19.9
Recreational Visibility, 81 class I,
areas
PM
2.5
1,140
1,780
Monetized Total
Base estimate
3 % discount rate
PM
2.5
, O3
$73,300 + B
$101,000 + B
7 % discount rate
PM
2.5
, O3
$62,600 + B
$86,300 + B
B represents the monetary value of health and welfare benefits not monetized.
12
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
Table 3-3
Upwind States’ Contribution to PM
2.5
Nonattainment Counties in Illinois in 2010 Based on
U.S. EPA’s Modeling in Support of the CAIR Rulemaking
Nonattainment Area
Upwind State
Contribution (ug/m
3
)
Chicago
Illinois
1.04
Chicago
Indiana
0.66
Chicago
Iowa
0.28
Chicago
Michigan
0.40
Chicago
Minnesota
0.21
Chicago
Missouri
0.31
Chicago
Ohio
0.24
Chicago
Wisconsin
0.56
Metro-East
Illinois
0.83
Metro-East
Indiana
0.48
Metro-East
Iowa
0.28
Metro-East
Kentucky
0.21
Metro-East
Missouri
1.07
Metro-East
Ohio
0.21
Metro-East
Texas
0.29
Note: U.S. EPA’s significance criteria is 0.2 ug/m
3
.
13
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
Table 3-4
Illinois Contribution to Downwind PM
2.5
Nonattainment Counties in 2010 Based on U.S.
EPA’s Modeling in Support of the CAIR Rulemaking
Downwind State
County
Contribution (ug/m
3
)
AL
Jefferson
0.21
IL
Cook
1.04
IL
Madison
0.80
IL
St. Clair
0.83
IN
Clark
0.39
IN
Dubois
0.58
IN
Lake
1.02
IN
Marion
0.76
IN
Vanderburgh
0.76
KY
Fayette
0.32
KY
Jefferson
0.38
MI
Wayne
0.42
OH
Butler
0.38
OH
Cuyahoga
0.32
OH
Franklin
0.40
OH
Hamilton
0.38
OH
Lawrence
0.21
OH
Mahoning
0.25
OH
Montgomery
0.44
OH
Scioto
0.25
OH
Stark
0.26
OH
Summit
0.30
PA
Allegheny
0.21
TN
Hamilton
0.20
WV
Cabell
0.21
WV
Kanawha
0.20
Note: U.S. EPA’s significance criteria is 0.2 ug/m
3
.
14
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
Table 3-5
Level of Control Needed to Achieve Attainment in Specific Nonattainment Areas
Local VOC
(or CO)
Regional NO
x
Regional SO
2
Chicago
(1) Ozone
> 75%
---
---
(2)
---
40%
---
(3)
35%
35%
---
(1) PM
2.5
30%
30%
---
(2)
25%
25%
25%
Milwaukee
(1) Ozone
75%
---
---
(2)
---
30%
---
(3)
25%
25%
---
Granite City
(1) PM
2.5
25%
25%
---
(2)
20%
20%
20%
Detroit
(1) PM
2.5
50%
50%
---
(2)
30%
30%
30%
Cleveland
(1) Ozone
75%
---
---
(2)
---
30%
---
(3)
25%
25%
---
(1) PM
2.5
25%
25%
---
(2)
20%
20%
20%
15
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
Table 9-1
Illinois Emissions Reductions Due to CAIR Budget Caps
Actual
Base Title IV Allowances
SO
2
2002
2004
2010
2015
2020
Baseline Emissions (tons/yr)
353,700 362,900 385,341 385,341 385,341
CAIR Budget Caps (tons/yr)
192,671 134,869 134,869
Trading Allowances/Emissions
Reductions Needed (tons/yr)
192,670 250,472 250,472
Actual
IPM Base Case
NO
x
Annual
2002
2004
2009/2010
2015
2020
Baseline Emissions (tons/yr)
174,247 141,315 146,248 159,452 161,301
CAIR Budget Caps (tons/yr)
76,230
63,525 63,525
Trading Allowances/Emissions
Reductions Needed (tons/yr
70,018
95,927 97,776
Actual
IPM Base Case
NOx Ozone Season
2002
2004
2009/2010
2015
2020
Baseline Emissions (tons/season)
71,235
27,474
34,323
36,057 37,884
CAIR Budget Caps (tons/season)
30,701
28,981 28,981
Trading Allowances/Emissions
Reductions Needed (tons/yr
3,622
7,076
8,903
16
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
BEFORE THE ILLINOIS POLLUTION CONTROL BOARD
IN THE MATTER OF:
)
)
PROPOSED NEW CAIR SO
2
, CAIR NO
X
)
ANNUAL AND CAIR NO
X
OZONE SEASON
)
R06-26
TRADING PROGRAMS, 35 ILL. ADM.
