0001
    1
    ILLINOIS POLLUTION CONTROL BOARD
    2 IN THE MATTER OF:
    )
    )
    3 WATER QUALITY STANDARDS AND ) R08-09
    EFFLUENT LIMITATIONS FOR THE ) (Rulemaking-
    4 CHICAGO AREA WATERWAY SYSTEM ) Water)
    AND THE LOWER DES PLAINES )
    5 RIVER: PROPOSED AMENDMENTS )
    TO 35 Ill. Adm. Code Parts )
    6 301, 302, 303 and 304
    )
    7
    REPORT OF PROCEEDINGS held in the
    8 above-entitled cause before Hearing Officer Marie
    9 Tipsord, called by the Illinois Pollution Control
    10 Board, taken before Laura Mukahirn, CSR, a notary
    11 public within and for the County of Cook and State
    12 of Illinois, at the Thompson Building, 100 West
    13 Randolph, Chicago, Illinois, on the 10th day of
    14 September, 2008, commencing at the hour of 1:00 p.m.
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    0002
    1
    A P P E A R A N C E S
    2
    MS. MARIE TIPSORD, Hearing Officer
    MR. TANNER GIRARD, Acting Chairman
    3
    MR. ANAND RAO
    MR. NICHOLS MELAS
    4
    Appearing on behalf of the Illinois
    Pollution Control Board
    5
    ILLINOIS ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
    6
    1021 North Grand Avenue East
    P.O. Box 19276
    7
    Springfield, Illinois 62794-9276
    (217)782-5544
    8
    BY: MS. DEBORAH WILLIAMS
    MS. STEPHANIE DIERS
    9
    MR. ROBERT SULSKI
    MR. SCOTT TWAIT
    10
    MR. HOWARD ESSIG
    11
    BARNES & THORNBURG
    One North Wacker Drive
    12
    Suite 4400
    Chicago, Illinois 6606-2833
    13
    (312)357-1313
    BY: MR. FREDRIC P. ANDES
    14
    Appearing on behalf of the Metropolitan
    Water Reclamation District
    15

    16
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    0003
    1
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Good
    2
    afternoon. I hope everyone had a nice lunch.
    3
    And I believe we are ready to turn to the
    4
    IEPA's questions. There are prefiled
    5
    questions for -- we finished with
    6
    Dr. Petropoulou, so we're ready for Dr. Gerba
    7
    or Dr. Tolson.
    8
    MS. DIERS: Dr. Gerba, I'm going to
    9
    start with Question 3 of our prefiled
    10
    questions. On Page 2 of your prefiled
    11
    testimony you state, the indicators selected
    12
    are those which have been traditionally used
    13
    and those recommended by the United States
    14
    Environmental Protection Agency and the World
    15
    Health Organization for assessment of
    16
    recreational water quality, NRC 2004.
    17
    First, could you please
    18
    explain which organisms were chosen because
    19
    they were traditionally used?
    20
    DR. GERBA: Okay. On our list
    21
    judicial ones would be fecal coliforms, E.
    22
    Coli, enterococci. Some European countries
    23
    actually have used salmonella as an indicator
    24
    in recreational water quality and viruss.
    0004
    1
    MS. DIERS: And the next question,
    2
    which organisms were chosen because they were
    3
    recommended by U.S. EPA for assessment of
    4
    recreational water qualities?
    5
    DR. GERBA: Basically enterococci and
    6
    E. Coli, although fecal coliforms have been
    7
    used, of course.
    8
    MS. DIERS: And which organisms were
    9
    chosen because they were recommended by WHO
    10
    for assessment of recreational water quality?
    11
    DR. GERBA: The World Health
    12
    Organization recommends a number of organisms
    13
    and criteria and for potentially selection of
    14
    different organisms. But fecal coliforms,
    15
    E. Coli, and enterococci are also on that
    16
    list.
    17
    MS. DIERS: I'm going to jump down to
    18
    No. 6.
    19
    MR. ETTINGER: May I ask one question
    20
    about that? Do you like any of those
    21
    indicators?
    22
    DR. GERBA: Do I like them?

    23
    MR. ETTINGER: Yeah. Do you think any
    24
    of them are -- indicate whether pathogens are
    0005
    1
    present or not?
    2
    DR. GERBA: No. There's no -- I mean
    3
    many studies have shown there's really no
    4
    direct correlation between the various
    5
    pathogens, particularly the viruss, I should
    6
    say, and the protozoa and parasites and the
    7
    indicators. That's -- the traditional ones I
    8
    mentioned, the fecal coliform, the E. Coli
    9
    and enterococci. It's one of the reasons
    10
    pathogens were actually done as part of this
    11
    study.
    12
    MR. ETTINGER: So are you aware of any
    13
    indicator that you would use?
    14
    DR. GERBA: There's pluses and minuses
    15
    to use of any indicator, but one of the big
    16
    problems with any of the indicators currently
    17
    in common use is they don't necessarily
    18
    relate to the occurrence of various pathogens
    19
    in the water. For example, if I chlorinated
    20
    sewage effluence, cryptosporidium or Giardia
    21
    are fairly resistant to chlorination. These
    22
    indicators are not. So it's hard to
    23
    establish a correlation with it. If I used
    24
    UV light -- adenovirus, they're resistant to
    0006
    1
    UV light where the bacterial indicators are
    2
    very susceptible. So you can have situation
    3
    with hardly any indicators with a lot of
    4
    pathogens.
    5
    MR. ETTINGER: And I think you said
    6
    none of the traditional indicators, they all
    7
    have problems -- are there any -- I'm
    8
    sorry -- untraditional indicators that you
    9
    like better, or is there anything you would
    10
    use other than correctly measuring pathogens?
    11
    DR. GERBA: I think in the future a
    12
    combination of actually looking for certain
    13
    pathogens which might create the greatest
    14
    risk that some of my colleagues propose using
    15
    adenoviruses because they're in greater
    16
    abundance than a lot of the other water-born
    17
    pathogens, particularly the enteric viruss.
    18
    Other people in the past have even suggested
    19
    enteroviruses as better indicator of the
    20
    risk. To give you -- bacteroides has been
    21
    suggested, another bacterial group, anaerobic
    22
    bacteria that occurred in the human gut, for
    23
    example, and other types of anaerobic
    24
    bacteria have been suggested as potential
    0007
    1
    better indicators because they're more
    2
    associated with fecal pollution; and some of
    3
    them, more specifically, with human
    4
    intestinal tract, an indicator of human fecal

    5
    pollution. And they've also been suggested
    6
    and studied a lot. But, unfortunately,
    7
    they're anaerobic organisms and are more
    8
    difficult to work with. Bacteriophages have
    9
    been suggested and coliphages which are
    10
    bacterial viruses have also been suggested as
    11
    indicators of the recreational water quality.
    12
    MR. ETTINGER: Independent of what has
    13
    been suggested, is there any of them that you
    14
    like? If you were stuck with some sort of
    15
    indicators, are there any of them that you
    16
    like?
    17
    DR. GERBA: You know, not that I can
    18
    really pick out without -- you know, not
    19
    offhand I couldn't really say, pick one.
    20
    MR. ETTINGER: Thank you.
    21
    MS. DIERS: As I said, I'm going to go
    22
    to Question 6 on the prefiled questions. On
    23
    Page 4 of your prefiled testimony, you state
    24
    that levels of pathogens found in the CAWS
    0008
    1
    were equal to or lower than values you have
    2
    observed in other places with both
    3
    disinfected and undisinfected effluents. Is
    4
    it your professional opinion that the common
    5
    practice of effluent disinfection at
    6
    wastewater treatment plants in the United
    7
    States is unwarranted based on the science?
    8
    DR. GERBA: I think that's really a
    9
    policy and management question rather than a
    10
    science question.
    11
    MS. DIERS: Okay. Question 7: On
    12
    Page 5 of your prefiled testimony, you state
    13
    that disinfection is warranted in situations
    14
    where direct human contact in the immediate
    15
    vicinity of an outfall is possible or where
    16
    effluent is discharged to areas involving the
    17
    production of human food. And I believe you
    18
    answered our first one. So I'm going to ask,
    19
    what do you mean by areas involving the
    20
    production of human food?
    21
    DR. GERBA: I think I covered that. I
    22
    was talking about shellfish in the marine
    23
    environment.
    24
    MS. DIERS: Is that all, just the
    0009
    1
    shellfish?
    2
    DR. GERBA: Yeah. Because shellfish
    3
    concentrate viruses, and particularly viruses
    4
    from the -- maybe 1,000 times above levels
    5
    you find in the ambient environment. So they
    6
    are a particular issue.
    7
    Other types of seafood
    8
    could -- and also consumed raw by a lot of
    9
    people. That's the other consumer -- other
    10
    types of seafoods are usually cooked.
    11
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: If I may,

    12
    Dr. Gerba, what about water that might then
    13
    be used for irrigation, would that be --
    14
    DR. GERBA: Do I think it should be
    15
    disinfected?
    16
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Yes.
    17
    DR. GERBA: If it's food crops,
    18
    definitely. And that's a decision in the
    19
    United States by the individual states. In
    20
    California, I believe it -- or maybe not.
    21
    You don't disinfect -- you don't have to
    22
    disinfect the sewage effluent if it's
    23
    nonhuman food crops that are being irrigated.
    24
    And that's done in practice in California.
    0010
    1
    But if it's human food crops, not only should
    2
    it be disinfected, but it also should be
    3
    given tertiary treatment and filtered. There
    4
    are a lot of steps before -- The situations
    5
    where I've seen that done, usually it's
    6
    advanced tertiary treatment using -- going
    7
    through ultrafiltration membranes and that.
    8
    The assurance here is because it's going to
    9
    be used for human consumption has to be very
    10
    high that there's no pathogens. And
    11
    oftentimes pathogen levels are monitored in
    12
    the at least the initial phases of those
    13
    types of situations.
    14
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: And, to your
    15
    knowledge, there's no shellfish or use of
    16
    CAWS waterway system for irrigation; is that
    17
    correct?
    18
    DR. GERBA: No, not that I'm aware of.
    19
    MS. DIERS: Question 8: You state
    20
    that it is not clear that wastewater
    21
    disinfection always yields improved effluent
    22
    or receiving water quality. Is it your
    23
    testimony that disinfection should only be
    24
    required when it is demonstrated to yield
    0011
    1
    water quality improvements?
    2
    DR. GERDA: It depends on the
    3
    objectives on what the water is going to be
    4
    used for and the impact. That's really, I
    5
    think, more management decisions, because it
    6
    depends on how the water is going to be used
    7
    in discharge or what impact might be to the
    8
    users of that water and how that impact takes
    9
    place.
    10
    MS. DIERS: Based on your -- this is
    11
    Question 9. Based on your experience, do you
    12
    have an opinion one way or another what
    13
    indicator organism or organisms would you
    14
    recommend to U.S. EPA to use in the
    15
    establishment of water quality criteria for
    16
    the protection of primary and secondary
    17
    contact recreational activities?
    18
    DR. GERBA: I really don't have an

    19
    opinion on that right now which one might be
    20
    better than another.
    21
    MS. DIERS: And my last one is
    22
    Question 11: Page 5 of your prefiled
    23
    testimony you state, therefore, it is
    24
    uncertain if disinfection designed to remove
    0012
    1
    indicators can be effective in the removal of
    2
    pathogens and in the reduction of pathogen
    3
    risk. Could you please explain what you mean
    4
    by this statement?
    5
    DR. GERBA: Yes. One example would be
    6
    cryptosporidium, and the levels of chlorine
    7
    usually apply in a lot of wastewater
    8
    treatment plants I've seen. It would have no
    9
    effect on the cryptosporidium because it's so
    10
    resistant to chlorine. In fact, a lot of the
    11
    outbreaks we see in swimming pools today are
    12
    due to cryptosporidium because it can
    13
    tolerate the one, three and four milligrams
    14
    per liter of chlorine that are in swimming
    15
    pools. So that would be one example. If we
    16
    go to ultraviolet light, certainly in our own
    17
    research and others, using UV light systems
    18
    for disinfection wastewater, you'll find a
    19
    lot more adenoviruses being released into the
    20
    environment than would be if you were using
    21
    chlorine. So, yeah, you'd have a situation
    22
    where you would almost -- you certainly could
    23
    meet standards, and other people have shown
    24
    this, and still have a lot of adenoviruses
    0013
    1
    being present in the water because they're so
    2
    resistant to ultraviolet light.
    3
    MS. DIERS: I think that's all I have
    4
    for Dr. Gerba.
    5
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Let's move
    6
    to your questions for Dr. Tolson.
    7
    MS. WILLIAMS: Okay. Dr. Tolson, I
    8
    think it might have been Mr. Gerba who said
    9
    earlier that low is a relative term. So I'm
    10
    going to ask you a couple of questions about
    11
    your use of the word low. You conclude -- in
    12
    Question No. 2 for you it says you conclude
    13
    that risk for gastrointestinal illness
    14
    associated with recreational use of the
    15
    Chicago area waterway are low. So can you
    16
    tell us what would be a high rate, high risk
    17
    of illness, high rate of risk of illness?
    18
    Sorry.
    19
    DR. TOLSON: Dr. Gerba is right. It
    20
    is a relevant term. And the benchmark we use
    21
    to sort of set that is the acceptable risk
    22
    for primary contact recreation of eight per
    23
    1,000.
    24
    MS. WILLIAMS: So you rely on the
    0014

    1
    eight per 1,000 in the U.S. EPA 1986 National
    2
    Criteria Document as a dividing line between
    3
    low and high or acceptable and unacceptable?
    4
    DR. TOLSON: No. We're not saying
    5
    anything about that particular standard.
    6
    What we're just saying is that here is a
    7
    number, and you put that number in
    8
    perspective. We're comparing it to this
    9
    screening standard, this number that's out
    10
    there just to give the reader a sense for
    11
    where that would fall within risks that are
    12
    otherwise reported.
    13
    MS. WILLIAMS: So it's low relative to
    14
    eight, the numbers you counted --
    15
    DR. TOLSON: And four and, yeah, and
    16
    six.
    17
    MS. WILHITE: So it's low -- I guess
    18
    that's my question. Would six be low?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: In order to -- either I
    20
    could report the number as two, or I could
    21
    put it in context of it's a high or low. And
    22
    to put in context of high or low, you need to
    23
    come up with a threshold, and there's not
    24
    many out there. One of them is the
    0015
    1
    U.S. EPA primary which is the lowest that EPA
    2
    has come out with of 8 per thousand. So it's
    3
    low relative to that number.
    4
    MS. WILLIAMS: I have some other
    5
    questions related to that, but I guess I'll
    6
    go in order for now.
    7
    No. 3, you also conclude that the
    8
    risks associated with recreational use of the
    9
    CAWS are mainly due to secondarily loading of
    10
    the waterway under wet weather conditions
    11
    from CSOs and other dischargers, unquote.
    12
    What do you base this conclusion mainly on?
    13
    MR. ANDES: Can I clarify something?
    14
    On that -- That's a conclusion for the whole
    15
    report, so.
    16
    MS. WILLIAMS: But it's quoted from
    17
    his testimony. That's where the quote is
    18
    from.
    19
    MR. ANDES: I'm just trying to figure
    20
    out. You could say he bases it on everything
    21
    in the report --
    22
    MS. WILLIAMS: What in the report does
    23
    he base it on?
    24
    DR. TOLSON: We've covered a lot of
    0016
    1
    this previously. But I think if you look at
    2
    Exhibit 71, Table 5.9 as a summary result
    3
    table, and I believe this was actually in my
    4
    prefiled testimony also as Exhibit 1. I'm
    5
    sorry. It was not. But it's in the report.
    6
    And this shows risk from dry weather and
    7
    combined dry/wet weather.

    8
    MS. WILLIAMS: 5-9? Am I looking at
    9
    the wrong thing?
    10
    DR. TOLSON: Let me change that. I'm
    11
    sorry. I had the wrong one. Let's go with
    12
    5-14. Because that shows disinfection versus
    13
    nondisinfection. So Exhibit 71, Table 5-14.
    14
    And there it shows, for example, North Side
    15
    we have a 1.53 illnesses per 1,000 or 15 per
    16
    10,000 or 153 per 100,000. And compare that
    17
    to including disinfection by, for example, UV
    18
    which was the most efficacious in this case
    19
    was 1.32 per 1,000.
    20
    MS. WILLIAMS: So it was the
    21
    difference between the risks that you
    22
    calculate for undisinfected versus
    23
    disinfected that you base the statement on
    24
    primarily?
    0017
    1
    DR. TOLSON: That was the whole goal
    2
    of the study, and that's the essence of the
    3
    results are there is a decrease, but the
    4
    decrease is minor because of major
    5
    contributors to the waterway are other
    6
    sources other than the effluent from the
    7
    wastewater treatment plants.
    8
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Off the
    9
    record for a second.
    10
    (Off the record.)
    11
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Back on the
    12
    record.
    13
    MR. ETTINGER: Let me ask one
    14
    question. Did you calculate what the risk
    15
    would be to swimmers?
    16
    DR. TOLSON: No. Swimmers was not an
    17
    intake and ingestion rate scenario for which
    18
    we developed any risk numbers.
    19
    MR. ETTINGER: Is it safe to swim
    20
    there?
    21
    DR. TOLSON: We have no basis to make
    22
    any assumption.
    23
    MS. WILLIAMS: Could you calculate
    24
    what the risk to swimmers would be?
    0018
    1
    DR. TOLSON: I can calculate a lot of
    2
    things, yes. There are going to be inherent
    3
    uncertainties associated with that that will
    4
    probably be greater than the uncertainties
    5
    associated with the recreational use for
    6
    which we have a considerable amount of
    7
    background data on.
    8
    MR. ANDES: My objection is swimming
    9
    isn't even part of the proposed uses here,
    10
    so.
    11
    MR. ETTINGER: Well, we might want to
    12
    reform the proposal since it seems so safe to
    13
    go in there, you know. In fact, we may want
    14
    to move that maybe next week.

    15
    MR. ANDES: Can't wait.
    16
    MR. ETTINGER: Can we take our
    17
    canoeing numbers that are on 5-4 and use an
    18
    exposure based on swimming and come out with
    19
    numbers?
    20
    DR. TOLSON: We have not performed any
    21
    of those calculations, and I can't really
    22
    even speculate on what the result would be.
    23
    MR. ETTINGER: If I wanted to do that,
    24
    could I just basically take this table of 5.4
    0019
    1
    and use the exposures that are for swimming
    2
    as opposed to the ones for canoeing and come
    3
    out with that number?
    4
    DR. TOLSON: It's not quite that
    5
    simple. You would have to actually go
    6
    through the Monte Carlo simulations with
    7
    different input assumptions for not only the
    8
    ingestion rates for swimming, but also how
    9
    long someone swims and --
    10
    MS. WILLIAMS: Well, I think this sort
    11
    of goes to my next question. I ask in the
    12
    next question how did we come up with the
    13
    estimated doses for each activity in this
    14
    table -- I mean they're listed in the table
    15
    that Albert is referring to, right, 5-4? And
    16
    you have them in terms of milliliter per
    17
    hour.
    18
    DR. TOLSON: Yes. We've gone over --
    19
    MS. WILLIAMS: I understand, and you
    20
    may have answered some of these. I think my
    21
    questions are very general, so don't feel
    22
    that you have to give a lot of specifics.
    23
    But I would like to -- you to answer
    24
    generally where these came from the
    0020
    1
    literature or did you make them up? Can you
    2
    tell me where these came from? Maybe I
    3
    should understand that from having listened
    4
    to your testimony already, but I don't, so.
    5
    DR. TOLSON: We did actually spend
    6
    quite a lot of time going through how we
    7
    derived these ingestion rates.
    8
    MR. ANDES: They weren't made up. I
    9
    think we can --
    10
    MS. WILLIAMS: Do you think this has
    11
    been asked and answered? I don't feel that I
    12
    understand the answer, so.
    13
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Could you
    14
    give us just a --
    15
    DR. TOLSON: Okay. I'll give you
    16
    another summary. For example, for canoeing,
    17
    there are assumptions that one needs to make
    18
    on the ingestion rate. What we're looking at
    19
    what that range would be for those ingestion
    20
    rate numbers, we have to say, well, what's --
    21
    what is -- let me back up.