)
(Rulemaking- Air)
CODE 225, CONTROL OF EMISSIONS
)
FROM LARGE COMBUSTION SOURCES,
)
SUBPARTS A, C, D and E
)
TESTIMONY OF YOGINDER MAHAJAN
Good Morning. My name is Yoginder Mahajan. I am employed as an Environmental
Protection Engineer in the Air Quality Planning Section in the Bureau of Air of the Illinois
Environmental Protection Agency (Illinois EPA). I have been employed in this capacity since
March 1992. Prior to my employment with Illinois EPA I worked for various metal fabrication
industries for nine (9) years. My educational background includes a Bachelor of Engineering
Degree in Mechanical Engineering from Bhopal University at Bhopal, India.
As part of my regular duties in the Air Quality Planning Section, I have been involved with
preparing emission estimates for various source categories used in the development of the 1990
ozone season weekday emissions inventories; evaluating control technologies applicable to
volatile organic material (VOM) emissions sources utilized in the preparation of the Rate-of-
Progress plans for the Chicago and St. Louis ozone nonattainment areas; and assisting in the
development of regulations for the control of VOM emissions from source categories included in
the Rate-of-Progress plans. Regarding the proposal before you today, I have been involved in
the development of the regulations to control nitrogen oxides (NOx) and sulfur dioxide (SO
2
)
emissions from electric generating units (EGUs), and I provided the list of affected sources for
1
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
the proposal and technical feasibility of NOx and SO
2
controls for the Technical Support
Document (TSD) for the proposal.
In the electric power plant sector, turbines are used to produce rotary motion for electric
generators that produce electric power. Gas turbines burn fuel, typically natural gas or distillate
oils, whereas steam from a boiler is used to run steam turbines. Emissions of NOx and SO
2
are
the result of combustion of coal, fuel oils, or natural gas in the boilers and combustion of natural
gas or distillate oils in the gas turbines.
Today’s proposal is to control NOx and SO
2
emissions from fossil-fuel-fired electric generating
units that have nameplate capacities greater than 25 megawatt of electricity (MWe). As part of
evaluation of the control of NOx and SO
2
from EGUs, Illinois EPA identified several sources of
guidance. The United States Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) published two
Alternative Control Techniques (ACT) documents - NOx Emissions from Utility Boilers, and
NOx Emissions from Stationary Gas Turbines. Also, U.S. EPA published Control Techniques
for Sulfur Dioxide Emissions from Stationary Sources. These documents contain detailed
information on description of sources of NOx and SO
2
emissions, various techniques of
controlling NOx and SO
2
and the costs of various controls. Illinois EPA used information
contained in these documents for general background, but relied on the information contained in
U.S. EPA’s, Regulatory Impact Analysis for the Final Clean Air Interstate Rule for the costs and
economics impacts of today’s proposal.
Illinois EPA reviewed the 2004 Acid Rain emission database and identified that there are 229
2
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
existing Illinois electric generating units that may be affected by these proposed regulations. Of
these 229 units, 59 are coal-fired boilers and the remaining 170 units are oil/gas-fired boilers or
turbines. Out of the 59 coal-fired boilers, 34 are tangentially-fired, five are wall-fired, 19 are
cyclone-fired boilers, and one is a fluidized-bed combustion boiler. In Illinois, in 2004, coal-
fired electric generating units accounted for approximately 99 percent of NOx and SO
2
emissions
from Illinois electric generating units.
One method of reducing NOx emissions is through the use of combustion controls such as low
NOx burners and over-fired air. Combustion controls reduce NOx, by ensuring that the
combustion of coal occurs under conditions which produce less NOx. Post-combustion controls
reduce NOx by removing the NOx after it has been formed. The most common post-combustion
control is selective catalyst reduction (SCR). SCR systems inject ammonia (NH
3
) which
combines with the NOx in the flue gas to form nitrogen and water and uses a catalyst to enhance
the reaction. These systems can reduce NOx emissions by 90 percent. Selective non-catalytic
reduction also removes NOx by injecting ammonia without the use of a catalyst. These systems
can reduce NOx emissions by 40 percent.
There are two primary options for reducing SO
2
emissions from coal-fired electric generating
units. They may switch from higher to lower sulfur coal, or they may use flue gas
desulfurization, commonly referred to as scrubbers. The most commonly used scrubber types
include wet scrubbers and spray dryers. Wet scrubber can use a variety of sorbents to capture
SO
2
including limestone and magnesium enhanced lime. New wet scrubbers typically achieve at
least 95 percent SO
2
removal. Spray dryers can achieve over 90 percent SO
2
removal.
3
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
To allow for the use of the most cost effective emission reduction alternatives, Illinois EPA
relied on the CAIR NOx and SO
2
Budget Trading Programs administered by the U.S. EPA. Each
of the States subject to the CAIR is encouraged to participate in these trading programs and
thereby provide a mechanism for sources to achieve cost effective NOx and SO
2
reductions. For
NOx, the trading unit is a CAIR NOx Allowance, equal to one ton of emitted NOx. The CAIR
SO
2
program provides that an SO
2
allowance allocated for a control period in a year before 2010
would be equivalent to one ton of sulfur dioxide emissions. An SO
2
CAIR allowance allocated
during a control period 2010 through 2014 would be equivalent to .50 tons of sulfur dioxide.