    22
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Excuse me,
    23
    Dr. Tolson. I don't mean to interrupt you,
    24
    but I think perhaps you just started with
    0021
    1
    what Miss Williams is getting at. You said
    2
    there are assumptions that have to be made.
    3
    Are those assumptions from -- how did those
    4
    assumptions, how were those assumptions made?
    5
    DR. TOLSON: Right. So it's the
    6
    assumptions are that the range of the inputs
    7
    there. And then once --
    8
    MS. WILLIAMS: So you made them up?
    9
    DR. TOLSON: One assumption is that --
    10
    Let me say this. One assumption is the
    11
    ingestion rates vary over a range, and that
    12
    they probably don't vary with the symmetrical
    13
    distribution. In other words, the center,
    14
    the most likely ingestion rate is probably
    15
    not the center of that. There's probably
    16
    some people that get much more, and those
    17
    would happen less frequently. So you'd get a
    18
    nonnormally distributed distribution of
    19
    ingestion rates. So we have a lognormal
    20
    distribution there. Then we have to sort of
    21
    ground truth that to what we understand about
    22
    literature citations for ingestion. So you
    23
    look at things like, well, on those high end
    24
    exposures, how bad can they be? We looked at
    0022
    1
    the U.S. EPA's swimming data or ingestion
    2
    rates under that activity and said, you're
    3
    probably not going to canoe down the river by
    4
    holding onto the canoe and swimming down. So
    5
    that's actually the concentration, the
    6
    ingestion rates that we assumed for those
    7
    high-end exposures. They were way out there
    8
    on the tail.
    9
    MS. WILLIAMS: So if we wanted to see
    10
    another line in your table that said
    11
    swimming, milliliters per hour, could we find
    12
    that directly from U.S. EPA?
    13
    DR. TOLSON: U.S. EPA has actually got
    14
    a number of very good studies on swimming and
    15
    ingestion rates. They come from pool
    16
    exposures where we've got a great tracer,
    17
    cyuranic acid, which is the chlorine
    18
    stabilizer. And they put a bunch of kids in
    19
    the pool and then you can measure their pee.
    20
    And you can find out how much they drank by
    21
    how much cyuranic acid comes out on the other
    22
    end. And we find that EPA sort of uses a
    23
    15 mls per event as a swimming exposure.
    24
    There are other literature that
    0023
    1
    cites some other numbers, but that's pretty
    2
    typical is 15 mls per event. Now we derived
    3
    ours as per hour. So if you look at a

    4
    high-end exposure of, say, 20, and you assume
    5
    that there's going to be there for three
    6
    hours, that gives about 60 mls per event
    7
    which is actually higher than the swimming
    8
    ingestion assumed by EPA as a point estimate.
    9
    MS. WILLIAMS: But event means to them
    10
    an event of ingesting water or no? It
    11
    doesn't mean a time of going swimming. It
    12
    means a time of --
    13
    DR. TOLSON: Right, right.
    14
    MS. WILLIAMS: -- accidentally --
    15
    DR. TOLSON: Typically it's event
    16
    driven. So if you were out there for eight
    17
    hours, you may have gotten that entire 50 mls
    18
    on five minutes within that, or it could have
    19
    been disbursed out along -- they don't care
    20
    about that. They just do it per event. Here
    21
    we're doing it per hour, and we're also
    22
    incorporating a time aspect because we
    23
    realize that the different recreational
    24
    activities are different in the amount of
    0024
    1
    time that people spend with the water.
    2
    MS. WILLIAMS: Did you want to follow
    3
    up, Albert, or were you just clearing your
    4
    throat?
    5
    MR. ETTINGER: I was just clearing my
    6
    throat. I'm writing the new petition.
    7
    MS. WILLIAMS: So in deriving these
    8
    numbers in Table 5-4, what assumptions were
    9
    made regarding how frequently canoers or
    10
    hand-powered boaters would capsize? I mean
    11
    how did --
    12
    DR. TOLSON: So we didn't really
    13
    corporate any of that. This is a
    14
    distribution of exposures that goes to
    15
    high-end activities. Those people that we
    16
    categorize from the UAA as having higher
    17
    contacts, which includes the canoers, which
    18
    is our representative sort of perceptor. The
    19
    distribution is a continuum. There are some
    20
    people that, on their event, they consume 30,
    21
    there are some that are going to consume 32,
    22
    some 50, some 20, and some 1. There's a
    23
    whole continuum of what's going to happen out
    24
    there. We don't say that we've got a
    0025
    1
    capsized person or a noncapsized person and
    2
    then define them in one group or another.
    3
    Somebody may capsize and actually ingest very
    4
    little. Others may not capsize and ingest
    5
    much more.
    6
    MR. ETTINGER: Are there --
    7
    MS. WILLIAMS: Well, I'm just trying
    8
    to understand then is if the person who
    9
    capsized and ingested quite a bit, you would
    10
    assume that would be somewhere in the 50

    11
    milliliter per event range, correct?
    12
    DR. TOLSON: I would not assume that.
    13
    I -- actually, we have no data on how much
    14
    people ingest when they capsize. My
    15
    speculation is that when you capsize, you're
    16
    probably going to ingest some water. And we
    17
    wanted to try to capture that within the
    18
    continuum, the full distribution of what's
    19
    out there. The way that we did that is we
    20
    said here is some data on swimming, an
    21
    activity where people are immersed. Let's
    22
    use that as sort of our high end of our range
    23
    for distribution.
    24
    MS. WILLIAMS: And I do understand
    0026
    1
    that. I guess, looking, though, at your
    2
    numbers, they seem quite low.
    3
    MR. ANDES: On what basis?
    4
    MS. WILLIAMS: Compared to -- well,
    5
    I'm looking at, for a canoer, the range you
    6
    give is 5.21 milliliters, per hour, right,
    7
    234. But is the highlighted line 50
    8
    percentile, what you're relying on?
    9
    DR. TOLSON: Yes.
    10
    MS. WILLIAMS: So 7.52 milliliters per
    11
    hour. And based on your distribution of the
    12
    number of hours, I understand you use
    13
    statistics and include a lot of things, but a
    14
    typical canoer we'd be looking at something
    15
    quite a bit less than an event, as U.S. EPA
    16
    looks at it for a swimmer, right?
    17
    DR. TOLSON: Correct. So we're
    18
    getting in a ballpark estimate of 19 mls per
    19
    event which is -- compare that to 50 mls from
    20
    swimming. I think we're actually being very
    21
    conservative. I don't think many would argue
    22
    that canoers get less. You would argue.
    23
    Okay.
    24
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: If I may have a
    0027
    1
    quick follow-up. So you're equating the
    2
    experience of someone swimming, that
    3
    activity, with someone either falling out of
    4
    a canoe and being submerged or flipping in a
    5
    kayak upside down and then needing to right
    6
    themself? That's the same kind of activity
    7
    and less of a dose? Is that what -- is that
    8
    what you're -- I'm trying to understand --
    9
    Please answer.
    10
    DR. TOLSON: We didn't specifically
    11
    look at capsizing and immersion from any
    12
    particular activity. We just tried to define
    13
    a continuum, a range, a full range that might
    14
    incorporate all the possibilities that would
    15
    happen from canoeing. Within that we needed
    16
    to debound it somehow. It's not as much as
    17
    you would have for drinking water. There's

    18
    got to be some sort of reality check on that.
    19
    So our high end, our reality check on that
    20
    was to say, well, if somebody was swimming
    21
    their entire time that they were out on the
    22
    river, how much ingestion would you get
    23
    there? And we used that to sort of frame our
    24
    distribution of ingestion rates.
    0028
    1
    MS. WILLIAMS: And by frame, do you
    2
    mean that we would just make sure it was less
    3
    than that? I guess I'm still trying to
    4
    understand when you say frame.
    5
    DR. TOLSON: That's a reasonable
    6
    characterization of it. I mean swimming, do
    7
    you ingest more when you swim or when you
    8
    canoe?
    9
    MS. WILLIAMS: And that's -- the
    10
    assumption is you ingest more when you swim
    11
    than when you canoe?
    12
    DR. TOLSON: Correct. And I'm saying
    13
    that we've got a distribution here that
    14
    extends beyond what you would have for
    15
    swimming.
    16
    MS. WILLIAMS: And I -- sorry.
    17
    DR. TOLSON: Go ahead.
    18
    MS. WILLIAMS: We have a distribution
    19
    that goes beyond because why?
    20
    DR. TOLSON: If swimming is 50 mls per
    21
    event, we have a distribution that can give
    22
    values up to five hours at 34 mls per hour,
    23
    150 mls. So the highest end of this range
    24
    here is three times what EPA recommends for
    0029
    1
    ingestion rate for swimming.
    2
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Dr. Girard?
    3
    CHAIRMAN GIRARD: Dr. Tolson, in the
    4
    Geosyntec report which is Exhibit 71. Do you
    5
    have your copy there? Could you look at
    6
    Page 100 and take a look at the last
    7
    paragraph on Page 100 and tell us if that
    8
    sort of summarizes some of the answers you've
    9
    been giving to these questions?
    10
    DR. TOLSON: And I hope it does.
    11
    CHAIRMAN GIRARD: I hope so too.
    12
    DR. TOLSON: It's written in
    13
    mathematicalese here, so excuse that. But
    14
    for canoes, a lognormal distribution of a
    15
    mean of five and a standard deviation of
    16
    five.
    17
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: If you're
    18
    reading, you need to -- the court reporter.
    19
    CHAIRMAN GIRARD: You can summarize
    20
    it.
    21
    DR. TOLSON: So remember this is a
    22
    lognormal distribution, so what that mean of
    23
    a log of five gets you a distribution that
    24
    looks like the figure in 5 point -- 5-2 of

    0030
    1
    Exhibit 71.
    2
    CHAIRMAN GIRARD: Go to like the third
    3
    sentence which starts on Line 4 where you're
    4
    talking about ingestion rates for your upper
    5
    end.
    6
    DR. TOLSON: Got it. It says for the
    7
    90th to 100th percentile ingestion rates
    8
    range from 14 to 34 mls per hour which
    9
    implies that 10 percent of the population may
    10
    be exposed to water ingestion rates
    11
    approaching those observed in swimming or
    12
    accidental gulping.
    13
    CHAIRMAN TANNER: Maybe the next one.
    14
    DR. TOLSON: The next one is this is
    15
    consistent with the observation in Fewtrell
    16
    1994 study in which 8 percent of canoeists
    17
    report capsizing, an event what that may
    18
    result in ingestion rates similar to swimming
    19
    or gulping.
    20
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Miss Dexter?
    21
    MS. DEXTER: In the ingestion rate
    22
    studies that you cited, were any of the
    23
    subjects under duress? Was that -- I mean --
    24
    I'm not -- no. I'm saying did they study
    0031
    1
    what happens, how much water is ingested when
    2
    somebody is drowning?
    3
    DR. TOLSON: If you're drowning on the
    4
    CAWS, you've got a lot more issues than
    5
    micro --
    6
    MS. DEXTER: I'm just saying in an
    7
    instance when somebody capsizes a canoe -- or
    8
    a kayak and is inexperienced, that's a panic
    9
    situation. I'm wondering if there's a
    10
    correlation between the swimming studies
    11
    where people are playing and when somebody is
    12
    actually in a stressful emergency situation.
    13
    MR. ANDES: Just a moment.
    14
    DR. TOLSON: Actually, I think we may
    15
    have the Fewtrell paper here that might
    16
    address some of those comments. The Fewtrell
    17
    study did not come up with ingestion rates
    18
    associated with their 8 percent capsizing,
    19
    but it did come up with a conclusion. Let me
    20
    read this. Has this been admitted to the
    21
    record yet?
    22
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: I don't
    23
    think so.
    24
    MR. ANDES: I believe a partial copy
    0032
    1
    was introduced by Ms. Alexander.
    2
    DR. TOLSON: There are two Fewtrell
    3
    papers: One, a 1992 study which has been
    4
    admitted to the record, and this one would be
    5
    a separate study, a 1994, which is quoted
    6
    within the paragraph that I just read out of

    7
    the report.
    8
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Okay. Yes,
    9
    Exhibit 74 is the other Fewtrell study from
    10
    the effects of white water canoeing.
    11
    DR. TOLSON: That one is a 1992 study
    12
    on white water canoeing. This one is 1994
    13
    study on marathon canoeing. And I would like
    14
    to point out within the conclusions of the
    15
    study, Conclusion 2 says the apparent lack of
    16
    identifiable health effects in these studies
    17
    suggest that it may be appropriate to use a
    18
    relatively polluted water for low contact
    19
    recreational activities.
    20
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: And do we
    21
    have a copy of that we can enter into the
    22
    record?
    23
    MR. ANDES: We do.
    24
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Can I ask a
    0033
    1
    follow-up question to that, because it
    2
    dovetails something else I was going to ask
    3
    on that report anyway.
    4
    THE COURT: Go ahead.
    5
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Thanks.
    6
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: But you need
    7
    to speak up and ask one question at a time.
    8
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Thank you. In
    9
    quantifying the amount of water ingested by
    10
    canoeists Geosyntec relies on a report, I'm
    11
    assuming it's that one, that in studies of
    12
    rowing and marathon canoeists, approximately
    13
    8 percent of the canoeists at fresh water
    14
    sites reported capsizing, and 16 percent of
    15
    rowers reported ingesting some water. And
    16
    that's actually in your Attachment 3 in the
    17
    microbial risk assessment report, Pages 99 to
    18
    100.
    19
    DR. TOLSON: I agree.
    20
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: My question to you
    21
    is do you know the mean level of experience
    22
    for the marathon canoeists and rowers
    23
    questioned about capsizing in this study?
    24
    DR. TOLSON: Clearly no.
    0034
    1
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: And what is the
    2
    spectrum of experience for the people that
    3
    canoe and kayak on -- or jet ski on the CAWS?
    4
    DR. TOLSON: I have no knowledge of
    5
    that either.
    6
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Thank you.
    7
    MR. ETTINGER: I'm sorry.
    8
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Wait a
    9
    minute. Before we get too far away. I am
    10
    marking as Exhibit 79 the health effects of
    11
    low contact water activities in fresh and
    12
    estuarine waters, E-S-T-U-A-R-I-N-E, by L.
    13
    Fewtrell, et al. as Exhibit 79, if there is

    14
    no objection. Seeing none, it's Exhibit 79.
    15
    Mr. Ettinger, go right ahead.
    16
    MR. ETTINGER: I'm just trying to
    17
    follow-up on Tanner Girard's question
    18
    regarding this paragraph on Page 100 of the
    19
    report. I understand you had the swimming
    20
    figure, and then there's some sort of
    21
    mathematical formula. I'm not as well
    22
    educated as journalists, so I don't
    23
    understand all the math here. But how do
    24
    you -- You just shape the bell curve?
    0035
    1
    What's -- How do you shape that?
    2
    DR. TOLSON: It's a lognormal
    3
    distribution. I teach a problemistic risk
    4
    assessment class. And one of the activities
    5
    I do is a couple of days where we work on
    6
    this, is I have all the students record the
    7
    time that they shower and the time that their
    8
    spouse or significant other showers in the
    9
    morning and bring it into class next day.
    10
    And every year we get the same results; when
    11
    you plot all those out, they're not normally
    12
    distributed. There are a few people that
    13
    have the 20 minute shower, and it's almost
    14
    always a lognormal distribution that comes
    15
    out of that. Natural processes tend to
    16
    produce a lognormal distribution. It's a
    17
    multiplicative process associated with a lot
    18
    of natural events. If you look at a lot of
    19
    indicator data, historically from the
    20
    district they tend to follow a lognormal
    21
    distribution. So a lognormal distribution is
    22
    what we've assigned as sort of the underlying
    23
    mathematical expression for how different
    24
    people may ingest water. We don't have data
    0036
    1
    on every one of those to develop those
    2
    probabilities, but that fits what we
    3
    understand for a lot of natural processes.
    4
    MR. ETTINGER: Do you have any data
    5
    other than this Fewtrell study and the
    6
    swimming data?
    7
    DR. TOLSON: Mm-hmm.
    8
    MR. ETTINGER: What other data is
    9
    there?
    10
    DR. TOLSON: Well, if you have the two
    11
    points, if you have a point within that
    12
    distribution and you have an assumption of
    13
    what the distribution is, you can fill the
    14
    rest of the distribution in.
    15
    MR. ETTINGER: I only see one point.
    16
    The one point is the swimming. Where is the
    17
    other point?
    18
    DR. TOLSON: Zero. We know that
    19
    everybody is going to have some ingestion,
    20
    incidental ingestion or otherwise. So we

    21
    know it doesn't go any lower than that. So
    22
    we bounded that -- we've bounded that intake
    23
    and then we fit a distribution between those
    24
    points.
    0037
    1
    MR. ETTINGER: So I've been canoeing
    2
    for 20 years. I've never capsized a canoe.
    3
    Would you say that I had a same chance as
    4
    someone who --
    5
    DR. TOLSON: I'd say you have a better
    6
    canoe record than I do, for one.
    7
    MR. ETTINGER: I'm just very cautious.
    8
    DR. TOLSON: I would say our estimates
    9
    are probably over -- an overestimate for you.
    10
    So you are on the left half of the bell
    11
    curve, I'm sorry to say, left half of the
    12
    distribution.
    13
    MR. ETTINGER: So let me get this
    14
    right then. You've just got the swimming
    15
    point, and then you just put a bell curve on
    16
    that with no other data other than this
    17
    Fewtrell study that says 8 percent of the
    18
    guys capsize.
    19
    DR. TOLSON: It's not quite that
    20
    simple. I mean you've got -- we can bound
    21
    what the numbers are. We know it goes
    22
    between zero and something high approaching
    23
    swimming. So if you just have that data and
    24
    you put a lognormal distribution in, you will
    0038
    1
    get a picture that looks like the figure
    2
    that's in Exhibit 71 of incidental ingestion
    3
    rate while for canoeists which is figure 5-2.
    4
    MS. WILLIAMS: Did U.S. EPA use a
    5
    similar process, or did they use actual data
    6
    in correlating their swimming figure?
    7
    MR. ANDES: In correlating the
    8
    swimming? I'm not sure -- in taking what
    9
    action?
    10
    MS. WILLIAMS: So, for example, Albert
    11
    gave the example of his canoeing. Well, I do
    12
    not like to put my head under the water when
    13
    I swim. I like to swim with my head out of
    14
    the water. I suspect I have less events of
    15
    ingesting water than the typical swimmer.
    16
    How is the estimate of 50 milliliter per
    17
    event translated into the 8 in 10 illnesses
    18
    risk of swimming by U.S. EPA? Do you know?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: They did not consider
    20
    that at all within their 8 per 1,000. But
    21
    the way that -- the value that they were
    22
    looking at there was a point estimate, their
    23
    50. They also add considerable conservatism
    24
    with most of their ingestion inputs. And
    0039
    1
    this is one where I'm sure they did the same.
    2
    But it comes from empirical data where

    3
    they've got 20 kids, they put them in the
    4
    pool, they measure the cyuranic acid, back
    5
    calculate how much pool water they ingested,
    6
    took the average of that or took the 95th
    7
    percentile of that, and that was the number
    8
    that they're using for their ingested rate
    9
    point estimate of 50 mls per hour.
    10
    MS. WILLIAMS: So they did not have to
    11
    perform the statistical analysis like you
    12
    did?
    13
    DR. TOLSON: I don't know how they did
    14
    that. My guess is that they would have used
    15
    an upper percentile of the range of the data
    16
    that they had. So a little bit different of
    17
    a statistical one, but a conservative one for
    18
    their estimates also.
    19
    MR. ETTINGER: Did you do fishing and
    20
    boating the same way?
    21
    DR. TOLSON: Fishing and boating are
    22
    also input distributions that will follow
    23
    some sort of lognormal pattern. For fishing
    24
    we took the canoeing median of -- and we
    0040
    1
    essentially halved it. We said for fishing
    2
    you would get maybe half of the intake that
    3
    you would get for canoeing.
    4
    MR. ETTINGER: How do you figure that?
    5
    DR. TOLSON: There is like no data out
    6
    there to calculate this. So this is a
    7
    professional judgment. We think it's a
    8
    conservative judgment based on my experience
    9
    with fishing.
    10
    MS. WILLIAMS: Your personal
    11
    experience as a fisherman?
    12
    DR. TOLSON: I won't say we're basing
    13
    it completely on my personal experience as a
    14
    fisherman, but from what I've seen on TV,
    15
    that's --
    16
    MR. ETTINGER: My personal experience
    17
    is I get my hands all over the fish trying to
    18
    get the hook out. But I've never capsized a
    19
    canoe, so I guess I would have doubled the
    20
    other way, right? Oh, well.
    21
    DR. TOLSON: Again, there are some
    22
    professional judgment evaluations that go
    23
    into here. We're using the fishing and the
    24
    canoeing and the boating as sort of
    0041
    1
    representative of groups of high, medium, and
    2
    low exposure. So your fishing is more of a
    3
    high exposure, I guess, and your canoeing is
    4
    a low. I think what we're we've done here,
    5
    we've tried to capture in a conservative
    6
    fashion the potential for ingestion from
    7
    these three exposure events.
    8
    MS. WILLIAMS: So in Question 14 I
    9
    ask, and I may jump around a bit here. I'm

    10
    trying to be chronological, but I don't think
    11
    it's working. You testified that select --
    12
    quote, selection of input distributions
    13
    relied on literature derived sources,
    14
    site-specific use information, and
    15
    professional judgment. So which of these
    16
    sources was used to estimate how long a
    17
    canoeist or kayaker will be out in the water?
    18
    And so I'm referring to, I guess, now to one
    19
    of the tables. Do you have a table?
    20
    DR. TOLSON: It might be helpful go to
    21
    Figure 5.3. It's a pictorial sort of
    22
    representation to it as opposed to the
    23
    tabular form of Exhibit 71. That's a
    24
    probability density -- you have it? That's a
    0042
    1
    probability density function for exposure
    2
    duration for canoeists. Again, we need to
    3
    sort of bound the range of what's possible
    4
    out here, somebody is there for probably more
    5
    than zero and less than twelve all day,
    6
    probably make a better guess than that. If
    7
    you're going to go out and go canoeing, we
    8
    assume that you're out for at least an hour
    9
    and we assume that you're out there for no
    10
    more than five hours. That seemed like a
    11
    reasonable range.
    12
    MS. WILLIAMS: So that answer to the
    13
    question would be -- would it be it's not
    14
    literature derived.
    15
    DR. TOLSON: No. I'm getting to some
    16
    more specific data, I think, that will inform
    17
    the --
    18
    MR. ANDES: I do have copies of that
    19
    figure if anyone needs that. Do you have
    20
    that?
    21
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Actually,
    22
    we --
    23
    DR. TOLSON: For this particular input
    24
    there actually is survey data. This is much
    0043
    1
    easier to conduct. So there is survey data.
    2
    And I believe EPA exposure factors handbook,
    3
    the activity factors handbook which is one of
    4
    the chapters in this huge volume of survey
    5
    information that EPA has collected, has data
    6
    on use statistics for parks and recreations
    7
    around lakes, streams, and rivers. And the
    8
    distribution that you see here which is a
    9
    triangular distribution fits fairly nicely
    10
    with the 10th and 90th percentiles of the
    11
    recreational use for rivers and lakes. So
    12
    there we have the exposure factors handbook
    13
    data to sort of inform our decision. The
    14
    problem with that data is we don't know if
    15
    they were actually out there canoeing or not.
    16
    So they were just used, they were recreating

    17
    in parks that had streams and lakes. So it
    18
    may have included the time that they were in
    19
    the parking lot before they got on the water.
    20
    There was a lot of other uncertainties
    21
    associated with that.
    22
    MS. WILLIAMS: So you're saying only
    23
    10 percent of the people would have been
    24
    recreating for more than five hours?
    0044
    1
    DR. TOLSON: Correct. That's their
    2
    total recreation there based on that survey.
    3
    There were -- I think there was some in the
    4
    survey there that had 24 hours for their
    5
    recreation time. So they may have included
    6
    homeless and such that were in the parks.
    7
    MS. WILLIAMS: Campers are not
    8
    homeless.
    9
    DR. TOLSON: I'm sorry. It may have
    10
    included campers in there, but probably not
    11
    people that are out on canoes. So I'm not
    12
    sure how -- It's not directly relevant to
    13
    fitting this distribution or we would have
    14
    used that direct information. So what we've
    15
    got here fits within the 90 -- 10th to 90th
    16
    percentile. Because of the uncertainties
    17
    associated with time that was not canoeing
    18
    but also in the park, this probably
    19
    overestimates the time that one would be in
    20
    canoes based on that data. It's also
    21
    interesting to note that the mean that we've
    22
    got, 2.67, which is the mean of that
    23
    triangular distribution, is also greater than
    24
    the mean of the data from that survey
    0045
    1
    information which is like two and a half
    2
    hours or something like that.
    3
    MS. WILLIAMS: How did you get your
    4
    mean?
    5
    DR. TOLSON: How did we generate our
    6
    mean?
    7
    MS. WILLIAMS: Yes.
    8
    DR. TOLSON: It's a triangular
    9
    distribution. You can analytically calculate
    10
    what the mean is or you can probabilistically
    11
    do it by just doing simulations and averaging
    12
    up what the simulations are and dividing by
    13
    the number of simulations.
    14
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Can I ask a
    15
    follow-up?
    16
    MS. WILLIAMS: Yes.
    17
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Question No. 12 for
    18
    you, this is right in line with that.
    19
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Stacy, we
    20
    cannot hear you at all.
    21
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: On Page 101 of the
    22
    microbial risk assessment report, that's your
    23
    Attachment 3 to Dr. Tolson's testimony, I

    24
    would ask Dr. Tolson my question 12 for him,
    0046
    1
    since it seems kind of relevant: According
    2
    to the report, that would be the microbial
    3
    risk assessment, Geosyntec set exposure
    4
    duration based on time for the Flat Water
    5
    Classic, a canoe and kayak race in the
    6
    Chicago River. And the report states that
    7
    according to friends of the Chicago River,
    8
    race times in 2005 range from approximately
    9
    1 to 3.5 hours with majority times between
    10
    1.5 and 2.5 hours.
    11
    DR. TOLSON: Correct. I'm sorry. I
    12
    should have also included that in your
    13
    answer. We used other sources besides the
    14
    EPA.
    15
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Well, the report
    16
    concluded, though, that based on this
    17
    information and professional judgment, again,
    18
    triangular distribution was assigned to this
    19
    input with a minimum time the canoeists must
    20
    be in the water one hour, and the likeliest
    21
    time in water for two hours. And my
    22
    questions to you are, first one: If
    23
    Geosyntec was aware that the average time of
    24
    a race, and this is where people are trying
    0047
    1
    to paddle as quickly as possible to reach the
    2
    finish line, is between 1.5 and 2.5 hours,
    3
    why did the team select an even faster range
    4
    between 1 and 2 hours as the time a person
    5
    would normally spend in a canoe and kayak on
    6
    the CAWS?
    7
    DR. TOLSON: I think you might have a
    8
    little bit of misinterpretation of the ranges
    9
    there. If you go back to Figure 5-3 of the
    10
    report, and if you look, the majority of the
    11
    Flat Water Classic canoe racers were between,
    12
    what did we say, one and a half and two and a
    13
    half hours.
    14
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Right.
    15
    DR. TOLSON: One and a half and two
    16
    and a half hours. And you can see we
    17
    actually estimated that exposure to the river
    18
    is much longer, out to five hours. So if we
    19
    were using that as a basis, then we've
    20
    certainly overestimated, probably
    21
    overestimated by a factor of two.
    22
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: I'm a little
    23
    confused, though. Because the next statement
    24
    says here, "The training and distribution
    0048
    1
    that signed this input was a minimum time the
    2
    canoeist would be in the water of one hour."
    3
    And I'm confused as to why that one hour was
    4
    chosen when during a race the average time --
    5
    the quick time for that average was 1.5, and

    6
    the fastest time that anyone could even
    7
    paddle would have been an hour, when you're
    8
    talking about a regular occurrence on the
    9
    CAWS.
    10
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: You keep
    11
    asking compound questions. You need to stop
    12
    after a question.
    13
    DR. TOLSON: Can we back up. And the
    14
    first question then again was?
    15
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Yes. The minimum
    16
    time a canoeist would be in the water chosen
    17
    here on Page 101 of your report is an hour,
    18
    right?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: Yes. That is correct.
    20
    And it's obviously the shorter the exposure,
    21
    the lower the ingestion, potential ingestion,
    22
    so yes.
    23
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Right. And you
    24
    chose that from the Flat Water Classic; is
    0049
    1
    that correct?
    2
    DR. TOLSON: We did not chose our
    3
    input distribution on ingestion based solely
    4
    on the Flat Water Classic. I think we
    5
    informed our choice based on information from
    6
    EPA surveys on recreational use around lakes
    7
    and parks, and we also looked at the Flat
    8
    Water Classic which is clearly people
    9
    canoeing on the waterway, something we should
    10
    look at. When we look at it in context of
    11
    the Flat Water Classic, we find that our
    12
    distribution that we're using here certainly
    13
    incorporates those people and actually
    14
    overestimates through the entire range the
    15
    length of time people are there compared to
    16
    the length of time people were on the Flat
    17
    Water Classic.
    18
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Well, did you use
    19
    any other information about recreation on the
    20
    CAWS other than the race, the Flat Water
    21
    Classic, to determine the average amount of
    22
    time that recreators are normally out on that
    23
    water -- on those waters?
    24
    DR. TOLSON: Yes, we did. I'm trying
    0050
    1
    to recall the specifics on this. But we
    2
    actually contacted some boat rental
    3
    facilities on renting boats, and I believe we
    4
    got information that they had half-day boat
    5
    rentals and one-hour boat rentals, and that
    6
    was just sort of ancillary information that
    7
    we put into our potential for recreating.
    8
    Somebody was going to rent a boat for an
    9
    hour, they're going to be out there for
    10
    probably an hour.
    11
    MR. ANDES: Can I follow up?
    12
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Sure.

    13
    MR. ANDES: First, Dr. Tolson, let me
    14
    ask: By using one hour's lower bound, if you
    15
    had included smaller time periods of
    16
    exposure, would those have shown less risk?
    17
    DR. TOLSON: That is correct. By
    18
    truncating it at the one hour, we've
    19
    increased our -- the exposure time and
    20
    increased the ingestion rate and potentially
    21
    overestimated risk for those recreators who
    22
    were out there for less than one hour.
    23
    MR. ANDES: And then in terms of the
    24
    first question here which says that the team
    0051
    1
    selected a range of between one and two
    2
    hours, is that right, or -- in fact, can you
    3
    explain what the two hours -- when you say
    4
    the likeliest time in the water is two hours,
    5
    can you explain what that represents and then
    6
    explain to us what the range really is that
    7
    you're using?
    8
    DR. TOLSON: Sure. The likeliest time
    9
    is just the mid point on that, the one is the
    10
    beginning point. But we don't talk
    11
    specifically there in that sentence about the
    12
    high end, which is five hours. So I think
    13
    the misinterpretation is that you're taking
    14
    the minimum and the mean, median, or the most
    15
    likely number, and comparing that to the
    16
    range of the median for the race.
    17
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: You want your
    18
    minimum, though, to reflect what truly is a
    19
    minimum out in the water, though, correct?
    20
    You don't want it to be --
    21
    DR. TOLSON: The minimum amount in the
    22
    water may be five minutes. We did not
    23
    reflect that. So in that respect we probably
    24
    overestimated the risk for those people.
    0052
    1
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Based on the
    2
    information, though, that you've collected,
    3
    based on the Flat Water Classic, the EPA
    4
    study, as well as rental locations, that's --
    5
    what was the minimum that you found from
    6
    those three sources out in the water?
    7
    DR. TOLSON: We don't have any
    8
    specific -- We do not have any specific data
    9
    on the rental times exactly how long people
    10
    were on canoes. For the Flat Water Classic,
    11
    I do not recall who the winner, what the
    12
    winner got as far as time. You may know. Is
    13
    it less than one hour? And, if so, then his
    14
    risk would be even that one person would be
    15
    overestimated with the evaluation as we've
    16
    done it here.
    17
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Dr. Tolson,
    18
    did you testify also that there are rental
    19
    places that rent boats for merely an hour?

    20
    DR. TOLSON: I believe there are, yes.
    21
    At least in 2005 when we --
    22
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Thank you.
    23
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Well, did you
    24
    consider, and I guess I don't know if you
    0053
    1
    would, because I didn't realize that you had
    2
    this other information, but did you consider
    3
    other tour events such as Windy City Kayak
    4
    Symposium, which offers numerous kayak
    5
    trips --
    6
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Slow down,
    7
    slow down, slow down.
    8
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: -- that take from
    9
    three to six hours. And actually the range
    10
    from Friends of the Chicago River, who was
    11
    instrumental in the Flat Water Classic where
    12
    you got your other information, and all of
    13
    their kayak trips last at least from three
    14
    hours and mostly between three and six hours.
    15
    MR. ANDES: And I assume at some point
    16
    that would be offered as evidence, because we
    17
    don't have that to date.
    18
    DR. TOLSON: I do not have any survey
    19
    data from them, any published reports or
    20
    anything from them.
    21
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: So you're not aware
    22
    of any of that and that wasn't taken into
    23
    account?
    24
    DR. TOLSON: That's correct. Long
    0054
    1
    time periods were taken into account within
    2
    our distribution up to five hours. There may
    3
    have been people that can canoe out there all
    4
    day. I can't hold my bladder that long.
    5
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Those sources were
    6
    not taken into account, correct?
    7
    DR. TOLSON: I have not looked at any
    8
    data, any survey data from alternative sort
    9
    of races or events that have been on the
    10
    waterway. However, I believe our
    11
    distribution that we've included for our
    12
    ingestion rate takes into account a wide
    13
    range of potential exposures on the waterway
    14
    that, in my opinion, are a conservative
    15
    estimate of time that people spend on the
    16
    waterway in canoes.
    17
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Thank you.
    18
    MS. WILLIAMS: Did you, by any chance,
    19
    review the testimony from the June 16 hearing
    20
    yet in this matter?
    21
    DR. TOLSON: I'm sorry. I did not.
    22
    MS. WILLIAMS: Yes or no is fine.
    23
    That's fine.
    24
    CHAIRMAN GIRARD: Could I ask a quick
    0055
    1
    follow-up?

    2
    MS. WILLIAMS: Yes.
    3
    CHAIRMAN GIRARD: Dr. Tolson, looking
    4
    at your Figure 5-3, you say you've -- you
    5
    have a mean duration of two -- well, 2.67 or
    6
    two hours and 40 minutes. Just eyeballing
    7
    your graph there, what do you think the
    8
    median would be in terms of half the people
    9
    spend less time and half above? Would it --
    10
    would the median be somewhere around three
    11
    hours?
    12
    DR. TOLSON: The median would be lower
    13
    than that.
    14
    CHAIRMAN GIRARD: Okay. So it would
    15
    be -- but somewhere between two and
    16
    two-thirds?
    17
    DR. TOLSON: Yes.
    18
    CHAIRMAN GIRARD: So still you're
    19
    saying that even though your range is one to
    20
    five hours, you've got a lot of individuals
    21
    there in the mid range in terms of two to
    22
    three hours' time in water?
    23
    DR. TOLSON: That is correct. There
    24
    are more people that are in the two to three
    0056
    1
    hour than there are between the three and the
    2
    four and the four and the five. And as in
    3
    most of these skewed distributions, the
    4
    tails -- less and less frequency in the upper
    5
    tails.
    6
    CHAIRMAN GIRARD: Thank you.
    7
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD:
    8
    Miss Williams, I think we're back to you.
    9
    MS. WILLIAMS: I guess I'm looking at
    10
    question ten now. On Page 3 of your
    11
    testimony you state that recreational survey
    12
    studies were used to provide insight on the
    13
    types and frequency of recreational exposure
    14
    expected in the waterway. Now, this is
    15
    referring to something different than what
    16
    we've been talking about previously, correct?
    17
    What surveys are you talking about here?
    18
    DR. TOLSON: We relied solely on the
    19
    UAA as the survey for that.
    20
    MS. WILLIAMS: And did those surveys
    21
    consider the length of time or how -- or the
    22
    frequency of recreation or anything?
    23
    DR. TOLSON: To my knowledge the UAA
    24
    did not contain that information.
    0057
    1
    MS. WILLIAMS: And do you know who
    2
    conducted those surveys that were in the UAA?
    3
    MR. ANDES: It's in an Agency
    4
    document. You're asking him --
    5
    MS. WILLIAMS: I'm asking him if he
    6
    knows who conducted those surveys.
    7
    DR. TOLSON: There were notes on the
    8
    observation pages, but I don't remember,

    9
    recall the names of those that were involved
    10
    with that.
    11
    MS. WILLIAMS: Okay.
    12
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: And, for the
    13
    record, the UAA we're talking about is the
    14
    one that is Exhibit B to the Agency's
    15
    proposal.
    16
    MS. WILLIAMS: I'm sorry. Attachment
    17
    B?
    18
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Attachment
    19
    B. Sorry. Only because there are two of
    20
    them in the record, I thought we should
    21
    specify.
    22
    MS. WILLIAMS: Yes. And you
    23
    haven't -- you weren't able to look at any of
    24
    the work that's being done by Dr. Dorovich
    0058
    1
    (ph.) regarding recreation in the CAWS. That
    2
    wasn't -- there's nothing available from his
    3
    work about frequency or types of recreation,
    4
    correct?
    5
    DR. TOLSON: This study was concluded,
    6
    I think, before we had sufficient data to
    7
    even consider that.
    8
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Have you had
    9
    a chance to review his findings?
    10
    DR. TOLSON: We were not privy to -- I
    11
    haven't seen it, so.
    12
    MS. WILLIAMS: So when you were
    13
    testifying yesterday, Ms. Alexander, I think,
    14
    understood better than I do, about -- I think
    15
    one of the witnesses referred to the fact
    16
    that's like gambling; going out more often to
    17
    recreate your risk, it's not additive, but
    18
    it's more like gambling. Can you explain
    19
    what that means?
    20
    DR. TOLSON: You leave with less
    21
    money. Yeah. It's important to understand
    22
    that the cumulative risk or the risk from
    23
    repeated exposures, there's a lot of other
    24
    caveats that had to be considered in here.
    0059
    1
    One is there's immunity, and immunity may
    2
    influence the probability of getting infected
    3
    on repeated exposures. And we didn't take
    4
    that into account. That's an uncertainty
    5
    that I think we've discussed to some extent
    6
    within here. The other is how one would take
    7
    five exposure events that may have a
    8
    1 percent chance of risk of illness and
    9
    figuring out at the end of that one what was
    10
    the probability that I would have gotten sick
    11
    somewhere along that time. And there it's
    12
    not just 5 percent which would be 5 times 1
    13
    percent. If you can think about it in terms
    14
    of -- let's talk about in gambling. Say that
    15
    you had a deck of cards and you wanted to get