Finally, an SO
2
CAIR allowance allocated for a control period in 2015 and thereafter will be
equivalent to .35 tons of sulfur dioxide emissions.
Under the CAIR trading programs, each source would be given a certain quantity of NOx and
SO
2
allowances. If a source’s actual emissions exceed its allocated allowances, the source may
purchase additional allowances. Conversely, if a source’s actual emissions are below its
allocated allowances, then it may sell the additional allowances. Banking would allow sources
that do not use their allowances for a given year to save them for later use.
Illinois EPA has relied on the cost estimates analysis performed by U.S. EPA. For cost
effectiveness of CAIR NOx and SO
2
reductions, U.S. EPA provided two types of costs in 1999
dollars per ton of NOx and SO
2
reductions. For NOx, the estimated average cost per ton of
annual NOx reductions will be $500 in 2009, and $700 in 2015. The estimated marginal cost per
ton of annual NOx will be $1,300 in 2009, and $1,600 in 2015. For SO
2
, the estimated average
cost per ton of SO
2
reductions will be $500 in 2010 and $700 in 2015. The estimated marginal
4
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
cost per ton of SO
2
will be $700 in 2009, and $1,000 in 2015. Illinois EPA believes that these
costs estimates are also representative of costs incurred by the affected electric generating units
of this proposal. However, since Illinois is already controlling electric generating units in the
ozone season to comply with NOx SIP Call, Illinois electric generating units are not expected to
incur any additional costs in the 2009 ozone season. However, in the non-ozone season months,
it will cost $500 per ton to run these controls to comply with the CAIR NOx trading program.
Based on the IPM-projected NOx emissions in 2009/2010 and 2015, respectively, the proposed
regulations to control NOx and SO
2
emission from electric generating units will provide NOx
emission reductions of 70,018 tons in 2009 and 97,776 tons in 2015. It will also provide SO
2
emissions reductions of 192,670 tons in 2010 and 250,472 tons in 2015 from the base Title IV
allowances available for Illinois electric generating units.
5
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
BEFORE THE ILLINOIS POLLUTION CONTROL BOARD
IN THE MATTER OF:
)
)
PROPOSED NEW CAIR SO
2
, CAIR NO
X
)
ANNUAL AND CAIR NO
X
OZONE SEASON
)
R06-26
TRADING PROGRAMS, 35 ILL. ADM.
)
(Rulemaking- Air)
CODE 225, CONTROL OF EMISSIONS
)
FROM LARGE COMBUSTION SOURCES,
)
SUBPARTS A, C, D and E
)
TESTIMONY OF JAMES R ROSS
Qualifications
My name is Jim Ross and I am here today representing the Illinois Environmental Protection
Agency (Illinois EPA) where I am the Manager of the Division of Air Pollution Control in the
Bureau of Air.
I have a Bachelors of Science Degree in Mechanical Engineering from Southern Illinois
University at Carbondale. I have completed numerous environmental courses over the years
including the study of emissions and controls of each of the criteria air pollutants, many
hazardous air pollutants, as well as several courses on the background and implementation of
environmental regulations. I have also provided training on air pollution permitting and
regulations to Illinois EPA and United States Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA)
staff, industry, environmental consulting firms, environmental organizations, and the general
public.
I joined Illinois EPA in May of 1988 as a permit engineer in the Permit Section of the Division
of Air Pollution Control. I became manager of the Clean Air Act Permit Program (CAAPP) Unit
in May of 1997, after about a year and a half as acting CAAPP Unit manager. The CAAPP is
Illinois’ version of the federally mandated Title V program of the Clean Air Act that requires
permits for all major sources of air pollution. In January of 2003, I became acting manager of
the Permit Section and remained so until March of 2004. A short time later I transferred over to
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
Illinois EPA’s Office of Emergency Response, where I was Manager of the Emergency
Operations Unit. I remained in this position until October of 2005, when I returned to the
Bureau of Air in my current position.
In addition to currently being the Division of Air Pollution Control Manager, I am also an
Illinois EPA Duty Officer which requires me to be on call 24 hours a day, seven days a week
during several periods throughout the year. In this capacity, I am responsible for ensuring
Illinois EPA’s response to emergencies incidents anywhere in the State, especially those
involving hazardous materials, oil and fuel spills, disasters, and issues of homeland security.