    16
    hearts. That was your outcome that you
    17
    were -- you were wanting to get a red card.
    18
    That was your outcome that you were
    19
    interested in. If you were to be dealt one
    20
    card out, there's a 50 percent chance it
    21
    would be a red card and 50 percent chance it
    22
    would be a black card. So if you were to be
    23
    dealt two cards face down, if it's 50 percent
    24
    chance on the first one and a 50 percent
    0060
    1
    chance on the second one. Then you would
    2
    conclude that I'm going to get a red card out
    3
    of those two, and that's not the case. So
    4
    it's not just strictly additive. Does that
    5
    address it?
    6
    MS. WILLIAMS: It's not strictly
    7
    additive.
    8
    DR. TOLSON: It's not additive at all.
    9
    It's independent events.
    10
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Can I just
    11
    try to --
    12
    MS. WILLIAMS: Do you have a good way
    13
    of asking it?
    14
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Let me try
    15
    this. So, in other words, if I go out every
    16
    single day and swallow a milliliter of water
    17
    from the CAWS, my chances of getting sick are
    18
    the same every single day, but they don't
    19
    increase every day?
    20
    DR. TOLSON: Yeah. It's a little bit
    21
    more complicated than even that, because
    22
    actually your chances of getting sick are
    23
    actually less after each day.
    24
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Because you
    0061
    1
    begin to build an immunity?
    2
    DR. TOLSON: That is correct.
    3
    MS. WILLIAMS: But still somehow if I
    4
    just go out and take a milliliter one day, my
    5
    risk must be lower than Marie's over the
    6
    whole summer, right?
    7
    DR. TOLSON: I'll agree with that,
    8
    yes.
    9
    MS. WILLIAMS: But your report doesn't
    10
    account for --
    11
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: But that's
    12
    because if I'm going out every day, my
    13
    exposure is more often; not because the
    14
    increased quantity of water.
    15
    DR. TOLSON: Absolutely.
    16
    MS. WILLIAMS: But when you are giving
    17
    a risk level --
    18
    DR. GERBA: Basically that's what the
    19
    EPA does in setting -- based on their
    20
    epidemiological data. Your risk of getting
    21
    ill is an independent event. When they set
    22
    those enterococci or E. Coli standards based

    23
    upon the number of days they get ill, that's
    24
    every time they go out. That's the event.
    0062
    1
    They don't consider it's a cumulative process
    2
    because it's not additive. That's based on
    3
    one time swimming event each time.
    4
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: We have
    5
    another follow-up back there.
    6
    MS. HEDMAN: Susan Hedman from the
    7
    office of the Attorney General on Behalf of
    8
    the People of the State of Illinois. I'd
    9
    like to follow up with Dr. Gerba on this
    10
    exchange about risk. Isn't it true that from
    11
    the perspective of the recreational user of
    12
    the CAWS this is much like a game of Russian
    13
    roulette only with pathogens instead of
    14
    bullets?
    15
    DR. GERBA: Right. It gives it -- The
    16
    events are independent of each other every
    17
    time you play Russian roulette, right?
    18
    MS. HEDMAN: And you've over the years
    19
    I think frequently invoked that analogy; is
    20
    that right?
    21
    DR. GERBA: That's right.
    22
    MS. HEDMAN: Is it true that you said
    23
    that every time you go to the bathroom you're
    24
    playing Russian roulette?
    0063
    1
    DR. GERBA: It depends whose bathroom
    2
    you use.
    3
    MR. ANDES: Can we cite where he said
    4
    that?
    5
    DR. GERBA: I'm sure I have.
    6
    MS. HEDMAN: I mean if I can enter the
    7
    article into evidence as an exhibit.
    8
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Absolutely.
    9
    MS. HEDMAN: It's a 1997 article from
    10
    the Arizona Daily Wildcat, and I believe it
    11
    is about a study that Dr. Gerba did relating
    12
    to use of bacterial infections from use of --
    13
    and pathogenic infections from use of public
    14
    bathrooms.
    15
    DR. GERBA: That's sort of the analogy
    16
    we're using here, actually.
    17
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: I'm going to
    18
    mark this as Exhibit 80 if there's no
    19
    objection. Seeing none, it's Exhibit 80.
    20
    MS. HEDMAN: And I also would like for
    21
    you to tell me if you recognize the following
    22
    statement, this is from a transcript of an
    23
    interview you did on the Today Show in 2005,
    24
    and you were talking about --
    0064
    1
    MR. ANDES: Can I ask why these
    2
    couldn't have been provided earlier so we
    3
    could see them before he has to answer
    4
    questions?

    5
    MS. WILLIAMS: Are these articles
    6
    cited in his --
    7
    MR. ANDES: No.
    8
    MS. HEDMAN: This morning when he was
    9
    testifying he used the phrase the right spot
    10
    at the wrong time, and I recalled him using
    11
    that same phrase in a discussion of risk
    12
    assessment in a Today Show interview I read
    13
    about him. And I would just like to -- we're
    14
    trying to clarify what is this risk
    15
    assessment model. And we talked a lot about
    16
    Monte Carlo models. We talk about all kinds
    17
    of simulations. We've talked about all kinds
    18
    of sophisticated risk assessment models. And
    19
    we're trying to pin down this question of
    20
    what is the risk to the recreational user.
    21
    And --
    22
    MR. ANDES: And I don't think that
    23
    addresses my question of why these materials
    24
    couldn't have been provided earlier.
    0065
    1
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Because she
    2
    found them as a result of his testimony this
    3
    morning as a follow-up.
    4
    MR. ANDES: You only found those
    5
    today?
    6
    MS. HEDMAN: Yes, I did. In fact, you
    7
    can see that I printed them out today. I
    8
    have -- when I saw his testimony, as with all
    9
    the witnesses, I did a fair amount of reading
    10
    of other statements that they made.
    11
    MR. ANDES: So his prefiled testimony?
    12
    MS. HEDMAN: Yes.
    13
    MR. ANDES: That was certainly
    14
    available before yesterday.
    15
    MS. HEDMAN: That's true. I didn't
    16
    know that it would come up.
    17
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: We can go
    18
    ahead. He can certainly answer them to the
    19
    best of his ability without being
    20
    reacquainted with them.
    21
    MR. ANDES: Fine. Okay.
    22
    MS. HEDMAN: Well, I just have one
    23
    more question, and that is whether you recall
    24
    saying in that Today Show interview, and I
    0066
    1
    will enter this into evidence as well,
    2
    talking about exposure to pathogens in the
    3
    workplace.
    4
    DR. GERBA: Right.
    5
    MS. HEDMAN: Quote, it's sort of like
    6
    germ roulette. You know, you touch the right
    7
    spot at the wrong time and you bring your
    8
    fingers to your nose, mouth, or your eyes,
    9
    you can pick up colds that way. Eighty
    10
    percent of the infections you get you're
    11
    going to pick up from your environment.

    12
    DR. GERBA: Right.
    13
    MS. HEDMAN: I thank you. That's it.
    14
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Let's enter
    15
    that as an exhibit as well.
    16
    DR. GERBA: It's a lot more dangerous
    17
    to go to your office than to go canoeing on
    18
    the CAWS.
    19
    MS. HEDMAN: But from the perspective
    20
    of the recreational user of the CAWS?
    21
    DR. GERBA: Right. It's a matter of
    22
    your exposure and how much you're exposed to
    23
    the concentration. So that's a good -- in
    24
    fact, we use that -- I use that as a classic
    0067
    1
    example in teaching about risk and risk
    2
    assessment about how it's all -- how it's a
    3
    gamble and how you calculate what your odds
    4
    are. The whole thing with any type of
    5
    exposure is always to keep your odds in your
    6
    favor and not in the organism's favor.
    7
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: If there's
    8
    no objection, I will mark that as Exhibit 81.
    9
    Seeing none, it's marked as Exhibit 81. I
    10
    would, however, note that both Exhibit 80 and
    11
    81 contain markings in both a yellow
    12
    highlight and also asterisks in black pen
    13
    that were on the documents when I received
    14
    them.
    15
    MS. WILLIAMS: Okay. So, Dr. Tolson,
    16
    the risk in the three segments you studied
    17
    was significantly lower in the -- I believe
    18
    the Calumet. That was the lowest.
    19
    MR. ANDES: Which particular risk are
    20
    you referring to?
    21
    MS. WILLIAMS: I guess we can look at
    22
    Question 17. You conclude that the Calumet
    23
    Waterway was the lowest illness rate compared
    24
    to North Side and Stickney?
    0068
    1
    DR. TOLSON: Yes. I'm with you.
    2
    MS. WILLIAMS: And the question is
    3
    why, but I guess to refine it more is that
    4
    because there are fewer recreators primarily
    5
    or because the pathogen levels are lower.
    6
    DR. TOLSON: The number of recreators
    7
    is not important here. It's what kind of
    8
    recreational activity they were doing. If
    9
    they were doing recreational activities with
    10
    somebody who is in the category of high
    11
    exposure group, then they would ingest more
    12
    water; couple that with the fact that the
    13
    Calumet tended to have lower levels of
    14
    pathogens, including viruses which are mostly
    15
    responsible for the secondary illness, that's
    16
    why you get both low incidents of primary --
    17
    when I say primary, I mean the actual
    18
    recreators getting ill from the Calumet, and

    19
    you get lower incidents of secondary illness
    20
    from Calumet exposure.
    21
    MS. WILLIAMS: Did one of those
    22
    factors have more influence over the other,
    23
    the type of recreation versus the pathogen
    24
    level?
    0069
    1
    DR. TOLSON: Give me a second. I
    2
    might be able to give you an exact answer.
    3
    Yes. Actually, we did a quantitative
    4
    evaluation of that. The receptor type input
    5
    was responsible for 38 percent of the
    6
    variance in the distribution of the
    7
    exposures.
    8
    MR. ANDES: What table is that?
    9
    DR. TOLSON: This is Table 5-16 in
    10
    Exhibit 71. So here it kind of ranks the
    11
    sensitivity of the model to the various
    12
    inputs. You can see for Calumet we have .38
    13
    for receptor type, .05 for weather type, .02
    14
    for fishing ingestion rate, how that
    15
    distribution affects it. And you had asked
    16
    about what was it, duration.
    17
    MS. WILLIAMS: Pathogen levels. I
    18
    don't think that's on here.
    19
    DR. TOLSON: Well, pathogen levels are
    20
    not included within this sort of sensitivity
    21
    analysis because they were handled in a
    22
    bootstrapping scenario. So the pathogen
    23
    levels are what they are.
    24
    MS. WILLIAMS: Do you know why they're
    0070
    1
    lower in Calumet?
    2
    DR. TOLSON: Why pathogen levels are
    3
    lower?
    4
    MS. WILLIAMS: Yes.
    5
    DR. TOLSON: We base that on our
    6
    analytical data which is probably the most
    7
    robust pathogen analytical data --
    8
    MR. ANDES: So your answer is --
    9
    MS. WILLIAMS: Did you say the most
    10
    robust what?
    11
    DR. TOLSON: Pathogen recreation --
    12
    recreational water pathogen microbiological
    13
    survey that, you know, I can think of based
    14
    on that data.
    15
    MS. WILLIAMS: Robust in terms of the
    16
    number of samples or the variety of pathogen
    17
    sampled for?
    18
    DR. TOLSON: We have a number of
    19
    pathogens, we have a number of sampling
    20
    locations, we have wet and dry weather
    21
    events. All of those really signify that
    22
    this is a study that has taken into account a
    23
    number of the different factors that have
    24
    been missed in other surveys of pathogens.
    0071

    1
    MS. WILLIAMS: So other surveys have
    2
    fewer numbers of samples?
    3
    DR. TOLSON: There are some literature
    4
    citations out there of pathogens and
    5
    waterways that were single events. I think
    6
    if Fewtrell's study was pathogens on a single
    7
    day, so, yes.
    8
    MS. WILLIAMS: Okay. But going
    9
    back -- so Calumet had by far the lowest
    10
    percentage of canoers, right, in table 5-11
    11
    of the three samples?
    12
    DR. TOLSON: That is correct.
    13
    MS. WILLIAMS: So presumably if there
    14
    were more canoers in Calumet, their risk
    15
    would have been higher, correct?
    16
    DR. TOLSON: That is correct. In
    17
    fact, if you go to Table 5-12 and we were to
    18
    put everybody in a canoe on the Calumet, the
    19
    risk there is .52. So even including
    20
    everybody in the highest exposure group, you
    21
    can see that the risks are still fairly low
    22
    compared to either North Side or Stickney
    23
    which had higher pathogen levels. Mind you,
    24
    they're all much lower than the 8 per 1,000
    0072
    1
    that we have been talking about as kind of
    2
    our benchmark.
    3
    MS. WILLIAMS: So you're saying the
    4
    point -- wait. I didn't understand what you
    5
    meant by if we put everyone in a canoe.
    6
    DR. TOLSON: On Table 5-2 we've
    7
    stratified the risk. We've assumed that
    8
    every recreational event out of 1,000 there
    9
    was a canoeing event in the Calumet. The
    10
    risks for that would be .52 illnesses per
    11
    1,000 recreational users.
    12
    MS. WILLIAMS: So this table reflects
    13
    the difference in pathogen levels across.
    14
    Would this table be --
    15
    DR. TOLSON: Yes, it does.
    16
    MS. WILLIAMS: Okay. Thank you.
    17
    MR. ETTINGER: Just to be clear, you
    18
    have no idea why the pathogen levels varied
    19
    from one site to another?
    20
    DR. TOLSON: I do not.
    21
    DR. GERBA: Why it varies from one
    22
    sampling point to the other?
    23
    MR. ETTINGER: Yes. Do you have any
    24
    idea?
    0073
    1
    DR. GERBA: It would be speculation.
    2
    It's based on flow rates, how much water --
    3
    what the per capita water consumption is in
    4
    the various wastewater plants. Some plants
    5
    may have more industry that uses more water
    6
    than another, so that would affect the final
    7
    dilution in the pathogens that might be

    8
    present, efficiency of the plant. That's a
    9
    good one. Those are among a lot of other
    10
    factors.
    11
    MR. ETTINGER: Efficiency of what
    12
    plant?
    13
    DR. GERBA: How well the sewage
    14
    treatment processes are being operated by the
    15
    plant.
    16
    MR. ETTINGER: Do we think the
    17
    pathogens are coming from sewage treatment
    18
    plants?
    19
    DR. GERBA: Some of them could be,
    20
    yes. That's what the outfall data suggests.
    21
    MR. ANDES: If I can follow up on
    22
    that. And there is some reduction of
    23
    pathogen levels --
    24
    DR. GERBA: Just in sewage treatment
    0074
    1
    itself you get significant reductions of
    2
    pathogens than most of them in it. An
    3
    example, helmet worms (sic.) would be a
    4
    classic example. You'd probably remove
    5
    almost all of them in the sewage --
    6
    MR. ANDES: Can you repeat that and
    7
    speak up a little bit.
    8
    DR. GERBA: Helmet worms would be a
    9
    classic example of that. You probably remove
    10
    almost 100 percent of them in the sewage
    11
    treatment process. It varies with the
    12
    individual pathogens. Some you remove more
    13
    and some you remove less.
    14
    MR. ETTINGER: That's with secondary
    15
    treatment you would remove 100 percent of
    16
    that particular pathogen?
    17
    DR. GERBA: That particular one, yeah.
    18
    But it varies with other pathogens. Some you
    19
    might remove only 90 percent.
    20
    MR. ANDES: You're not talking about
    21
    with disinfection specifically? You're
    22
    talking about --
    23
    DR. GERBA: No. This is without
    24
    disinfection.
    0075
    1
    MR. ETTINGER: I understood that.
    2
    MR. ANDES: I want to make sure
    3
    everyone did.
    4
    MR. ETTINGER: Okay. And when we have
    5
    these high pathogen levels or higher pathogen
    6
    levels during wet weather events, that could
    7
    be or I guess -- well I'll ask you. Do you
    8
    think that is because we're then seeing raw
    9
    sewage going in from the CSOs?
    10
    DR. GERBA: That's what I presume
    11
    since there are CSOs present that discharge
    12
    into the waterway during the wet water
    13
    events, yeah.
    14
    MR. ANDES: Are there other sources as

    15
    well?
    16
    DR. GERBA: There could be other
    17
    sources, too. Animals could contribute,
    18
    birds can contribute, large numbers of
    19
    pathogens, for example, like kafla bacter
    20
    (ph.).
    21
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Mr. Harley,
    22
    follow-up?
    23
    MR. HARLEY: Keith Harley. I
    24
    apologize I had to be in and out today, and I
    0076
    1
    know that Mr. Andes will interrupt me if
    2
    you've already answered this question. I was
    3
    trying to understand some differences in
    4
    testimony between General Superintendent
    5
    Lanyon and what we heard yesterday on this
    6
    very point. General Superintendent Lanyon
    7
    indicated that he believed that there were
    8
    pathogen levels 10 to 200,000 colony forming
    9
    units at the point of discharge. Yesterday
    10
    you testified that that did not correspond
    11
    with the levels that you saw and you used, as
    12
    an example, the North Side plant. Am I
    13
    correct so far?
    14
    MS. PETROPOULOU: I think he was
    15
    referring to fecal coliform concentrations.
    16
    MR. HARLEY: My point is still this:
    17
    You testified that there were 42,000 and
    18
    56,000 colony forming units during dry
    19
    weather at the North Side plant; is that
    20
    correct?
    21
    MS. PETROPOULOU: I can verify that
    22
    for you. I think I was reading from the
    23
    report, right?
    24
    MR. HARLEY: You were reading from the
    0077
    1
    report.
    2
    MS. PETROPOULOU: And I think I was
    3
    reading fecal coliform concentrations, not
    4
    pathogens.
    5
    MR. HARLEY: Oh, okay. My question is
    6
    this: Were your subsequent risk assessments
    7
    based on a particular level of pathogens
    8
    being in effluent at the point of outflow?
    9
    MS. PETROPOULOU: Pathogens you said?
    10
    MR. HARLEY: Yes.
    11
    DR. TOLSON: I don't -- we discussed
    12
    in some -- we discussed quite a bit about how
    13
    we developed pathogen concentrations in the
    14
    waterway. The concentrations that
    15
    Mr. Lanyon -- Dr. Lanyon discussed were not
    16
    pathogenic fecal coliform. If you want to
    17
    characterize the range that he gave compared
    18
    to the range that we found in our study. Is
    19
    that the question?
    20
    MR. HARLEY: It's part of the
    21
    question, yes.