In my 18 years with Illinois EPA I have been involved with the detailed review of Illinois’
industrial processes and their emissions of air pollutants and the measures and controls used to
mitigate these emissions. This review has included on-site visits to a wide-variety of processes,
including steel mills, large chemical plants, refineries, and several coal-fired power plants. I
have helped develop and implement several major programs and rules since their inception
including the CAAPP and Illinois’ volatile organic material trading program for the greater
Chicago area, i.e., the Emissions Reduction Market System. As Permit Section Manager, I
oversaw the permitting of over 6,000 facilities in the State. Of note is that I was deeply involved
in the CAAPP permitting of Illinois’ 22 coal-fired power plants, including representing Illinois
EPA at several of the public hearings on the proposed permits for these plants.
In my current position as Division Manager, I supervise a staff of over 150 engineers, specialists,
and administrative support personnel in developing, monitoring, and enforcing the State and
Federal air pollution control requirements. In particular, and more recently, I have been
overseeing Illinois EPA’s efforts in the development of several rulemaking efforts, including the
proposed CAIR and the proposed Illinois Mercury rule.
Introduction
My testimony is intended to provide a broad overview of the proposed CAIR. Additional
testimony is being provided to more specifically address different components of the proposed
2
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
rule. I would like to note that Illinois EPA performed substantial outreach to stakeholders on the
proposed rule, including holding five weekly stakeholder outreach meetings where we presented
information on our proposed approach, updated stakeholders on the rule, provided draft rule
language, requested feedback on issues, and held question and answer sessions. We also
provided regular mail and e-mail addresses to allow interested parties to submit comments and
questions that were subsequently answered at the stakeholder meetings. In addition, we
repeatedly offered to meet with any stakeholders in smaller groups to discuss the rule and related
issues.
Overview of Proposed Rule and Potential Impacts
The proposed rule is designed to control the emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO
2
) and nitrogen
oxides (NO
x
) from electric generating units (EGUs) in Illinois. In the electric power sector, both
gas turbines and steam turbines are used to produce rotary motion for electric generators. Gas
turbines typically burn natural gas or distillate oils, whereas steam turbines utilize steam
generated from boilers firing coal, fuel oils, or natural gas. Emissions of NO
x
and SO
2
are the
result of fuel combustion in the boilers and gas turbines. The requirements of the proposed rule
will affect 59 coal-fired boilers and 170 oil/gas-fired boilers and turbines. Affected EGUs are
those having a generating capacity of 25 megawatts (MWe) and above. Certain cogeneration
units are exempted from these proposed requirements if they supply, in a calendar year, less than
one-third of the unit’s potential electric output capacity or 219,000 megawatt hours (MWh),
whichever is greater, to any utility power distribution system for sale.
In Illinois, EGUs are the largest sources of SO
2
emissions to the atmosphere, and one of the
largest sources of NO
x
. Both SO
2
and NO
x
are precursors to the formation of fine particles or
PM
2.5
and NO
x
is also a precursor to ozone formation. Control of these air pollutants is
necessary for Illinois to comply with the federal CAIR promulgated on May 12, 2005. Air
pollution originating from Illinois was found by U.S. EPA to contribute significantly to pollution
problems in downwind states through the phenomenon of interstate air pollution transport.
Specifically, pollution from Illinois was determined to have a significant contribution to
nonattainment with the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for 8-hour ozone and
3
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
PM
2.5
in downwind states. In addition, U.S. EPA concluded that transported Illinois pollution
interfered with the maintenance of areas that are in attainment with the NAAQS for 8-hour ozone
and PM
2.5
. Furthermore, modeling on both a regional scale and at the state level indicates that
substantial reductions of NO
x
and SO
2
are necessary to attain the 8-hour ozone and PM
2.5
NAAQS in Illinois.
The CAIR is intended to address transport of NO
x
and SO
2
by capping the emissions of these
pollutants from large EGUs in the eastern United States through three separate emissions trading
programs: (1) annual SO
2
trading program; (2) annual NO
x
trading program; and (3) ozone
season NO
x
trading program. Alternatively, States can adopt rules that cap and achieve
equivalent emissions reductions. CAIR allows, but does not require, affected states to opt-in to a
two-phased cap and trade program administered by U.S. EPA. In order to comply with the
federal CAIR, Illinois EPA is proposing to opt-in to U.S. EPA’s cap-and-trade programs. For
states electing to meet the CAIR requirements by opting-in to the trading programs, U.S. EPA
established certain mandatory requirements, but allowed states flexibility in some areas, such as
in determining the allocation methodology for allowances issued under the NO
x
annual and
ozone season trading programs. States have almost no flexibility in implementing the SO
2
trading program as it builds on the structure and requirements in the federal Acid Rain Program.
States retain responsibility for permitting Acid Rain sources. The U.S. EPA administers most
other aspects of this SO
2
program, including allocating SO
2
allowances. Under CAIR, affected
states are required to meet statewide NO
x
and SO
2
emissions budgets. The first phase of NO
x
reductions starts in 2009 (covering 2009-2014) and the first phase of SO
2
reductions starts in
2010 (covering 2010-2014); the second phase of reductions for both NO
x
and SO
2
starts in 2015
(covering 2015 and thereafter).
For SO
2
the CAIR is derived from the Acid Rain Program administered by U. S. EPA. States do
not have flexibility in terms of SO
2
allowance allocations or treatment of new units. The
proposed Illinois rule incorporates by reference CAIR as it pertains to SO
2
. The CAIR SO
2
program provides that an SO
2
allowance allocated for a control period in a year before 2010
would be equivalent to one ton of sulfur dioxide emissions. An SO
2
CAIR allowance allocated
during a control period 2010 through 2014 would be equivalent to .50 tons of sulfur dioxide.
4
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
Finally, an SO
2
CAIR allowance allocated for a control period in 2015 and thereafter will be
equivalent to .35 tons of sulfur dioxide emissions.
For NO
x
, each affected state is given a separate emission budget of allowances for the seasonal
and annual trading programs. The CAIR ozone season trading program retains the current NO
x
SIP Call budget for the ozone seasons of 2009 through 2014 and reduces the ozone season
budget in 2015 and beyond. The current NO
x
trading program was established to meet the
requirements of the NO
x
SIP Call and was adopted by the Illinois Pollution Control Board in
2000. The NO
x
SIP Call is a term commonly used to refer to U.S. EPA’s call for revisions to
state implementation plans (SIPs) to reduce NO
x
emissions in nonattainment areas. The CAIR
NO
x
annual trading program extends the current NO
x
SIP Call trading program. The CAIR NO
x
annual trading program will require that EGUs control emissions year round or obtain NO
x
allowances equal to their annual NO
x
emissions.
The U.S. EPA allowed states flexibility in CAIR, in particular in determining the allocation
methodology for allowances issued under the NO
x
annual and seasonal programs. Illinois EPA
is taking advantage of this flexibility. The proposed rule would distribute NO
x
allowances for
free, although the U.S. EPA allows states the flexibility to sell, auction, or charge a fee for such
allowances.
Other notable areas where Illinois has utilized allowance allocation flexibility are:
1. Allocation of allowances on an electrical output basis, rather than a heat input basis;
2. Allocations occur three years in advance of the date they could be used;
3. Update allocations annually;
4. Set-aside 5% of the allowances for new units in both phases, instead of 5% in phase 1 and
3% in phase 2 as proposed by the model CAIR; and
5. Set-aside 25% of the allowance budget in a Clean Air Set-Asides ( CASA) to be eligible
for allocation seasonally and annually.
The proposed rule allocates allowances on an electrical output basis, rather than a heat input
basis, to encourage energy efficiency. The proposed rule would make allocations only three
5
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
years in advance of the date they could be used, and would update allocations annually.
Frequent allocation updates ensure that new units are rolled-in quickly and units that are retired
or that reduce output are not given allowances greater than their proportiate share based on their
current operation. Frequently updating the basis on which allocatons are made will distribute
allowances more fairly to current power generators.
In addition, the proposed rule would set aside 5% of the allowances in order to ensure that new,
cleaner and more efficient EGUs will have access to a fair share of the allowances. Since new
units are subject to more stringent environmental regulations, they are generally more efficient,
and employ newer technologies for generation and pollution control. The proposed regulation is
intended to encourage investment in newer cleaner units to be built in Illinois for continued
improvement in air quality.
U.S. EPA also allowed states the flexibility to provide a set-aside of allowances for energy
efficiency (EE) and renewable energy (RE) projects, and suggests a set aside of at least 15%.
Illinois EPA has proposed that 25% of the NO
x
budget be allocated seasonally and annually to a
CASA. The primary goal of the CASA is to encourage and promote energy efficiency,
renewable energy, conservation, and clean coal technology. The proposal establishes an EE/RE
set-aside of 12% for demand-side energy efficiency projects. An additional 11% of the CASA is
for clean technology projects. The remaining two percent of the allowances are given to either
EE/RE or clean technology projects that commence operation early - before 2012. The CASA
positions Illinois as a leader in providing incentives for investments in zero emission electrical
generation, generation from renewable energy, and generation from clean coal technologies and
is consistent with the Governor’s Energy policy. In addition, we will be proposing an
amendment to the CASA provisions that would allow sources subject to consent decrees that
overcomply to apply for these allowances.
Illinois EPA also intends to retire the NO
x
compliance supplement pool. Retirement of these
allowances is beneficial to public health and the environment to the extent that it results in
further NO
x
emission reductions.
6
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
A number of control technologies are available to allow sources to meet the required emissions
caps. For NO
x
, it is anticipated that the most likely control will be the use of selective catalytic
reduction (SCR) or selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR) or a combination of these. For
SO
2
, flue gas desulfurization (FGD) is the most likely control technology to be employed.
Participation in the trading programs will allow sources flexibility in controlling their emissions
in a cost-effective manner. Sources that over control and/or comply early may be eligible to
choose to bank or sell their emissions to help with costs, or to limit control and purchase needed
allowances from the market.