    22
    DR. TOLSON: Well, if I were to look
    23
    at people's heights, that would be my thing
    24
    that I'm looking at, and if I were to take a
    0078
    1
    sample by looking at this room and developing
    2
    a range for U.S. citizen heights, I would get
    3
    some numbers that would balance between
    4
    something. This is a representation of
    5
    potentially the U.S. population. But if I
    6
    were to go out and look at everybody in the
    7
    Thompson Center here, I'd probably find
    8
    people that were on the extreme. So what you
    9
    see is you see records from the district that
    10
    are 20 years, I don't know how long they've
    11
    been measuring there, but probably quite a
    12
    long time --
    13
    MR. ANDES: And I think -- if I can
    14
    stop you there. We could read back
    15
    Mr. Lanyon's statement, but I think it was a
    16
    general statement in terms of what's in
    17
    effluent. It wasn't specific to a facility.
    18
    MR. HARLEY: I guess my question then
    19
    is this: In the absence of a numeric permit
    20
    limit -- in the absence of a numeric permit
    21
    limit on either pathogens or indicators, what
    22
    is to prevent any plant from discharging an
    23
    amount of pathogens or indicators far in
    24
    excess of what's contained as your assumption
    0079
    1
    and your risk assessment?
    2
    MR. ANDES: That's a legal question.
    3
    I'll object. He's asking what's to
    4
    prevent -- in the absence of a numeric limit.
    5
    They're scientists. They're not lawyers.
    6
    MR. HARLEY: Would your risk
    7
    assessment change if the level of pathogens
    8
    from an unregulated search --
    9
    MR. ANDES: I'll object to the
    10
    characterization. They have a permit.
    11
    They're not unregulated.
    12
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Why don't
    13
    you try it this way -- or let me, Mr. Harley,
    14
    if I might.
    15
    MR. HARLEY: I think you know exactly
    16
    where I'm going.
    17
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Would your
    18
    assumptions change if there was a discharge
    19
    of pathogens in excess of what you've seen in
    20
    the sampling? Is that close enough?
    21
    MR. HARLEY: That's -- it's a
    22
    hypothetical.
    23
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: What if the
    24
    pathogens -- what if somebody discharged
    0080
    1
    double the amount of pathogens you saw in
    2
    your sample?
    3
    DR. TOLSON: Yes. Clearly that's the

    4
    case. If you change the numbers, you change
    5
    the risks. I mean our risks are based on our
    6
    measured pathogen concentrations in the
    7
    waterway which, as I stated before, is a very
    8
    robust sample. It has a number of samples
    9
    along the waterway, it includes dry and wet
    10
    weather. So, yes, if our representation of
    11
    the waterway is different than a different
    12
    representation, the outcome risk will change.
    13
    MR. HARLEY: To your knowledge, in the
    14
    absence of a numeric permit limit, could such
    15
    an elevated level of pathogens discharge
    16
    occur at one of these sewage treatment
    17
    plants?
    18
    MR. ANDES: Objection again. They're
    19
    not qualified to opine on what happens in the
    20
    absence of numeric permit limit.
    21
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: I'll sustain
    22
    that.
    23
    MR. HARLEY: Another question I have
    24
    is you mentioned disparity between very high
    0081
    1
    levels and low levels. Is it possible that
    2
    you could have an extreme event that is
    3
    outside the range of what you observed in
    4
    your risk assessment in terms of pathogen or
    5
    indicator loading from a sewage treatment
    6
    plant?
    7
    DR. TOLSON: We tried to capture that,
    8
    to some degree, qualitatively by actually
    9
    sampling the outfalls. While it's possible
    10
    that we could have a drinking water epidemic
    11
    within the city that may cause effluent
    12
    levels to change for some of the pathogens,
    13
    there are lots of things that are possible.
    14
    So yes.
    15
    MR. HARLEY: Thank you.
    16
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Go ahead.
    17
    MS. WILLIAMS: Well, let me ask, you
    18
    have said this a couple times about the
    19
    robust sampling, so let me go to Question 22.
    20
    On Page 7 you testified that the weather and
    21
    waterway sampling relied on a representative
    22
    of the entire recreational year. And my
    23
    question was how was the representativeness
    24
    of the data determined? And I guess what I'm
    0082
    1
    asking at this point, Mr. Tolson, is did you
    2
    rely on Miss Petropoulou for the
    3
    representedness of data? Did you make your
    4
    own conclusion about this data?
    5
    MR. ANDES: Can you address weather
    6
    and then waterway separately?
    7
    MS. WILLIAMS: That's fine.
    8
    DR. TOLSON: Tell me which question
    9
    you're on.
    10
    MR. ANDES: Twenty-two.

    11
    DR. TOLSON: So the weather as we
    12
    discussed yesterday is representative because
    13
    we actually used meteorological data from
    14
    that year. So are we good with that?
    15
    MS. WILLIAMS: Yes. Let's talk about
    16
    the pathogen sampling.
    17
    DR. TOLSON: The pathogen sampling, we
    18
    constructed a sampling program that would
    19
    capture both dry and wet weather events.
    20
    MS. WILLIAMS: And you were involved
    21
    in that as well?
    22
    DR. TOLSON: I was involved in the
    23
    discussions leading to that sampling event.
    24
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: I'm sorry.
    0083
    1
    That was the protocol we discussed with
    2
    Dr. --
    3
    MS. WILLIAMS: So you agree then that
    4
    just two years' worth of data is sufficient
    5
    to be representative?
    6
    MR. ANDES: Representative of what?
    7
    All recorded time?
    8
    MS. WILLIAMS: Of all years.
    9
    DR. TOLSON: I'm going to punt to
    10
    Dr. Gerba, because he probably has more
    11
    experience in looking at other waterway
    12
    sampling data.
    13
    DR. GERBA: Without the data, I can't
    14
    say that. I mean I don't know what the
    15
    pathogens were ten years ago or are going to
    16
    be ten -- in the future probably.
    17
    MR. ANDES: Let me follow up on that.
    18
    You looked at wet weather events and you
    19
    looked at dry weather events. And reasonably
    20
    is there anything else you should have looked
    21
    at?
    22
    DR. GERBA: Those would have the --
    23
    wet weather events would have the biggest
    24
    impact on water quality within the waterway.
    0084
    1
    MS. WILLIAMS: I think the question is
    2
    whether the wet weather data and the dry
    3
    weather data you looked at were
    4
    representative of all wet weather and dry
    5
    weather data?
    6
    DR. TOLSON: From a purely statistical
    7
    standpoint, it's a representative sample from
    8
    the 2006 waterway concentration. So, yes, it
    9
    is representative samples.
    10
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: If I may, I
    11
    think -- So when you state in your testimony,
    12
    Dr. Tolson, that it's representative of the
    13
    entire recreational year, you mean for the
    14
    years of the study?
    15
    DR. TOLSON: Correct. For the years
    16
    in the study and the weather types within the
    17
    study; the dry weather days, the wet weather

    18
    days.
    19
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: But not
    20
    necessarily for --
    21
    DR. TOLSON: I can't for the things
    22
    for which we have no data.
    23
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Not for the
    24
    entire 2000s. Just for those two years.
    0085
    1
    MS. WILLIAMS: We've -- I think we've
    2
    already established 2005 wasn't a typical
    3
    year, correct?
    4
    DR. TOLSON: It was a dry year,
    5
    correct.
    6
    MS. WILLIAMS: Would you say 2006 was
    7
    a typical year?
    8
    DR. TOLSON: I don't have the data to
    9
    characterize 2006. However, whether it was
    10
    atypical or not, I don't think it would have
    11
    made a big difference in our assessment
    12
    because we selectively went for wet weather
    13
    days whether it was a wet weather day that
    14
    happened as a one-time event in a year where
    15
    it didn't rain, or whether it had rained the
    16
    week before I don't think would make much of
    17
    a difference in our assessment.
    18
    MS. WILLIAMS: Did you, in making this
    19
    statement in your testimony that this
    20
    sampling is representative, did you consider
    21
    the actual methodology that was used to
    22
    collect the samples? Or I mean did you --
    23
    are you --
    24
    MR. ANDES: You mean the sampling
    0086
    1
    methodology?
    2
    MS. WILLIAMS: Yes. Are you speaking
    3
    to the sampling methodology as well?
    4
    DR. TOLSON: I'm not speaking to that.
    5
    The data is what the data is.
    6
    MR. ANDES: I may be able to clarify
    7
    it with a follow-up. To the extent that your
    8
    waterway sampling was focussed near the
    9
    sewage treatment plant, it would actually be
    10
    conservative in terms of the levels that you
    11
    would have seen; is that right?
    12
    DR. TOLSON: That is correct.
    13
    MS. WILLIAMS: But if it was closer,
    14
    it would have been higher, right? I mean I
    15
    don't understand why that --
    16
    MR. ANDES: They were -- As I
    17
    understand it, you focussed particularly on
    18
    areas close to the plants?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: Under dry water
    20
    conditions they were within 10 to 15 waterway
    21
    widths from the outfalls the Stickney, North
    22
    Side, and Calumet.
    23
    MS. WILLIAMS: And when you stick the
    24
    dry weather samples you sampled in three

    0087
    1
    locations in the stream and put them together
    2
    as a composite, correct?
    3
    MS. PETROPOULOU: No. We sampled
    4
    actually at one upstream location at two
    5
    depths, one meter and the surface. And then
    6
    one downstream location.
    7
    MS. WILLIAMS: So at your upstream and
    8
    downstream locations, you did not take
    9
    samples both at the each bank and in the
    10
    center?
    11
    MS. PETROPOULOU: What we did, we
    12
    actually composed it across the width of the
    13
    channel. With one on the left side, we
    14
    collected one-third of the volume, then both
    15
    moved to the center of the channel, they
    16
    collected a third of the volume there, and
    17
    then on the right side of the channel.
    18
    MS. WILLIAMS: Did you do the same
    19
    thing with the wet weather samples?
    20
    MS. PETROPOULOU: No. We didn't do
    21
    that during the wet weather sampling because
    22
    Dr. Gerba surveyed the waterway. And based
    23
    on his experience with sampling, he didn't
    24
    think that the channels were wide enough to
    0088
    1
    provide information.
    2
    MR. ANDES: You can have him
    3
    perhaps --
    4
    MS. WILLIAMS: Can you explain,
    5
    Dr. Gerba, why you recommended they sample
    6
    differently during wet weather than they did
    7
    during dry weather?
    8
    DR. GERBA: You mean the number of
    9
    samples? I'm not sure differently, what --
    10
    MS. WILLIAMS: The methodology --
    11
    MS. PETROPOULOU: The sampling that we
    12
    did during the dry weather that included the
    13
    sides of the channel. And then the center,
    14
    during wet weather, we did it in the center
    15
    of the channel.
    16
    DR. GERBA: Because there wasn't
    17
    really -- I think maybe you should answer
    18
    that. There wasn't any difference in data
    19
    statistically.
    20
    MS. PETROPOULOU: Well, we looked at
    21
    the difference -- yeah. We looked at the
    22
    difference at one meter and the surface.
    23
    During wet weather we went to the center of
    24
    the channel.
    0089
    1
    MS. WILLIAMS: Because?
    2
    MS. PETROPOULOU: Because the width of
    3
    the channel, it wasn't a very wide -- the
    4
    width of the channel, based on the
    5
    discussions with Dr. Gerba, was not wide
    6
    enough to -- worth the extra effort to

    7
    composite from the sides and the center. So
    8
    what we captured during wet weather, it was
    9
    what we measured in the center of the
    10
    channel.
    11
    MR. ANDES: Would that logically be
    12
    the maximum for a higher --
    13
    DR. GERBA: We have a high flow in
    14
    there, yeah. It's going to be flowing in
    15
    there rapidly.
    16
    MR. ANDES: In the middle in
    17
    particular?
    18
    DR. GERBA: That's right.
    19
    MS. WILLIAMS: Isn't it possible you'd
    20
    have more input of pathogens at the sides?
    21
    DR. GERBA: That's a small channel. I
    22
    mean relative mixing and flow rates and boat
    23
    traffic, the large barge traffic, that water
    24
    gets stirred up a lot. So --
    0090
    1
    MS. WILLIAMS: So you concluded it
    2
    was --
    3
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Let him
    4
    finish.
    5
    DR. GERBA: In the large inflow of
    6
    water in there. I have based also on the
    7
    data sampling, you know, at different depths
    8
    in the channel it seems to be fairly well
    9
    mixed of what we can see, at least relative
    10
    to pathogen levels.
    11
    MS. WILLIAMS: So you extrapolated the
    12
    degree of mixing from dry weather to conclude
    13
    that in wet weather it would be well mixed as
    14
    well?
    15
    DR. GERBA: It would probably be more
    16
    mixed because there is so much flow of water
    17
    in there. Water is flowing in there, there's
    18
    mixing taking place all the time.
    19
    MS. WILLIAMS: Does that conclusion
    20
    reflect temperature differences when you have
    21
    an influx of wet weather flow?
    22
    DR. GERBA: I don't believe this
    23
    channel is stratified, to my knowledge.
    24
    MS. WILLIAMS: In wet weather do we
    0091
    1
    know? I mean we don't know, do we? How do
    2
    we know?
    3
    MR. ANDES: Do you have any basis for
    4
    believing that?
    5
    MS. WILLIAMS: I'm trying to
    6
    understand his basis for believing it's not.
    7
    And it sounds like it's -- there isn't one.
    8
    DR. GERBA: I don't believe, based on
    9
    my experience in the last 30 years of doing
    10
    field work on sampling, it should be any
    11
    different. And the data in the dry weather
    12
    events seemed to certainly confirm that, and
    13
    previous studies I've done on different

    14
    locations and depths of small channels
    15
    doesn't seem to be a big difference.
    16
    CHAIRMAN GIRARD: Could I ask just a
    17
    clarifying question or summarizing it then?
    18
    So do you believe that in the wet
    19
    weather, based on measurements and other
    20
    information the District might have, there's
    21
    a higher flow rate in those streams?
    22
    DR. GERBA: Well, if there's more
    23
    water input, I would expect that during the
    24
    wet weather event I would think that would
    0092
    1
    increase the flow rate in those channels.
    2
    CHAIRMAN GIRARD: How does the flow
    3
    rate then impact mixing?
    4
    DR. GERBA: There might be more
    5
    mixing. There's probably being sediment
    6
    material thrown in there, water is being
    7
    dumped on the top of the -- or on the bottom,
    8
    and so there's going to be a lot of mixing.
    9
    And also the boat traffic that goes there
    10
    creates mixing events, too.
    11
    CHAIRMAN GIRARD: So basically you
    12
    assumed faster flow rate, more mixing, so you
    13
    only needed one sample point. Is that --
    14
    DR. GERBA: Well, based on the
    15
    previous data and my experience, too. I
    16
    didn't necessarily say that you might have
    17
    different levels of pathogens and different
    18
    levels -- but I thought that was
    19
    representative of the risk, let me put it
    20
    that way. I don't think you can have 1,000
    21
    times difference in pathogen loading at one
    22
    location versus another. Certainly in the
    23
    dry weather event there wasn't much
    24
    difference between the top water and one
    0093
    1
    meter depth. You would expect less mixing in
    2
    those dry weather conditions. We didn't
    3
    really see a difference on that. So I didn't
    4
    really actually expect there to be a
    5
    difference. I was one of the people who
    6
    questioned whether we should be sampling at
    7
    one meter depths, because I didn't think
    8
    there would be as much difference. And it
    9
    turned out there wasn't.
    10
    MR. ANDES: There was not?
    11
    DR. GERBA: Was not, no.
    12
    MS. WILLIAMS: I think you've
    13
    answered -- Do you have anything else?
    14
    CHAIRMAN GIRARD: That's it. Thank
    15
    you.
    16
    MS. WILLIAMS: I think you've answered
    17
    it pretty well. There's just one piece that
    18
    I'd like to make sure I understand. By
    19
    choosing to sample only in the center and
    20
    also sampling quite a bit downstream from the

    21
    actual com stations themselves -- I mean I
    22
    understand you sampled as close as you
    23
    thought you could, but they were certainly
    24
    not right there. There was a distance.
    0094
    1
    MS. PETROPOULOU: It wasn't where I
    2
    thought we could. It's, as mentioned, it was
    3
    the captain of the boat that decided that --
    4
    MS. WILLIAMS: Okay. What I guess I'm
    5
    getting at is are you -- Were you concerned
    6
    at all that by not also taking some volume
    7
    from the banks that there was input from
    8
    gravity CSOs that we missed by going just
    9
    into the center that would have been captured
    10
    by taking a composite sample from the banks
    11
    and the center? Do you understand?
    12
    MS. PETROPOULOU: Yes. I don't have
    13
    any reason to believe that we overestimated
    14
    or underestimated the concentrations of
    15
    pathogens. What you are implying is that
    16
    during wet weather the concentrations at the
    17
    sides could be even higher than what we
    18
    measured in the center of the channel. I
    19
    mean --
    20
    MS. WILLIAMS: It's possible, right?
    21
    MS. PETROPOULOU: I have no reason to
    22
    believe one way or the other.
    23
    MS. WILLIAMS: Thank you. I think
    24
    that's --
    0095
    1
    DR. TOLSON: Let me add one thing to
    2
    that. If that were the case, then our risk
    3
    estimates would be biased high. So if we
    4
    find a -- I'm sorry -- risk estimates in
    5
    terms of the effect of disinfection on
    6
    decreasing risk to recreators would be biased
    7
    high.
    8
    MS. WILLIAMS: But the actual risk to
    9
    recreators in wet weather would be low,
    10
    correct?
    11
    MR. ANDES: I think what he's trying
    12
    to say is if he didn't capture enough of the
    13
    wet weather --
    14
    MS. WILLIAM: I understand what he's
    15
    trying to say. So I'm asking the risk to wet
    16
    weather recreators, though, would be higher
    17
    if that were the case, right?
    18
    DR. TOLSON: That would be correct.
    19
    MS. WILLIAMS: I'm almost done, I
    20
    think.
    21
    MR. ANDES: I have a follow-up. And
    22
    the risk to dry water recreators would be
    23
    lower?
    24
    DR. TOLSON: It would be unchanged,
    0096
    1
    but relatively it would be lower, yeah.
    2
    MS. WILLIAMS: I'm going to ask

    3
    Question 11. I know we sort of touched on
    4
    this yesterday, but I'd like to try again.
    5
    On Page 6, Paragraph 4 of your
    6
    testimony it states, quote, "Disinfection
    7
    results in effluent pathogen risk decreasing
    8
    from a low level to essentially zero from the
    9
    water reclamation plants but has little
    10
    impact in waterway pathogen concentrations
    11
    affected by current or past wet weather
    12
    conditions."
    13
    And my question is as TARP is
    14
    contemplated and CSO events happen
    15
    infrequently, will disinfection have more of
    16
    an impact on the waterway pathogen
    17
    concentration?
    18
    MR. ANDES: I think we've already
    19
    objected to other questions about TARP.
    20
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Actually,
    21
    they asked and answered this yesterday.
    22
    They're not familiar with TARP, so they
    23
    couldn't answer the questions.
    24
    MS. WILLIAMS: Okay. Can I try to
    0097
    1
    rephrase it?
    2
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Sure.
    3
    MS. WILLIAMS: I believe Mr. Lanyon
    4
    testified that TARP was expected or hoped to
    5
    reduce CSO events to one to two per year.
    6
    MR. ANDES: I don't think that's -- he
    7
    mentioned one to two, but I don't think your
    8
    characterization is complete.
    9
    MS. WILLIAMS: Can you correct it for
    10
    me? That would be fine. Would you like to
    11
    characterize --
    12
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: I think his
    13
    comment was in his highest hopes it would be
    14
    one to two.
    15
    MS. WILLIAMS: No. Highest hope was
    16
    relation to my once in every five years. I
    17
    thought he expected --
    18
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Let's
    19
    just -- How about we do it this way. Why
    20
    don't you say what if they were reduced to
    21
    four years.
    22
    MS. WILLIAMS: Four? That sounds
    23
    good. What if the CSO events are reduced
    24
    from, I think 43 is what we have now, to
    0098
    1
    four. How would that --
    2
    MR. ANDES: How would that do what?
    3
    MS. WILLIAMS: Will disinfection have
    4
    more of an impact on the waterway pathogen
    5
    concentrations?
    6
    DR. TOLSON: The effect of dry weather
    7
    in disinfection and overall risk of the
    8
    waterway are low under dry weather
    9
    conditions. It's below the 8 per 1,000, and