To the extent that this proposal will help to attain the NAAQS in Illinois and downwind states,
the reduction of NO
x
and SO
2
emissions should provide significant monetary and non-monetary
health and welfare benefits. U.S. EPA estimates that the CAIR would provide health benefits of
$101 billion in 2015, by avoiding approximately 17,000 premature deaths, 22,000 non-fatal heart
attacks, 12,000 hospitalizations for respiratory and cardiovascular diseases, 1.7 million lost work
days, 500,000 school absences, and 10.6 million days when adults restrict normal activities
because of respiratory symptoms exacerbated by air pollution. Welfare benefits may include
both environmental and other societal benefits of reducing pollution, such as reductions in
damage to ecosystems, structures, and monuments from acid rain, as well as improved visibility,
and improvements in recreational and commercial fishing, agricultural yields, and forest
productivity.
Positive economic impacts could occur as a result of the incentives for energy efficiency and
renewable energy projects in Illinois, as well as clean-coal projects such as IGCC and circulating
fluidized bed boilers. Illinois EPA utilized the services of ICF Resources Incorporated (ICF) to
evaluate the economic impact of the proposed Illinois CAIR rule using the Integrated Planning
Model (IPM
®
). This evaluation focused on the incremental impacts of the proposed rule over the
impacts of the CAIR in terms of costs to the power sector and costs to electricity consumers.
Overall, the implementation of the proposed rule has minimal effects, both in Illinois and across
the nation. Average production costs are slightly higher in 2009 and then fall in 2015 and 2018.
The retail electricity prices and costs across all sectors (residential, industrial, and commercial)
remain unchanged as a result of the proposed rule.
7
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
Implications of the Proposed Illinois Mercury Control Rule
Illinois EPA currently has another, related rule pending before the Illinois Pollution Control
Board, namely the proposed Illinois mercury rule, 35 Ill. Adm. Code 225, Control of Emissions
from Large Combustion Sources (Mercury). Although this rule focuses on the control of
mercury emissions, it contains an optional multi-pollutant standard (MPS) that companies can
elect to comply with to satisfy the requirements of the rule. If a company chooses to comply
with the proposed mercury rule via the MPS, then system-wide emissions limits on both SO
2
and
NO
x
are applicable, with restrictions on trading of these emissions. Overall, the proposed Illinois
Mercury rule and CAIR complement each other in their goal to reduce SO
2
and NO
x
.
A multi-pollutant approach for controlling the emissions of mercury, SO
2
, and NO
x
from EGUs
can have numerous advantages over the traditional, single pollutant schemes. A multi-pollutant
approach to controlling emissions can increase the benefits to public health and the environment,
reduce pollution more cost-effectively, and offer greater certainty to both industry and regulators.
Since mercury emission reductions can be obtained as a “co-benefit” from the control devices
used to reduce SO
2
and NO
x
, it makes sense to allow companies the option to synchronize the
control of these pollutants provided that public health and the environment are likewise
positively impacted.
Under the MPS, companies can commit to voluntarily meet emission standards on both NO
x
and
SO
2
and in exchange receive additional flexibility in complying with the mercury emission
standards. The MPS also restricts the trading of allowances on reductions achieved that are the
result of measures taken to comply with the NO
x
and SO
2
emission standards. Companies
cannot sell or trade outside of Illinois or with other companies in Illinois, the allowances needed
to meet the emission limits for NO
x
and SO
2
required by the MPS. Such allowances that are
needed to meet the emission limits are required to be retired or surrendered to Illinois EPA. Any
allowances remaining with the company as a result of overcompliance can be freely traded.
Allowances from overcompliance occur when a company's actual emission rate is below that
required by the MPS. The restrictions on trading are meant to ensure that the emissions
8
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
reductions required by the MPS will occur in Illinois and therefore provide substantial benefit to
the public health and environment in Illinois. The emission reductions will assist Illinois in
efforts to bring the Chicago and Metro East St. Louis nonattainment areas into attainment with
the NAAQS for 8 hour ozone and PM
2.5
and/or help attainment areas maintain acceptable air
quality, as well as meet our obligations under CAIR.
The most straightforward way to look at the interaction between the requirements of the MPS
and the proposed CAIR is that companies that elect to utilize the MPS would need to comply
with both rules. Compliance with both rules was contemplated and is accounted for in the MPS
rule language. Pursuant to 225.233(f)(4) of the MPS, the MPS provisions do not prohibit
companies from purchasing or otherwise obtaining allowances from other sources for purposes
of complying with federal or state requirements such as the proposed CAIR. In essence,
companies utilizing the MPS can purchase or obtain allowances from the general interstate
market in order to meet the proposed CAIR requirements.
At the present time two of Illinois largest coal-fired power generating companies have indicated
that they would utilize the MPS, specifically Ameren and Dynegy. These companies comprise
roughly half of the coal-fired generating capacity in Illinois.
Conclusion
The U.S. EPA is requiring Illinois to revise its State Implementation Plan to reduce SO
2
and NO
x
emissions, which are important precursors of PM
2.5
(both NO
x
and SO
2
) and ozone (NO
x
only).
Illinois is required to implement a program to control NO
x
and SO
2
consistent with the federal
CAIR. Illinois EPA has proposed a rule that will satisfy these requirements and provide
incentives for energy efficiency and renewable energy projects in Illinois, as well as clean-coal
projects such as Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle. The proposed rule is both technically
feasible and economically reasonable. The reductions in NO
x
and SO
2
should provide significant
benefits to public health and the environment. These reductions will assist Illinois and
downwind states in reaching attainment in nonattainment areas with the NAAQS for PM
2.5
and 8
hour ozone and also maintain acceptable air quality in those areas which are in attainment with
9
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
the NAAQS.
We urge the Illinois Pollution Control Board to adopt the proposed Illinois CAIR.
10
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
BEFORE THE ILLINOIS POLLUTION CONTROL BOARD
IN THE MATTER OF:
)
)
PROPOSED NEW CAIR SO
2
, CAIR NO
X
)
ANNUAL AND CAIR NO
X
OZONE SEASON
)
R06-26
TRADING PROGRAMS, 35 ILL. ADM.
)
(Rulemaking- Air)
CODE 225, CONTROL OF EMISSIONS
)
FROM LARGE COMBUSTION SOURCES,
)
SUBPARTS A, C, D and E
)
TESTIMONY OF JACQUELYN SIMS
My name is Jacquelyn “Jackie” Sims. I am here today for the Illinois Environmental
Protection Agency (Illinois EPA), where I am an environmental engineer in the Compliance unit
of the Compliance and Enforcement Section of the Division of Air Pollution Control in the
Bureau of Air. As part of my duties, I assist with the implementation of the NOx Trading
program, address compliance and enforcement issues, and assist with the development of
regulatory proposals. I also currently am involved with the 1990 Clean Air Act, Section 507
Small Business Environmental Assistance Program (SBEAP). Prior to moving to the
Compliance Unit, I was a permit engineer in the Permit Section in the Division of Air Pollution
Control. I joined the Illinois EPA in June of 1989.
I have a Bachelor of Science degree in Industrial Engineering from the University of
Illinois, Champaign-Urbana and have some graduate studies. I have completed numerous
environmental courses over the years including completion of a comprehensive training program
that resulted in me becoming a Certified Energy Manager through the Association of Energy
Engineers. I have also provided training on air pollution permitting and regulations to persons
from industry, consulting firms, associations and the general public.
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
The purpose of my testimony is to provide explanation for how allowances will be
allocated under the proposed Illinois CAIR NOx rule.
Allocation Methodology:
The CAIR model rule allows the States flexibility in the cost, distribution, and frequency
of allocations and the use of set-asides. Illinois EPA’s allocation methodology was chosen to
encourage energy efficiency and development of renewable energy resources. With respect to
whether the Illinois EPA should sell allowances, auction or otherwise charge electric generating
units for NOx allowances, Illinois EPA has opted to allocate 75 percent of its allowance budget
without charge to help reduce the cost of compliance to existing and new electric generating
units, and to ensure that smaller and publicly owned units would not be disadvantaged. Other
allowances will be allocated based on the policy considerations of encouraging energy efficiency
and renewable energy, as well as pollution abatement and early reductions. These considerations
are addressed by other witnesses.
Under the proposed rule Illinois EPA will be allocating NOx allowances on the basis of
gross electric output, as described in Rory Davis’ testimony.
With respect to the frequency of allocations, a state is allowed to choose to distribute
CAIR NOx allowances based on either historical data, or on current data which are updated
frequently. Allocations in the model CAIR rule are made six years in advance and use five
years of historical data to determine a fixed heat input baseline. The model CAIR rule also
provided that once the 5-year historical baseline has been established, a unit would indefinitely
receive the same number of allowances even if the level of power has been reduced or ceases.
Illinois EPA has opted to update a source’s allocations by using more current operational data on
a yearly or seasonal basis after the initial set of control periods. Changes in the gross generation
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
or efficiency of a unit are more accurately reflected under the proposal as new units begin
obtaining allowances from the general pool sooner, and existing units that shutdown or decline in
operation do not receive allowances indefinitely or at levels not reflective of actual operation.
This is consistent with the purpose of an output-based allocation methodology.
Under the proposed rule, allocations for the control periods 2009, 2010 and 2011 shall be
based on the average of the three highest gross electrical outputs from 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004
and 2005 data. The gross electrical output from each affected unit shall be reported to Illinois
EPA initially for the above years, then on a quarterly basis thereafter. Sources have a choice
during this initial period of submitting heat input data or electrical output data. The heat input
data for the years 2001-2005, would be data accepted by USEPA and then converted to gross
electrical output by assuming 33 percent efficiency. The gross electrical output or the heat input
data will then be converted to include the effect of fuel as stated in the proposed rule.