    10
    it would stay there. It's very difficult to
    11
    try to interpret what the overall effects of
    12
    CSOs and of other potential inputs that might
    13
    be affected by the completion of the TARP
    14
    would be. So I really can't speculate on
    15
    that.
    16
    MS. WILLIAMS: Let's move on to
    17
    No. 18. You state on Page 5 of your
    18
    testimony, quote, "It is important to note
    19
    that the U.S. EPA has not developed any
    20
    secondary contact water quality criteria.
    21
    However, the U.S. EPA has proposed a range of
    22
    primary contact acceptable risk thresholds,
    23
    and currently has primary contact water
    24
    quality criteria protective of emersion
    0099
    1
    activities, that is based on an acceptable
    2
    risk threshold of 8 illnesses per 1,000
    3
    swimmers."
    4
    Do you agree that this 8 in 1,000
    5
    risk levels expressed is a water quality
    6
    criteria E. Coli value of 126 CFU per 100
    7
    milliliters?
    8
    MR. ANDES: I'm sorry. Does he agree
    9
    with what?
    10
    MS. WILLIAMS: Does he agree that that
    11
    8 in 1,000 risk level is expressed as a water
    12
    quality criteria E. Coli value of 126 CFU per
    13
    100 milliliters in the criteria document?
    14
    DR. TOLSON: I didn't participate in
    15
    that formulation of that, so I'm --
    16
    MS. WILLIAMS: So you don't know? Why
    17
    don't you take a look at --
    18
    MR. ANDES: That's, in part, a legal
    19
    question in terms of whether it's a water
    20
    quality criterion.
    21
    MS. WILLIAMS: It's a legal question
    22
    to ask a technical expert what the number is
    23
    in a U.S. EPA criteria document? Is that
    24
    what you're saying?
    0100
    1
    MR. ANDES: You didn't refer
    2
    specifically to the EPA document. You're
    3
    asking about whether it's a water quality
    4
    criteria, which is a legal term.
    5
    MS. WILLIAMS: Let's just take a look
    6
    at Table 5-10. Maybe this will -- from
    7
    Exhibit 71. I'm sorry. This is what I'm
    8
    referring to when I'm asking. So I'm just
    9
    asking if this number here where your table
    10
    says 8, and then next to it under E. Coli, 8,
    11
    and then 126.
    12
    DR. TOLSON: We pulled this out of the
    13
    EPA guidance. And I believe it is what it --
    14
    it is represented correctly from there, I
    15
    believe.
    16
    MS. WILLIAMS: Can you tell us what

    17
    would be a corresponding ambient standard
    18
    that would be protective of incidental
    19
    recreational uses that occur in the CAWS as
    20
    to 8 illnesses per 1,000 swimmers risk level?
    21
    MR. ANDES: Let me first clarify
    22
    something, because it's very clear in the
    23
    testimony, that the EPA 8 illnesses per 1,000
    24
    is not for incidental or noncontact
    0101
    1
    recreational uses; it's rather a primary
    2
    contact number. EPA hasn't developed a
    3
    secondary contact number. And you're talking
    4
    about swimmers in that statement. So I think
    5
    you're mixing apples and oranges. And you're
    6
    asking him about, again, an ambient standard.
    7
    MS. WILLIAMS: Is that an objection or
    8
    a clarification?
    9
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Let him
    10
    finish, please, Miss Williams. Go ahead,
    11
    Mr. Andes.
    12
    MR. ANDES: I think you're also asking
    13
    him something that's a legal issue and is
    14
    well beyond the scope of their testimony.
    15
    MS. WILLIAMS: I don't think it's
    16
    legal. That's for sure. If he doesn't know
    17
    the answer, that's a different question.
    18
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: I was going
    19
    to say if -- Since he's already stated he's
    20
    not familiar with 126 CFU per 100 milliliter,
    21
    if he's unable to answer the next question, I
    22
    disagree that it's a legal question also.
    23
    MS. WILLIAMS: What I would like to
    24
    know, Dr. Tolson, is this: You are telling
    0102
    1
    us that the risk of recreating this these
    2
    waters is well below the risk level that U.S.
    3
    EPA utilizes to develop criteria. I would
    4
    like to know if we were going to protect
    5
    recreators in these waters at that risk
    6
    level, what ambient criteria would we have to
    7
    establish?
    8
    DR. TOLSON: Using an indicator
    9
    organism, I don't think we have any data here
    10
    to support an indicator organism as being
    11
    very related to pathogen and risk. I mean
    12
    that's the whole --
    13
    MS. WILLIAMS: Okay. So is it the
    14
    testimony in this panel that at this current
    15
    time there's no good science to use to
    16
    establish an ambient standard for protection
    17
    of the recreation that's occurring in the
    18
    CAWS?
    19
    DR. GERBA: Well, it was based on
    20
    epidemiological studies that were done by the
    21
    U.S. Environmental Protection Agency to come
    22
    up with those levels. And they had -- and
    23
    that's the basis of -- the scientific basis

    24
    for those primary contact recreational water
    0103
    1
    standards.
    2
    DR. TOLSON: So in that respect it
    3
    doesn't -- it wasn't produced in quantitative
    4
    microbial risk assessment.
    5
    MS. WILLIAMS: What wasn't? You mean
    6
    U.S. EPA criteria was not?
    7
    DR. GERBA: None of those studies, to
    8
    my knowledge, or most of them did they look
    9
    at pathogens. They only looked at
    10
    gastroenteritis illness related to full body
    11
    contact swimming.
    12
    MS. WILLIAMS: You understand, I'm not
    13
    trying to be combative. I really wanted to
    14
    know. I mean we are -- this is a state
    15
    regulator. We're here to try to figure
    16
    out --
    17
    MR. ANDES: And I guess to be helpful,
    18
    I would say that we definitely have other
    19
    witnesses who will help fill in the details
    20
    in terms of how we think that such water
    21
    quality standard could be developed and will
    22
    provide some recommendations in terms of the
    23
    path forward that will include Dr. Dorovich,
    24
    that will include Dr. Grenado, and others.
    0104
    1
    MS. WILLIAMS: But they're not talking
    2
    about the risk levels, or are they?
    3
    MR. ANDES: They'll be talking
    4
    about -- actually, Dr. Dorovich will be
    5
    talking about risk levels, and Dr. Grenado
    6
    will be talking about relations as to what
    7
    the regulations should be.
    8
    MR. ETTINGER: Just to be clear,
    9
    though, looking at 5-10, you've already said
    10
    you don't like any of these indicators. So
    11
    you don't really agree with the EPA E. Coli
    12
    and enterococci numbers anyway?
    13
    DR. GERBA: I didn't say I didn't like
    14
    them. I said that's what's used right now.
    15
    I said in the future, I think, my
    16
    professional opinion is that some pathogen
    17
    like adenoviruses might be included in there,
    18
    but the standards are what they are.
    19
    MR. ETTINGER: Well, I'm not asking
    20
    you a legal question. I'm just saying as a
    21
    scientist, you don't think these numbers are
    22
    correct. You think EPA's numbers here are --
    23
    that their correlators are not useful?
    24
    DR. GERBA: I think their data is
    0105
    1
    correct. I think they did epidemiological
    2
    studies on it. I'm not questioning their
    3
    data or their -- I'm just saying in the
    4
    future, additional parameters may be added,
    5
    though, to assess the water quality in the

    6
    future. That's all I'm saying.
    7
    MR. ANDES: If I can clarify.
    8
    DR. GERBA: That's my opinion.
    9
    MR. ETTINGER: If you want to clarify
    10
    it, please do. Because I thought we went
    11
    over this somewhat. And I took away from
    12
    that that you didn't think that there was any
    13
    particular relation between pathogens and
    14
    E. Coli or pathogens and enterococci, and now
    15
    I'm hearing something else.
    16
    MR. ANDES: I think the first issue is
    17
    is that the EPA numbers that have been
    18
    discussed are with reference to primary
    19
    contact.
    20
    DR. GERBA: Right. That's correct.
    21
    MR. ANDES: Okay. In terms of the
    22
    questions that have been asked of you
    23
    regarding secondary contact regarding the
    24
    types of recreation that are being proposed
    0106
    1
    here, the first question is do you see a
    2
    clear link between any of these indicators
    3
    and actual pathogen levels that would cause
    4
    illness?
    5
    DR. GERBA: No. Because there's --
    6
    can't find a relationship between the
    7
    indicators and the pathogen levels in the
    8
    water.
    9
    MR. ETTINGER: That was my point. As
    10
    far as you're concerned, these numbers aren't
    11
    even good for swimming.
    12
    DR. GERBA: I didn't say that.
    13
    MR. ANDES: He's speaking particularly
    14
    about secondary contact uses with regard to
    15
    the study at issue here.
    16
    MR. ETTINGER: Why would the
    17
    correlation or lack of correlation between
    18
    enterococci and pathogens differ whether you
    19
    were considering it for secondary use or
    20
    primary use? I mean the bugs are there or
    21
    they aren't. So I guess I'm just not
    22
    following.
    23
    DR. GERBA: It's related to the degree
    24
    of exposure. Exposure is a lot less than a
    0107
    1
    secondary contact.
    2
    MR. ANDES: I don't think, Albert, I
    3
    don't think that this group is here to defend
    4
    EPA science behind their criteria.
    5
    MR. ETTINGER: I'm not asking them to
    6
    defend it. I'm asking them to say whether
    7
    they agree with it or not as scientists.
    8
    MR. ANDES: But are you talking about
    9
    the levels or are you talking about the
    10
    specific parameters? I think there are two
    11
    different issues.
    12
    MR. ETTINGER: If I had a higher

    13
    number of E. coli, would you say that I have
    14
    a higher level of pathogens or not?
    15
    DR. GERBA: No, not necessarily.
    16
    MR. ETTINGER: And if I have a higher
    17
    level of enterococci, do I have a higher
    18
    level of pathogens or not?
    19
    DR. GERBA: No, not necessarily.
    20
    MR. ETTINGER: So you would conclude,
    21
    I would think, that this chart, which assumes
    22
    there is some relationship between these
    23
    indicators and pathogens in the water, is
    24
    misguided.
    0108
    1
    DR. GERBA: That does not assume that.
    2
    What that -- that standard is based on
    3
    epidemiological data related to
    4
    gastroenteritis among the swimmers, not the
    5
    pathogen levels.
    6
    MS. WILLIAMS: Can I ask -- I don't
    7
    want to interrupt, but I just -- you left out
    8
    fecal. Can I just ask the same -- if you
    9
    have a higher level of fecal coliform in the
    10
    water, do you have a higher level of
    11
    pathogens, just to complete the --
    12
    DR. GERBA: Not necessarily.
    13
    MS. WILLIAMS: Sorry, Albert.
    14
    MR. ETTINGER: Let's go back, just
    15
    talk about swimmers here. Pathogens are
    16
    making the swimmers sick, right?
    17
    DR. GERBA: We don't know that for a
    18
    fact. It could be nonpathogens that make the
    19
    swimmers sick because they didn't do any
    20
    follow-up on whether it was illness. It
    21
    could be they ate too many hot dogs on the
    22
    beaches, it could be on some of the beaches
    23
    and that; or it could be the air was
    24
    different. Perhaps there are allergens or
    0109
    1
    other substances people might inhale and
    2
    react to on the beach. It's been brought up
    3
    before that it could be made toxins from blue
    4
    green algae aerosolized and inhaled. Because
    5
    in this type of research they did not
    6
    actually identify the agents causing
    7
    gastrointestinal illness. So all of it may
    8
    not be due to pathogens. The assumption here
    9
    is that it is due to pathogens. What's
    10
    regulated here is the probability -- the
    11
    probability based on that 126. If you get
    12
    gastroenteritis, it's not necessarily by
    13
    swimming in these waters, not necessarily
    14
    related to a pathogen; regulating swimming
    15
    and diarrhea.
    16
    MR. ANDES: Let me take another shot.
    17
    MR. ETTINGER: Let me just -- It's my
    18
    turn. There is some sort of statistically
    19
    significant relationship between enterococci

    20
    and how many swimmers get sick. Is that true
    21
    or false?
    22
    DR. GERBA: In terms of
    23
    gastroenteritis, yes.
    24
    MR. ETTINGER: There is, okay. Unless
    0110
    1
    the -- maybe I'm confused. But unless there
    2
    is some relationship between enterococci and
    3
    the number -- in the water and the number of
    4
    hot dogs they ate on the beach, that's
    5
    probably not a factor that's driving that.
    6
    DR. GERBA: I wouldn't presume so.
    7
    But, again, they did not identify that a
    8
    pathogen actually caused that illness or
    9
    which pathogen did, so that's still an
    10
    unknown.
    11
    MR. ETTINGER: So your objection is
    12
    really that this is a black box model. You
    13
    go from enterococci to illnesses and you're
    14
    not tracing the causation.
    15
    DR. GERBA: Right. At least in my
    16
    professional opinion in the future people
    17
    need to do studies on characterizing what
    18
    caused the illness and what pathogens were in
    19
    the water that bathers were exposed to.
    20
    MR. ANDES: I believe, correct me if
    21
    I'm wrong, but I believe the reasons these
    22
    numbers were used in this study simply as a
    23
    point of reference that was available, a
    24
    conservative point of reference, the lowest
    0111
    1
    risk threshold identified by the EPA to be
    2
    used as sort of a screening level to identify
    3
    where risks were low. Am I correct?
    4
    DR. GERBA: That's right.
    5
    DR. TOLSON: That's correct.
    6
    MR. ANDES: So there was nothing
    7
    intended in terms of the report indicating
    8
    the technical validity of those numbers,
    9
    particularly with reference to secondary
    10
    contact.
    11
    DR. GERBA: That's correct.
    12
    MR. ANDES: Thank you.
    13
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: All right.
    14
    This is probably a good point to take a
    15
    break. It is my intention to stay this
    16
    evening until we finish with this panel so
    17
    that they don't have to come back in
    18
    September. So you may want to get a snack
    19
    depending upon how many questions we have.
    20
    (Short break taken.)
    21
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: We can go
    22
    ahead. And, Miss Williams, you wanted to
    23
    make a motion on the record?
    24
    MS. WILLIAMS: I wanted to briefly
    0112
    1
    make a motion on the record to request an

    2
    additional two-week extension to submit
    3
    prefiled questions for the Midwest Generation
    4
    witnesses, and I have spoken to Midwest
    5
    Generation. They're agreeable to that.
    6
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD:
    7
    Mr. Ettinger, you wanted to join in that? I
    8
    would be inclined to grant that and give that
    9
    to everyone. So just so you all know, I will
    10
    do that in a hearing officer order. When I
    11
    do the separate hearing order for the
    12
    remaining five hearings we have scheduled;
    13
    for now, the five hearings.
    14
    And with that, Miss Williams,
    15
    you had one more question, I think you said,
    16
    one or two?
    17
    MS. WILLIAMS: So when we left off we
    18
    were talking about the different indicators
    19
    and whether they are correlated to pathogens.
    20
    So, Mr. Gerba, can you tell us whether
    21
    pathogen concentrations are correlated to
    22
    risk of illness?
    23
    DR. GERBA: That's what the dose
    24
    response curve say that they generated in
    0113
    1
    human beings.
    2
    MS. WILLIAMS: Is that what you used
    3
    to develop your risk assessment?
    4
    DR. GERBA: That's part of the
    5
    process, but I didn't do the risk assessment.
    6
    MS. WILLIAMS: Okay. Is that what you
    7
    used, Mr. Tolson, to develop the risk
    8
    assessment?
    9
    DR. TOLSON: That is correct. We
    10
    used established dose response curves for
    11
    pathogens under this study.
    12
    MS. WILLIAMS: You were --
    13
    DR. TOLSON: Want me to repeat that?
    14
    MS. WILLIAMS: It was kind of hard to
    15
    hear.
    16
    DR. TOLSON: We used established dose
    17
    response parameters for the pathogens under
    18
    investigation in the study. Mostly people
    19
    tell me not to talk so loud.
    20
    MS. WILLIAMS: And you, in your
    21
    testimony, say that you're a risk assessment
    22
    specialist. Does that sound right?
    23
    DR. TOLSON: That is correct. That's
    24
    one of the major components of my practice.
    0114
    1
    MS. WILLIAMS: Do you agree that an 8
    2
    in 1,000 risk of illness is a good target for
    3
    recreational activity?
    4
    DR. TOLSON: I really can't evaluate
    5
    how or why EPA selected that. I just took
    6
    the EPA promulgated established number of
    7
    eight and used that to sort of characterize
    8
    our risk within our report.

    9
    MS. WILLIAMS: If they change the risk
    10
    assessment level they relied on, would you
    11
    have an opinion on that?
    12
    MR. ANDES: Up or down?
    13
    MS. WILLIAMS: Either.
    14
    DR. TOLSON: We could characterize it
    15
    compared to that new number.
    16
    MS. WILLIAMS: If they changed it to
    17
    one illness per 1,000 recreators, would you
    18
    have an opinion on that?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: If we use that as our
    20
    benchmark, then we would compare our numbers
    21
    to that number. Yeah, sure. It's just a
    22
    benchmark number out there.
    23
    MS. WILLIAMS: I think that's all I
    24
    have.
    0115
    1
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Thank you,
    2
    Miss Williams. Before we continue, I would
    3
    note that these are prefiled questions that
    4
    are mainly for Dr. Tolson.
    5
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: That is correct.
    6
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: As we
    7
    discussed off the record, Dr. Gerba has a
    8
    flight and must leave no later than 5:30. So
    9
    basically what I'm trying to get at is there
    10
    shouldn't be a problem with him going ahead
    11
    if we're not through, do you think?
    12
    MR. ANDES: Depends on, I guess, some
    13
    of those questions are being answered by the
    14
    panel.
    15
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Let's start
    16
    and we'll see where we're at.
    17
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: I have no problem
    18
    with that. Because my questions are
    19
    predominantly --
    20
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Okay.
    21
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: My name is Stacy
    22
    Meyers, and I'm with Openlands.
    23
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Keep your
    24
    voice up, please.
    0116
    1
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Dr. Tolson, we were
    2
    discussing different literature that you
    3
    combined with UAA survey data on existing
    4
    recreational uses. You named two of them,
    5
    one being Flat Water Classic and then the
    6
    other reference to some rental facility. And
    7
    in Question No. 1, I was wondering if you
    8
    could please cite to the literature that you
    9
    combined with the UAA survey including those
    10
    and in addition to those in formulating your
    11
    parameters for recreational uses.
    12
    DR. TOLSON: The UAA was the principal
    13
    study for which all the analytical or
    14
    quantitative evaluation was performed. It
    15
    was ground truthed with some other data that

    16
    we pulled in including the data that you
    17
    cited there.
    18
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: What is that other
    19
    data?
    20
    DR. TOLSON: That would be Flat Water
    21
    Classic, boat rental receipts that IEPA were
    22
    able to provide us to show that, you know,
    23
    these are all the activities that were
    24
    ongoing within the waterway.
    0117
    1
    MS. WILLIAMS: Did that UAA data hold
    2
    up to this ground truthing?
    3
    DR. TOLSON: Yes, it did. We had
    4
    information that said that there was
    5
    additional canoeists, and we've had data that
    6
    said there were additional boating. And the
    7
    UAA data said that there was canoeing and
    8
    boating going on. It seemed consistent with
    9
    that.
    10
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: What boat rental
    11
    facility was that?
    12
    DR. TOLSON: I do not recall the boat
    13
    rental facility, but we actually received
    14
    that information from someone at IEPA, and I
    15
    believe we cited that as a communication or
    16
    something to that sent in the report.
    17
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Is there any way I
    18
    can find that out, the name?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: I'll find it out in a
    20
    second.
    21
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Excuse me.
    22
    Off the record for just a second.
    23
    (Off the record.)
    24
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Back on the
    0118
    1
    record.
    2
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: I don't need it now.
    3
    If you could just provide us with the name,
    4
    that would be great, just to for expediency
    5
    just to keep going.
    6
    MS. WILLIAMS: I think -- I mean do we
    7
    think it was Rob Sulski? Is that it?
    8
    DR. TOLSON: I believe.
    9
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Can you just -- as
    10
    long as I get the information that --
    11
    MR. SULSKI: It's one of the exhibits.
    12
    It's the additional data beyond the UAA,
    13
    Additional and Extra Recreational Data,
    14
    Sulski IEPA, something like that.
    15
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: And it's
    16
    attached to the?
    17
    MR. SULSKI: It's attached to --
    18
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: To Exhibit
    19
    71?
    20
    MR. SULSKI: No. It's an earlier
    21
    exhibit that is besides the UAA report. And
    22
    it was a compilation of e-mails and

    23
    correspondence between various users, and it
    24
    was a compilation of additional data.
    0119
    1
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Is that the IEPA
    2
    Attachment No. K, Recreational Data --
    3
    MR. SULSKI: That is it.
    4
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Attachment K
    5
    to the proposal.
    6
    DR. TOLSON: I don't know if that's
    7
    exactly the one or not, but I'll get the
    8
    information on the data that I was referring
    9
    to. I suspect that we're talking about the
    10
    same thing, but you may have a larger data
    11
    set than that was supplied to me. So I just
    12
    want to make that clear that I don't know
    13
    exactly that that's the right one, but I
    14
    think is.
    15
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Thank you. Question
    16
    No. 2, on Pages 2 and 3 of your testimony you
    17
    state that, quote, "We assume that incidental
    18
    ingestion by an individualist canoeing on the
    19
    waterway will vary over a range and
    20
    calculations that are performed account for
    21
    all users even those that might capsize."
    22
    Did you determine what risks were
    23
    specifically attributable to the percentage
    24
    of the people who capsized when canoeing or
    0120
    1
    kayaking on the CAWS?
    2
    DR. TOLSON: I believe we covered
    3
    this, but we developed an ingestion range
    4
    that included the potential for high exposure
    5
    and low exposure. But we did not develop
    6
    specific risk estimates for a capsizing
    7
    canoeist within the waterway.
    8
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Thank you. No. 3
    9
    was partially answered. I know that you gave
    10
    a breakdown yesterday of what stretches of
    11
    the CAWS were included in each of the three
    12
    segments in your study. Do all the waterways
    13
    in each segment have identical
    14
    characteristics?
    15
    DR. TOLSON: I would say that there's
    16
    differences that are either continuous
    17
    difference along every foot of the CAWS way,
    18
    yeah. There are some differences, physical
    19
    or otherwise.
    20
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: And I believe it was
    21
    your testimony as well that there were
    22
    certain waterways that were combined into
    23
    segments closer to outfalls?
    24
    DR. TOLSON: There are some areas that
    0121
    1
    are closer than others, sure.
    2
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Did you average in
    3
    waterways that are not proposed for
    4
    incidental contact recreational use when

    5
    calculating risk for canoeing?
    6
    DR. TOLSON: No. To my knowledge all
    7
    of the data that was collected as far as
    8
    analytical data of pathogens within the
    9
    waterway and all the exposure data that we
    10
    developed from the UAA was all within the
    11
    waterway segments that we identified
    12
    yesterday.
    13
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: So you only assessed
    14
    incidental contact waterways?
    15
    MR. ANDES: Want to specify which
    16
    waterways you're talking about?
    17
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Well, what I'm
    18
    asking is that did you break down all of the
    19
    CAWS into three segments in the study, all
    20
    the CAWS being all of the stretches of the
    21
    Chicago area waterways at issue in this
    22
    study?
    23
    MR. ANDES: Specifically you're asking
    24
    whether he would include the few areas that
    0122
    1
    were not proposed for incidental contact
    2
    recreational use?
    3
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: I'm saying did you
    4
    include everything from the Wilmette pumping
    5
    station on the North Shore Channel all the
    6
    way down the Chicago Sanitary Ship Canal down
    7
    to the Brandon Street Lock and Dam as well as
    8
    the Cal-Sag Channel all the way out to the
    9
    Calumet River extending out to the Lake
    10
    Michigan? Did you include all of those
    11
    waterways that are considered to be the CAWS
    12
    total in the UAA?
    13
    DR. TOLSON: I don't think so. So we
    14
    did not include the Grand Calumet, which I
    15
    think would be included within what you're
    16
    looking at there. We just included the
    17
    little Calumet. There may have been some
    18
    other branches in there that we did not
    19
    include, but we based our use information and
    20
    our sampling points, as we've shown, within
    21
    the waterways that we're representing the
    22
    risks that are presented in Exhibit 71. If
    23
    there's a specific segment that you have
    24
    there which is noncontact that you'd like me
    0123
    1
    to address, just say it and I'll let you
    2
    know.
    3
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Sorry. I was just
    4
    looking at exactly where this starts and
    5
    where this ends. Did you include the Chicago
    6
    Sanitary and Ship Canal from the confluence
    7
    of the Calumet Sag channel down to the
    8
    Brandon Street Lock and Dam?
    9
    DR. TOLSON: We do not have any
    10
    analytical data, any microbiological data
    11
    from the confluence south. So, no, it does

    12
    not represent that. My speculation is that
    13
    the pathogen loads are actually lower there
    14
    than they are in other places just because
    15
    they're further away from the city CSO
    16
    outfalls, pumping stations, other things.
    17
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: So it wasn't
    18
    included in your study?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: No.
    20
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: On Page 8 of the
    21
    executive summary in the microbial risk
    22
    assessment study -- this is Question 4. The
    23
    Geosyntec consultants performed for the
    24
    district, it states that the Chicago area
    0124
    1
    waterways are used for recreational boating,
    2
    canoeing, fishing, and other streamside
    3
    activities. Can you tell us what other
    4
    streamside recreational activities occur in
    5
    the CAWS? What does that mean?
    6
    DR. TOLSON: Which question are you
    7
    reading here?
    8
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Question 4
    9
    on Page 2.
    10
    DR. TOLSON: So the other streamside
    11
    activities, there were identifications within
    12
    the UAA of passive recreation and other
    13
    things, I imagine, that those would be other
    14
    streamside activities; walking along the
    15
    waterway would be one. But these are
    16
    activities that one was not associated with
    17
    actually contact of the water into the
    18
    exposure groups that we identified as the
    19
    high exposure characteristic of canoeing, the
    20
    medium exposure, characteristic of fishing,
    21
    the low exposure, characteristic of boating.
    22
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: And you said earlier
    23
    that you used the UAA study as the basis for
    24
    recreational uses, what recreation uses you
    0125
    1
    chose, correct? That was the foundation?
    2
    DR. TOLSON: That is correct.
    3
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: And so in the UAA
    4
    you would agree that would include canoeing,
    5
    sculling, hand-powered boating, fishing,
    6
    wading, skiing, tubing, swimming, diving, and
    7
    jumping, correct?
    8
    MR. ANDES: Are you saying did they
    9
    assess all of those?
    10
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: That is what the UAA
    11
    study reported as recreational uses along the
    12
    CAWS. And since that is the foundation of
    13
    the study as far as what recreational uses
    14
    they determined were out there, I just wanted
    15
    to verify that looking at the universe of the
    16
    recreational uses.
    17
    DR. TOLSON: Right. We identified the
    18
    secondary contact recreational -- incidental

    19
    contact recreational uses that were in the
    20
    UAA. So we did not include swimming within
    21
    our groupings that we assessed.
    22
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Okay. But it did
    23
    include canoeing, sculling, hand-powered
    24
    boating, fishing, wading, skiing, and tubing,
    0126
    1
    correct?
    2
    MR. ANDES: Tubing.
    3
    DR. TOLSON: Tubing is not included in
    4
    there. There is another one, jumping and
    5
    something else. Skiing was in there, that
    6
    was one that we didn't include within our
    7
    grouping. Those are primary contact
    8
    activities. We would associate those with
    9
    primary contact activities.
    10
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: I'm going to come
    11
    back to that particular point.
    12
    So in your opinion, the
    13
    activities listed in the UAA study are
    14
    occurring on the CAWS then, correct? That's
    15
    really not --
    16
    DR. TOLSON: We're not going to have
    17
    any basis for that.
    18
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Now, the Geosyntec
    19
    study refers to worse premise and I know that
    20
    we covered this in some part, worse premise
    21
    that disinfection is warranted in situations
    22
    where direct human contact in the immediate
    23
    vicinity of an outfall is possible. And I
    24
    just wanted to be clear: People can canoe,
    0127
    1
    kayak, jet ski, or tube past these wastewater
    2
    treatment plant outfalls to your knowledge,
    3
    correct?
    4
    DR. TOLSON: I think we covered that
    5
    quite a bit with Dr. Gerba's explanation of
    6
    it.
    7
    MR. ANDES: I believe this issue of
    8
    what the direct contact is has already been
    9
    covered by Dr. Gerba.
    10
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: I didn't say direct
    11
    contact at all. I just wanted to know if
    12
    they could kayak, canoe, or jet ski past on
    13
    these waterways the wastewater treatment
    14
    plant outfalls.
    15
    DR. TOLSON: There is no physical
    16
    limitations to people going down the
    17
    waterway, to my knowledge.
    18
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: And then on Page 96
    19
    of the Geosyntec study it states that it is
    20
    unlikely that users engage in nonemersion
    21
    activities -- that users engage in
    22
    nonemersion activities would be subject to
    23
    levels of inhaled mists or sprays that will
    24
    lead to a substantial increased ingestive
    0128

    1
    dose. And I know that we covered that with
    2
    Ann Alexander as far as how you all assessed
    3
    ingestion. I believe your Attachment 3, the
    4
    risk study, Page 96, is where that quote
    5
    lies. My questions to you are that did you
    6
    consider how spray could increase the
    7
    ingested dose for jet skiers?
    8
    DR. TOLSON: We did not attempt to
    9
    calculate ingestion for jet skiing and
    10
    inhalation and subsequent swallowing of
    11
    sprays.
    12
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: And you also didn't
    13
    consider that for people that tube on the
    14
    CAWS, correct?
    15
    DR. TOLSON: Say that again?
    16
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: And you also didn't
    17
    consider that for people that are engaged in
    18
    tubing on the CAWS either, correct?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: Tubing was not one of
    20
    the --
    21
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Right.
    22
    MR. ANDES: I'd like to follow-up.
    23
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: So, no, that wasn't
    24
    considered, correct?
    0129
    1
    DR. TOLSON: Tubing was not considered
    2
    as one of the activities that was one of the
    3
    exposure groups that we looked at.
    4
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Right. But yet it
    5
    was listed in the UAA as one of the
    6
    recreational uses out on the CAWS, correct?
    7
    DR. TOLSON: I believe it was listed
    8
    in the UAA. It was not grouped in one of our
    9
    exposure groups.
    10
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Right.
    11
    MR. ANDES: I'd like to follow-up on
    12
    those two questions, and this could be either
    13
    Dr. Gerba or Dr. Tolson. If you can give us
    14
    your judgment as far as you believe that the
    15
    dose the jet skiers or tubers spray would be
    16
    at all significant?
    17
    DR. TOLSON: I do not believe so. We
    18
    actually tried to estimate what that could
    19
    be. And if you look at a cloud, which is a
    20
    pretty high mist-containing environment, you
    21
    get about a half a mil per cubic meter in the
    22
    air. So if someone were to breathe about a
    23
    cubic meter per hour, that would give you
    24
    about half a mil per hour ingestion rate. So
    0130
    1
    that is not nearly as high as some of the
    2
    numbers we have as ingestion rates per hour
    3
    for our exposures, and we felt that that was
    4
    not really significant. We also don't think
    5
    that there's mists out there to the level
    6
    that would rise to a cloud.
    7
    MR. ANDES: Thank you.

    8
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: I'm just going to
    9
    ask one simple question. Jet skiing, though,
    10
    can kick up spray, correct?
    11
    DR. TOLSON: Yes, it can.
    12
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: I'm just going to
    13
    introduce what has already been attached as
    14
    Openland's attachment number -- may I?
    15
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: We're going
    16
    to mark this as Exhibit 82, if there's no
    17
    objection. It's the attachment one to
    18
    Openland's questions. Seeing none, it's
    19
    Exhibit 82.
    20
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: That's the one that
    21
    was attached to my prefiled testimony, too.
    22
    That's just showing the amount of spray
    23
    actually kicked up by a jet ski. And that
    24
    wasn't accounted for, correct, in the study?
    0131
    1
    DR. TOLSON: There was -- We did not
    2
    estimate dose for jet skiers within our
    3
    analysis, nor did we estimate dose from
    4
    sprays for any of our exposure scenarios.
    5
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Okay. So then it
    6
    wouldn't -- You wouldn't know then the
    7
    increased risk -- you didn't study the
    8
    increased risk for respiratory infection from
    9
    an activity like that?
    10
    DR. TOLSON: I think we've been over
    11
    this. We did not evaluate respiratory
    12
    infection within the context of our risk
    13
    assessment. That was not one of our stated
    14
    objectives here.
    15
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: And I'm turning
    16
    specifically to your Attachment 3, the risk
    17
    study, Page 133 --
    18
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: For the
    19
    record, when you are talking about
    20
    Attachment 3, Attachment 3 to Tolson's
    21
    testimony?
    22
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: That is correct.
    23
    Thank you. Why did not did you not account
    24
    for intimate exposure of your areas that
    0132
    1
    might produce considerable mist such as
    2
    aeration stations? It's Page 133.
    3
    DR. TOLSON: Okay. This is for
    4
    respiratory illness associated with exposure
    5
    to aeration stations. Is that what you're
    6
    referring to?
    7
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: That is correct.
    8
    DR. TOLSON: The study did not
    9
    evaluate respiratory risks. The focus was on
    10
    GI illness. In addition, the data on
    11
    exposure associated with those aerosols that
    12
    might arrive from the aeration stations is
    13
    unknown. We do not have a way of quantifying
    14
    a dose. So even to do the GI component of

    15
    that, it proves problematic. We believe
    16
    based on our assessment of what you could
    17
    potentially contain in a mist that you could
    18
    inhale that a dose would be low even if you
    19
    were immersed in it.
    20
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: I'm going to, just
    21
    second part of D, yet there is incidental
    22
    contact activity such as jet skiing,
    23
    kayaking, canoeing, tubing, and sculling in
    24
    the stretches of the CAWS that could occur
    0133
    1
    near the aeration standards, correct -- or
    2
    the aeration stations. Sorry. Correct?
    3
    DR. TOLSON: Yes. I do not know.
    4
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: For the
    5
    record, Attachment 3 is Exhibit 71. It is
    6
    the report that we've been discussing, and we
    7
    should be clear on that. Because I, frankly,
    8
    was a little lost.
    9
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Okay. Going with my
    10
    prefiled questions and I --
    11
    MR. ANDES: To follow-up on the
    12
    aeration station issue, and whether these are
    13
    within your knowledge. If not, we may ask
    14
    this question later of district witnesses.
    15
    First, are you aware of safety issues in
    16
    terms of use of canoes, kayaks, and other
    17
    boats near the aeration stations in terms of
    18
    the bubbling water in those areas?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: Actually, I do not know
    20
    that. I've been told that, but I'm not the
    21
    best witness for that. Sorry.
    22
    MR. ANDES: Okay.
    23
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: No. 7, the report
    24
    also -- the microbial risk assessment
    0134
    1
    Exhibit 71 also states that jet ski use is
    2
    typically thought to involve immersion, and,
    3
    thereby, would not be allowed under the
    4
    conditions of the waterway. However, large
    5
    jet ski boats would be allowed, and I believe
    6
    that is Exhibit 71 at Page 97. My questions
    7
    to you are this: Are you aware that the IEPA
    8
    did not list jet skiing in the UAA as a
    9
    primary contact activity; and although
    10
    borderline distinguished it from water skiing
    11
    in its statements of reasons as having a
    12
    lower likelihood of ingesting appreciable
    13
    amounts of water?
    14
    MR. ANDES: Are you asking him to
    15
    characterize the IEPA document?
    16
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Are you aware of
    17
    that? No. That's actually out of the IEPA
    18
    statement of reasons. And I was wondering,
    19
    since he's stating that in calling jet skiing
    20
    primary contact and relied on the UAA,
    21
    whether or not he was aware that it lists jet

    22
    skiing as a primary contact -- it does not
    23
    list jet skiing as a primary contact
    24
    activity, and although borderline,
    0135
    1
    distinguishes it from water skiing as having
    2
    a lower likelihood of ingesting appreciable
    3
    amounts of water.
    4
    MR. ANDES: I can read that, too. But
    5
    I would disagree with your characterization
    6
    of the statement from the statement of
    7
    reasons. If we want to read him the
    8
    statement from the statement of reasons
    9
    verbatim, that would be fine. I think it
    10
    says something very different.
    11
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Sure. Absolutely.
    12
    I can read you both segments, if you can hold
    13
    on one second.
    14
    MR. ANDES: While we're waiting, if I
    15
    can follow up on one question. Is it your
    16
    understanding primary contact activities are
    17
    not included in the proposed uses as
    18
    designated by Illinois EPA?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: That is correct.
    20
    MR. ANDES: Thank you.
    21
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Okay. And to follow
    22
    that, if we can actually start on Page 42 of
    23
    the statement of reasons. I'm going to read
    24
    you the definition of primary contact from
    0136
    1
    this, okay? Primary contact recreation is
    2
    typically defined by states to encompass
    3
    activities that could be expected to result
    4
    in the --
    5
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: You need to
    6
    slow down.
    7
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Absolutely.
    8
    Ingestion of or immersion in water such as
    9
    swimming, water skiing, surfing, or any other
    10
    activity where immersion in the water is
    11
    likely. Now, we can agree that jet skiing is
    12
    not included in that statement, correct?
    13
    MR. ANDES: I think you're --
    14
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: But the
    15
    Footnote 3 --
    16
    MR. ANDES: -- characterizing the
    17
    testimony.
    18
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: I'm about to get
    19
    there. But in that list of primary contact
    20
    they do not include jet skiing, correct?
    21
    DR. TOLSON: I'm not sure I -- I'm not
    22
    sure I believe that. I think there's a
    23
    footnote that's associated with that.
    24
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: There absolutely is.
    0137
    1
    But I want to take one step at a time. They
    2
    list out primary contact uses; is that
    3
    correct?