In addition, Illinois EPA decided to promote a faster roll-in of data for existing sources as
well as newer sources by using the average of the previous two years’ gross electrical output for
the control periods 2012 and thereafter. In cases where two years of data are not available, then
the year prior to the allocation year will be used. Updating the allocations more frequently by
using more recent data impacts new units as well as units that are shutdown or partially
shutdown by allowing new electric generating units to receive allowances from the larger pool
sooner and for shutdown units to cease receiving allowances sooner after operations stop,
respectively.
The flexibility with respect to the size of set-asides allows a state to set a portion of
allowances aside for new units and for energy efficiency and renewable energy sources. Illinois
EPA opted to follow the model rule and set aside five percent for new units. The proposal
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
differs from the model rule in that the five percent is consistent throughout the life of the
program and doesn’t reduce as provided for in the model rule. The portion of allowances set-
aside for energy efficiency and renewable energy projects has been proposed at twenty-five
percent. Therefore seventy percent of the State’s annual and seasonal allocations, 53,361 annual
and 30,701 seasonal allowances for control periods 2009-2014 and 44,468 annual and 21,491
seasonal allowances for control periods 2015 and thereafter, will be distributed to existing
electric generating sources each year. If the total eligibility for allowances exceeds these
budgets, then allowances will be distributed on a pro-rata basis.
New Units:
In the CAIR model rule, new units are allowed to receive allowances from the new unit
set-aside (NUSA) for 11 years from a pool representing five percent of the total allowances for
2009-2014 and only three percent for 2015 and after. In the proposed rule, new units are those
that have been built and have commenced commercial operation after January 1, 2006. The rule
proposes five percent of total allocations will be available for new units each year throughout the
life of the program. This is more reflective of the number of new units expected to be
constructed in Illinois. After a new unit has operated in one control period, it becomes an
existing unit and qualifies for allocations for the control period commencing four years into the
future. The new unit will receive allowances from the new unit portion until that time.
In conclusion, more frequent and less historically dependent updating of allocations is consistent
with the purpose of an output-based allocations methodology.
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
STATE OF ILLINOIS
)
)
SS
COUNTY OF SANGAMON
)
)
CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE
I, the undersigned, an attorney, state that I have served electronically the attached
TESTIMONY OF GARY E. BECKSTEAD, DAVID E. BLOOMBERG, ROSTON
COOPER, RORY DAVIS, ROBERT KALEEL, YOGINDER MAHAJAN, JAMES R.
ROSS AND JACQUELYN SIMS upon the following person:
Dorothy Gunn
Clerk
Illinois Pollution Control Board
James R. Thompson Center
100 West Randolph St., Suite 11-500
Chicago, IL 60601-3218
and mailing it by first-class mail from Springfield, Illinois, with sufficient postage affixed
to the following persons:
SEE ATTACHED SERVICE LIST
ILLINOIS ENVIRONMENTAL
PROTECTION AGENCY,
__________________________
Rachel L. Doctors
Assistant Counsel
Division of Legal Counsel
Dated: September 22, 2006
1021 North Grand Avenue East
Springfield, Illinois 62794-9276
(217) 782-5544
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006
SERVICE LIST
R06-26
John Knittle, Hearing Officer
Illinois Pollution Control Board
James R. Thompson Center
100 West Randolph St., Suite 11-500
Chicago, IL 60601-3218
Matthew J. Dunn, Division Chief
Office of Attorney General
Environmental Bureau
188 W. Randolph, 20
th
Floor
Chicago, IL 60601
Virginia Yang, Deputy Legal Counsel
Illinois Dept. of Natural Resources
One Natural Resources Way
Springfield, IL 62702-1271
Keith I. Harley
Chicago Legal Clinic
205 West Monroe Street, 4th Floor
Chicago, IL 60606
James T. Harrington
David L. Rieser
McGuire Woods LLP
77 West Wacker, Suite 4100
Chicago, IL 60601
William A. Murray
Special Assistant Corporation Counsel
Office of Public Utilities
800 East Monroe
Springfield, IL 62757
S. David Farris
Environmental, Health and Safety
Manager
Office of Public Utilities
201 East Lake Shore Drive
Springfield, IL 62757
Faith E. Bugel
Environmental Law and Policy Center
35 East Wacker Drive, Suite 1300
Chicago, IL 60601
Kathleen C. Bassi
Sheldon A. Zabel
Stephen J. Bonebrake
Schiff Hardin LLP
6600 Sears Tower
233 South Wacker Drive
Chicago, IL 60606
Katherine D. Hodge
N. LaDonna Driver
Hodge Dwyer Zeman
3150 Roland Avenue
Springfield, IL 62705-5776
ELECTRONIC FILING, RECEIVED, CLERK'S OFFICE, SEPTEMBER 22, 2006