    4
    DR. TOLSON: There are probably a
    5
    number of other primary contact uses that are
    6
    not listed on there.
    7
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Okay. But in this
    8
    list it does not include water skiing,
    9
    correct?
    10
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Jet skiing.
    11
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Jet skiing. Thank
    12
    you.
    13
    MR. ANDES: It includes a general
    14
    statement at the end.
    15
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Yes. But we're
    16
    going to get there one step at a time. It
    17
    does not include -- It includes water skiing,
    18
    though, right?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: I believe so. I don't
    20
    have it in front of me, but, yeah, I take
    21
    your word on it.
    22
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: But it doesn't
    23
    include -- even though it includes water
    24
    skiing, it doesn't include jet skiing,
    0138
    1
    correct?
    2
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: That's the
    3
    third time you've asked that and the third
    4
    time he's answered it.
    5
    MS. MEYERS GLEN: I haven't gotten an
    6
    answer yet.
    7
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Yes. He
    8
    said that's correct.
    9
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Thank you. I didn't
    10
    hear. Now, there is a footnote on Page 43
    11
    that says kayaking and jet skiing may be
    12
    borderline recreational activities that many
    13
    lump into primary contact but likely do not
    14
    involve its high likelihood of ingestion of
    15
    appreciable amounts of water as swimming,
    16
    water skiing, and surfing. Okay. Can we
    17
    agree that that's what this says?
    18
    DR. TOLSON: I believe that this is,
    19
    in fact, what that says, yes.
    20
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: So is it your belief
    21
    then that IEPA, after hearing this, that IEPA
    22
    considers jet skiing to be a primary contact
    23
    activity?
    24
    DR. TOLSON: Based on the footnote
    0139
    1
    where it says many believe, I guess I would
    2
    include myself in the group of many.
    3
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Okay. So -- all
    4
    right. So then why do you choose to restrict
    5
    the study to use of larger jet ski boats when
    6
    the IEPA did not place such a distinction on
    7
    jet skiing?
    8
    DR. TOLSON: I've actually toured the
    9
    waterway, and my one occurrence with a jet
    10
    boat out there did not look like the picture

    11
    that you have here. And I'm --
    12
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: That's not my
    13
    question, though. My question is why did
    14
    you --
    15
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Would you
    16
    let him finish his answer before you
    17
    interrupt him, please.
    18
    DR. TOLSON: My observations of jet
    19
    boats in the one occurrence that I did see
    20
    one was a two-man boat. The guys were in
    21
    collared shirts, I believe, and straw hats
    22
    kind of stuff. And it made me think maybe we
    23
    could be misinterpreting the UAA study. I'm
    24
    not sure if they included these guys as jet
    0140
    1
    skiers or not. So kind of to be conservative
    2
    to make sure we captured all the uses we
    3
    could out there, we just lumped the few
    4
    observations of jet skis that we saw in the
    5
    UAA, we put them under the boating so it
    6
    would be included in there. Because we were
    7
    really unsure whether they were this guy jet
    8
    skiing or the guys that we'd observed on the
    9
    waterway that were jet skiing in really kind
    10
    of bigger boats.
    11
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: The jet ski in front
    12
    of you, would you consider that to be primary
    13
    or secondary contact? I'm referring, just
    14
    for the record, to the attachment that I --
    15
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Exhibit 82.
    16
    DR. TOLSON: Primary contact, because
    17
    the guy doesn't look very sure of himself. I
    18
    think he may fall off at any moment.
    19
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: So it's not the
    20
    activity, but the fact that that particular
    21
    jet skier would fall off that's making that
    22
    distinction?
    23
    DR. TOLSON: I think the distinction
    24
    is that the person on this boat is having --
    0141
    1
    likely to have a high contact with water.
    2
    We've grouped our exposures into those that
    3
    have primary contact water that we've
    4
    excluded from our analysis. This would be an
    5
    activity I think that he has a life preserver
    6
    on there, somebody who would have full body
    7
    emersion, and it would not be one of the
    8
    receptor scenarios that we've developed risk
    9
    numbers for within our report.
    10
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: If somebody is
    11
    wearing a life preserver on a two-seater,
    12
    then that would be included as secondary
    13
    contact?
    14
    DR. TOLSON: I think, you know, I'm
    15
    trying to characterize within our receptors
    16
    to include those jet skiers. Because my one
    17
    observation of a jet boat on the waterway was

    18
    one where the occupants certainly didn't look
    19
    like they were going to have full body
    20
    emersion. If you would like, I can provide
    21
    you a picture of that. I actually took a
    22
    picture of them as we went by them on the
    23
    waterway.
    24
    MR. ANDES: I thought we had them.
    0142
    1
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: I'm just trying to
    2
    understand where your line is as far as which
    3
    jet skiers are included in secondary contact
    4
    and which jet skiers are included in primary
    5
    contact. That's all. Because it seems like
    6
    there is some in one category and some in the
    7
    other.
    8
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Is there --
    9
    DR. TOLSON: We did not try to
    10
    characterize the specific activity where
    11
    anybody was occurring. We developed these
    12
    risk ranges that had ingestion rates that
    13
    were kind of a big range. That being said,
    14
    there were very few jet skis that were
    15
    identified within the UAA. We included them
    16
    in boating because there was a potential that
    17
    if we didn't include them in boating, perhaps
    18
    these -- we're talking about these two-man
    19
    boats or larger boats that we didn't want to
    20
    underrepresent within the study. I would
    21
    characterize this particular activity that
    22
    this gentleman is engaged in as a primary
    23
    contact activity. But this is really outside
    24
    of my realm of identifying primary contact
    0143
    1
    activities and secondary contact activities.
    2
    It's not what I do.
    3
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: You guys made a
    4
    call, though, as to whether or not to include
    5
    that activity?
    6
    DR. TOLSON: We had to take that
    7
    handful of receptors and try to characterize
    8
    them within the categories which we laid out
    9
    within Exhibit 71, our risk assessment. We
    10
    made the call that the boats -- that the jet
    11
    skis could possibly be boats. We wanted to
    12
    make sure we included anything that was
    13
    potentially a recognized activity in the
    14
    waterway, we included them within that group.
    15
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Yet if you're saying
    16
    that you included it as a recognized
    17
    activity, you also did not include swimming,
    18
    correct, and that was a recognized activity?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: A recognized activity is
    20
    more of a legal term that I probably
    21
    shouldn't be invoking or else -- that's true.
    22
    It was primary contact. We felt swimming was
    23
    one that ought to be included.
    24
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: But it was a

    0144
    1
    recognized activity. It was something in the
    2
    UAA as listed as occurring, correct?
    3
    MR. ANDES: I'm going to really object
    4
    to this argumentative line of question. He's
    5
    answered the questions. He told you what he
    6
    included and why.
    7
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Well, I'm confused
    8
    in that he stated that he included it because
    9
    it was a recognized activity on --
    10
    MR. ANDES: That's not what he said.
    11
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: That's exactly what
    12
    he said. So I'm curious then as to why he
    13
    then did not include other recognized
    14
    activities such as swimming.
    15
    DR. TOLSON: Another reason is the RFB
    16
    for which we were responding to developing
    17
    this clearly stated and listed those
    18
    activities and how we would categorize them.
    19
    Jet skiing was not included within that list.
    20
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Thank you.
    21
    DR. TOLSON: Swimming was not
    22
    including with that list. I'm not sure if it
    23
    said anything about jet ski.
    24
    MR. ANDES: Did it say that primary
    0145
    1
    contact activities were not to be included?
    2
    DR. TOLSON: That's correct. Primary
    3
    contact activities was not included.
    4
    MR. ANDES: Swimming is clearly
    5
    primary contact. You decided not to include
    6
    it?
    7
    DR. TOLSON: That's correct. Swimming
    8
    is primary contact. It was not included.
    9
    MR. ANDES: Because the two-person
    10
    boats were unclear, you decided to include
    11
    them as boats?
    12
    DR. TOLSON: That is correct.
    13
    MR. ANDES: Thank you.
    14
    MS. WILLIAMS: Can I follow-up,
    15
    please? Just since I wrote Footnote 3, I'd
    16
    like to follow up by making sure I understand
    17
    what you said here. You are saying you
    18
    consider yourself someone who generally
    19
    considers jet skiing, at least as conducted
    20
    in this exhibit, primary contact activity
    21
    generally?
    22
    DR. TOLSON: That's my opinion.
    23
    MS. WILLIAMS: Thank you.
    24
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: One more question
    0146
    1
    along those lines. Although the resulting
    2
    risk estimates do not account for such, did
    3
    you seem to calculate how much more jet
    4
    skiers likely to ingest appreciable
    5
    quantities of water than a person canoeing?
    6
    DR. TOLSON: We did not include

    7
    primary contact jet skiing as an activity
    8
    that we developed, no.
    9
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Did Geosyntec
    10
    analyze exposure rates for kayaking, tubing,
    11
    or sculling in comparison to tubing?
    12
    MR. ANDES: What kind of --
    13
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: That's D.
    14
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: 7D.
    15
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: For the
    16
    record, I think we've -- he's repeatedly
    17
    stated that he did not consider tubing.
    18
    DR. TOLSON: That is correct. We did
    19
    not consider tubing.
    20
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Then kayaking or
    21
    sculling in comparison to canoeing.
    22
    DR. TOLSON: We didn't calculate an
    23
    exposure rate for each individual activity.
    24
    We developed a range of exposure rates for
    0147
    1
    which canoeing could be kind of the
    2
    representative activity, and that was a
    3
    distribution that ranged from high
    4
    potentially capsizing events to low.
    5
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Do you know whether
    6
    or not the exposure, the risk of exposure is
    7
    higher for kayaking or sculling than
    8
    canoeing?
    9
    DR. TOLSON: We don't have any data to
    10
    support that. So, no, I don't know.
    11
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Could somebody in a
    12
    kayak have a higher risk than someone in a
    13
    canoe of exposure?
    14
    DR. TOLSON: They think could have a
    15
    risk for a number or reasons. That's
    16
    correct. Somebody in a canoe could have a
    17
    higher risk than somebody in a kayak.
    18
    MS. DEXTER: Why did you choose
    19
    canoeing as the representative activity?
    20
    DR. TOLSON: I believe it was -- It
    21
    seemed like a reasonable thing to call that
    22
    high contact activity. I believe the UAA has
    23
    canoeing and kayaking as one group there, so
    24
    to eliminate a lot of dashes within the
    0148
    1
    report, we called it canoeing.
    2
    MS. DEXTER: Did you have data on the
    3
    canoeing? Was there -- Was there data to
    4
    support the canoeing?
    5
    MR. ANDES: I think he already
    6
    answered that question. It was ingestion
    7
    rates; high, medium, and low ingestion rates.
    8
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Was there a
    9
    difference in ingestion rates when looking to
    10
    choose a representative for high contact in
    11
    your study? Was there a difference in
    12
    ingestion rates for canoeing and kayaking?
    13
    DR. TOLSON: Again, I think that

    14
    misrepresents what we're doing. We're just
    15
    coming up with three sort of exposure groups.
    16
    We've called that high exposure group
    17
    canoeing which is sort of a representative
    18
    recreational activity associated with the
    19
    high. We didn't develop kayaking as, you
    20
    know, 12.2 and canoeing as 12.3. There's no
    21
    number that's associated with each individual
    22
    thing and some together. We developed a
    23
    distribution, a range, that incorporated all
    24
    these sort of higher exposure activities.
    0149
    1
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: So you treat the
    2
    risk as the same?
    3
    MR. ANDES: Same as what?
    4
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: For canoeing,
    5
    kayaking, and sculling; all of those
    6
    activities, the risk is treated as the same,
    7
    correct? It's all considered to be high
    8
    contact of the same risk?
    9
    DR. TOLSON: The category of higher
    10
    exposure activities along the waterway. And
    11
    had we not looked -- I don't think sculling
    12
    was specifically called out within the UAA,
    13
    so there would have been no way for us to
    14
    tease out sculling versus the canoeing or
    15
    kayaking. So there's a necessity for sort of
    16
    grouping activities together.
    17
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Do you know whether
    18
    sculling occurs on the CAWS?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: I have not seen it. I
    20
    understand it does.
    21
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: And 8 is asked and
    22
    answered.
    23
    Nine, in quantifying the
    24
    amount of water ingested -- Wait a minute.
    0150
    1
    Sorry. I'm going to stop. Nine is asked and
    2
    answered. Withdraw.
    3
    Ten. I just need a second. I
    4
    want to see if this is asked and answered.
    5
    Ten is partially asked and answered.
    6
    You stated earlier that the
    7
    ingestion rates for fishing and boating were
    8
    adjusted downwards using professional
    9
    judgment, is that right, from canoeing?
    10
    DR. TOLSON: That is correct.
    11
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: And was that your
    12
    professional judgment used to set the rate?
    13
    DR. TOLSON: We met collectively as
    14
    the Geosyntec team and our expert panel and
    15
    discussed these matters. I think it was
    16
    arrived to by consensus.
    17
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: 11, when discussing
    18
    how the risk assessment accounted for
    19
    exposure duration, the report states that
    20
    assumptions regarding length of time an

    21
    individual might be on the waterway are
    22
    required; activity based assumptions were
    23
    developed for this exposure input based on
    24
    waterway specific information where available
    0151
    1
    and professional judgment guided by literary
    2
    references. This is Exhibit 71, No. 101,
    3
    Page No. 101.
    4
    DR. TOLSON: Okay.
    5
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Actually, I
    6
    apologize. This was asked and answered.
    7
    Well, no, it was asked and answered for
    8
    fishing and boating. How did Geosyntec
    9
    exercise professional judgment in setting
    10
    exposure duration for canoeing? We just
    11
    talked about fishing and --
    12
    DR. TOLSON: I'm pretty sure we
    13
    answered that, because we had the triangular
    14
    shaped figure up that had the one to five
    15
    hours, the two --
    16
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Right. But that's
    17
    off of data. Where did your professional
    18
    judgment come into play?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: It's not completely off
    20
    of data. We had data to sort of inform that,
    21
    but we had to make some professional judgment
    22
    decisions here.
    23
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: And what were those?
    24
    DR. TOLSON: Well, we didn't go from
    0152
    1
    zero hours. We truncated that distribution
    2
    so it went from one to five hours. You know,
    3
    selecting two hours as the median, it wasn't
    4
    directly out of the data. We just picked two
    5
    hours as a reasonable. It happened to fit
    6
    pretty nicely. So the mean of that fit the
    7
    EPA's exposure factor's handbook distribution
    8
    of data for people that recreate around lakes
    9
    and rivers.
    10
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: But ultimately you
    11
    used your professional judgment to arrive at
    12
    that figure.
    13
    MR. ANDES: With data.
    14
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Excuse me. That's
    15
    not his testimony. Please allow the witness
    16
    to testify.
    17
    Is that ultimately how you
    18
    arrived with --
    19
    DR. TOLSON: With data. Sorry.
    20
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: That's all. I have
    21
    no further questions at this time.
    22
    MS. WILLIAMS: Can I just ask one
    23
    follow-up?
    24
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Absolutely.
    0153
    1
    You can ask two.
    2
    MS. WILLIAMS: No. I hope not. Do

    3
    you have a copy of Mr. Stuba's testimony?
    4
    DR. TOLSON: I do not. I don't think
    5
    I've seen that either.
    6
    MS. WILLIAMS: Do you have one that
    7
    you can show him, or do you want me to show
    8
    him?
    9
    MR. ANDES: I don't think I have that
    10
    handy.
    11
    MS. WILLIAMS: Mr. Stuba's testimony
    12
    is Exhibit 62, and I'm handing you a copy.
    13
    And I'd like you to take a look at the back
    14
    where he has charts.
    15
    DR. TOLSON: Okay.
    16
    MS. WILLIAMS: Where they list types
    17
    of recreational activity. Did you look at
    18
    those in developing your risk assessment, the
    19
    data from the district on recreation from the
    20
    boats that go out to --
    21
    DR. TOLSON: We looked at this and we
    22
    had some interviews with them, but we did not
    23
    rely on this for any numerical computations
    24
    for activities.
    0154
    1
    MS. WILLIAMS: Do you understand where
    2
    jet skiing is logged on those logs as a
    3
    recreational activity?
    4
    DR. TOLSON: Don't see a jet skiing in
    5
    a column that's on the top of this. I don't
    6
    know whether they hadn't seen one and that's
    7
    the reason that they didn't start to log that
    8
    and put it on here or not. But we relied on
    9
    the UAA which was designed specifically to
    10
    evaluate recreational use. And we felt that
    11
    the strongest sort of data set to use to take
    12
    proportions of recreational users in each of
    13
    the modifications we were looking at.
    14
    MS. WILLIAMS: And obviously this is a
    15
    question I should have asked of Mr. Stuba, I
    16
    just didn't really realize it was an issue
    17
    until today. So if none of you know, then
    18
    that's fine. But what I would like to know
    19
    is he does say in his testimony that there
    20
    were six jet skiers observed?
    21
    MR. ANDES: If I can take a look.
    22
    MS. WILLIAMS: I would like to know
    23
    from the District, and if these witnesses
    24
    can't answer, we'll try to bring it up next
    0155
    1
    week.
    2
    MR. ANDES: I'm sure they can't.
    3
    MS. WILLIAMS: Which category would
    4
    the six jet skiers have been logged under?
    5
    MR. ANDES: Skiing and tubing.
    6
    MS. WILLIAMS: So jet skiing was
    7
    considered a type of skiing and tubing?
    8
    MR. ANDES: Yes.
    9
    MS. WILLIAMS: Thank you. That's all

    10
    I have.
    11
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: May I ask one
    12
    question that I forgot to ask?
    13
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Sure.
    14
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Thank you. Your
    15
    risk assessment -- I think this will be
    16
    pretty clear, but it doesn't account for the
    17
    highest areas of recreational use in the
    18
    waterway, correct?
    19
    DR. TOLSON: I did not say that.
    20
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Well, does your
    21
    study account for -- Does it take into
    22
    account where recreational use most commonly
    23
    occurs in setting risk?
    24
    DR. TOLSON: We may have -- we did not
    0156
    1
    tease out use within any particular point
    2
    within the waterway. We assumed that risk --
    3
    we assumed that exposure could happen
    4
    anywhere along the waterway. We did take
    5
    data at specific points. Those points tended
    6
    to be in the dry weather, at least, close to
    7
    the District's outfalls. So they may have
    8
    actually biased high the potential influence
    9
    of the District's outfalls through the
    10
    waterway, pathogen concentrations within the
    11
    waterway.
    12
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: Wasn't that averaged
    13
    out, though, with other data that was also
    14
    along the waterway farther downstream?
    15
    DR. TOLSON: Or actually within 10 to
    16
    15 both lengths upstream, but yes.
    17
    MS. MEYERS-GLEN: So what I'm
    18
    asking -- Withdraw the question. I'm done.
    19
    HEARING OFFICER TIPSORD: Anything
    20
    further? Dr. Gerba, Dr. Tolson,
    21
    Ms. Petropoulou, it has been a privilege and
    22
    an honor. Thank you very much. And I will
    23
    see all of us again on September 23, 9:00
    24
    a.m. here in this room where we will start
    0157
    1
    with Dr. Divorich. Thank you very much.
    2
    We're adjourned.
    3
    (At which time the hearing was
    4
    continued to September 23,
    5
    2008, at 9:00 a.m.)
    6
    * * * * * *
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    0158
    1 STATE OF ILLINOIS )
    ) SS.
    2 COUNTY OF COOK )
    3
    4
    I, LAURA MUKAHIRN, being a Certified
    5 Shorthand Reporter doing business in the City of
    6 Chicago, Illinois, County of Cook, certify that I
    7 reported in shorthand the proceedings had at the
    8 foregoing hearing of the above-entitled cause. And
    9 I certify that the foregoing is a true and correct
    10 transcript of all my shorthand notes so taken as
    11 aforesaid and contains all the proceedings had at
    12 the said meeting of the above-entitled cause.
    13
    14
    15
    ___________________________
    16
    LAURA MUKAHIRN, CSR
    CSR NO. 084-003592
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